Short Trade on META 04 Dec 2025 at 02:37:53
Take profit at 640.4426 (0.099 %) and Stop Loss at 641.3987 (0.05 %)
Short Trade on META 04 Dec 2025 at 02:37:53
Take profit at 640.4426 (0.099 %) and Stop Loss at 641.3987 (0.05 %)
Position size of 16093.1251 $
Take profit at 640.4426 (0.099 %) and Stop Loss at 641.3987 (0.05 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.51 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.88 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.110073 15m : 0.080323 1H : 0.061365 |
0 |
Indicators:
93272.7
-0.000854851
93193
0.110073
93171.7
-0.000201577
93153
0.080323
90904.3
0.0251759
93193
0.061365
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 22:00:00
[1] => 640.71
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 05:00:00
[1] => 647.04
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 09:00:00
[1] => 638.8
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 14:00:00
[1] => 647.97
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 08:00:00
[1] => 649.55
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 642.5
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 10:00:00
[1] => 649.55
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 15:00:00
[1] => 639.6
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 00:00:00
[1] => 638.7
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 02:00:00
[1] => 641.11
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.029636099889263
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34758102395489
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.37732894942852
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 08:45:00
[1] => 649.55
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:30:00
[1] => 642.5
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 10:00:00
[1] => 649.55
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 11:00:00
[1] => 642.57
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 12:15:00
[1] => 646.38
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 14:00:00
[1] => 643.71
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 15:45:00
[1] => 639.6
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 23:30:00
[1] => 639.96
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 00:15:00
[1] => 638.7
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 02:15:00
[1] => 641.11
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.029636099889263
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34758102395489
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.37732894942852
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 20:15:00
[1] => 641.31
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 21:10:00
[1] => 640.67
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 21:35:00
[1] => 639.63
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 22:20:00
[1] => 639.31
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 22:40:00
[1] => 639.52
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 22:50:00
[1] => 639.52
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 23:00:00
[1] => 639
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 23:30:00
[1] => 639.96
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 00:25:00
[1] => 638.7
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 02:25:00
[1] => 641.11
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.029636099889263
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.34758102395489
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 26
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.37732894942852
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 20:15:00 | 641.31 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 21:10:00 | 640.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 21:35:00 | 639.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 22:20:00 | 639.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 22:40:00 | 639.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 22:50:00 | 639.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 23:00:00 | 639 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 23:30:00 | 639.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 00:25:00 | 638.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 02:25:00 | 641.11 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 08:45:00 | 649.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:30:00 | 642.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 10:00:00 | 649.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 11:00:00 | 642.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 12:15:00 | 646.38 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 14:00:00 | 643.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 15:45:00 | 639.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 23:30:00 | 639.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 00:15:00 | 638.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 02:15:00 | 641.11 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 22:00:00 | 640.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 05:00:00 | 647.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 09:00:00 | 638.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 14:00:00 | 647.97 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 08:00:00 | 649.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 642.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 10:00:00 | 649.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 15:00:00 | 639.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 00:00:00 | 638.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 02:00:00 | 641.11 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec 2025 02:37:53 |
04 Dec 2025 03:05:00 |
27 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641.08 | 641.3987 | 640.4426 | 2 | 653.12 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 641.3987 - 641.08 = 0.31869999999992
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 641.08 - 640.4426 = 0.63740000000007
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.63740000000007 / 0.31869999999992 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16093.1251 | 100 | 25.1031 | 160.93 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.31869999999992 = 25.1
Taille de position USD = 25.1 x 641.08 = 16091.11
Donc, tu peux acheter 25.1 avec un stoploss a 641.3987
Avec un position size USD de 16091.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 25.1 x 0.31869999999992 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 25.1 x 0.63740000000007 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.099 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.05 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0874 % | 175.86 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 640.4426
[entry_price] => 641.08
[stop_loss] => 641.43057
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 03:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 640.4426
[entry_price] => 641.08
[stop_loss] => 641.46244
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 03:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 640.4426
[entry_price] => 641.08
[stop_loss] => 641.49431
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 03:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 640.4426
[entry_price] => 641.08
[stop_loss] => 641.55805
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 03:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.2700000000001
[max_drawdown] => 3
[rr_ratio] => 0.42
[high] => 644.08000000
[low] => 639.81000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.2
[mae_pct] => 0.47
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-04T02:37:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-04T04:37:53-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.2700000000001
[max_drawdown] => 45.88
[rr_ratio] => 0.03
[high] => 686.96000000
[low] => 639.81000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.2
[mae_pct] => 7.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-04T02:37:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-04T09:37:53-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 641.11000000
[high_after] => 646.85000000
[low_before] => 638.70000000
[low_after] => 639.81000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)