Long Trade on MERL 04 Dec 2025 at 11:27:51
Take profit at 0.3701 (2.66 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3557 (1.33 %)
Long Trade on MERL 04 Dec 2025 at 11:27:51
Take profit at 0.3701 (2.66 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3557 (1.33 %)
Position size of 599.4689 $
Take profit at 0.3701 (2.66 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3557 (1.33 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.71 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.53 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.059705 15m : 0.036363 1H : -0.11386 |
1 |
Indicators:
92846.4
0.000880069
92928.2
0.059705
92932
0.0017614
93095.7
0.036363
91347
0.017309
92928.2
-0.11386
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
[1] => 0.4731
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 06:00:00
[1] => 0.3202
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 10:00:00
[1] => 0.3498
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 15:00:00
[1] => 0.3152
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 20:00:00
[1] => 0.3405
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3565
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 15:00:00
[1] => 0.3667
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 22:00:00
[1] => 0.3372
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 06:00:00
[1] => 0.3836
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 11:00:00
[1] => 0.3583
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.021897810219
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.61401060563773
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.0611219648339
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 18:30:00
[1] => 0.35
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 20:15:00
[1] => 0.3379
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 22:15:00
[1] => 0.3372
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 01:30:00
[1] => 0.3601
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 04:15:00
[1] => 0.351
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 06:45:00
[1] => 0.3836
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 07:00:00
[1] => 0.3695
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 08:30:00
[1] => 0.3652
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 09:30:00
[1] => 0.378
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 11:15:00
[1] => 0.3583
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6296296296296
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.61401060563773
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4981858777561
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 04:25:00
[1] => 0.351
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 06:15:00
[1] => 0.3713
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 06:50:00
[1] => 0.3836
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 07:05:00
[1] => 0.3695
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 07:50:00
[1] => 0.3765
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 08:35:00
[1] => 0.3652
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 09:30:00
[1] => 0.378
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 10:00:00
[1] => 0.3776
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 10:25:00
[1] => 0.3641
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 11:20:00
[1] => 0.3583
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.5286016949153
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.61401060563773
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6187552330449
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 04:25:00 | 0.351 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 06:15:00 | 0.3713 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 06:50:00 | 0.3836 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 07:05:00 | 0.3695 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 07:50:00 | 0.3765 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 08:35:00 | 0.3652 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 09:30:00 | 0.378 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 10:00:00 | 0.3776 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 10:25:00 | 0.3641 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 11:20:00 | 0.3583 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 18:30:00 | 0.35 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 20:15:00 | 0.3379 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 22:15:00 | 0.3372 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 01:30:00 | 0.3601 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 04:15:00 | 0.351 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 06:45:00 | 0.3836 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 07:00:00 | 0.3695 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 08:30:00 | 0.3652 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 09:30:00 | 0.378 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 11:15:00 | 0.3583 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 16:00:00 | 0.4731 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 06:00:00 | 0.3202 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 10:00:00 | 0.3498 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 15:00:00 | 0.3152 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 20:00:00 | 0.3405 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 0.3565 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 15:00:00 | 0.3667 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 22:00:00 | 0.3372 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 06:00:00 | 0.3836 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 11:00:00 | 0.3583 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec 2025 11:27:51 |
04 Dec 2025 15:05:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3605 | 0.3557 | 0.3701 | 2 | 0.04328 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3557 - 0.3605 = -0.0048
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3605 - 0.3701 = -0.0096
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0096 / -0.0048 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 599.4689 | 100 | 1662.8818 | 5.99 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0048 = -1666.67
Taille de position USD = -1666.67 x 0.3605 = -600.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -1666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.3557
Avec un position size USD de -600.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1666.67 x -0.0048 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1666.67 x -0.0096 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.66 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.33 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -1.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3315 % | 100 % | 17 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3701
[entry_price] => 0.3605
[stop_loss] => 0.35522
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 15:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3701
[entry_price] => 0.3605
[stop_loss] => 0.35474
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 15:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3701
[entry_price] => 0.3605
[stop_loss] => 0.35426
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 15:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3701
[entry_price] => 0.3605
[stop_loss] => 0.3533
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 16:50:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0042
[max_drawdown] => 0.0037
[rr_ratio] => 1.14
[high] => 0.36470000
[low] => 0.35680000
[mfe_pct] => 1.17
[mae_pct] => 1.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.14
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-04T11:27:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-04T13:27:51-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0183
[max_drawdown] => 0.0063
[rr_ratio] => 2.9
[high] => 0.37880000
[low] => 0.35420000
[mfe_pct] => 5.08
[mae_pct] => 1.75
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.9
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-04T11:27:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-04T18:27:51-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.37800000
[high_after] => 0.37580000
[low_before] => 0.35830000
[low_after] => 0.35420000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)