Short Trade on XRP 04 Dec 2025 at 19:43:09
Take profit at 2.0962 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 2.1166 (0.32 %)
Short Trade on XRP 04 Dec 2025 at 19:43:09
Take profit at 2.0962 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 2.1166 (0.32 %)
Position size of 2483.4416 $
Take profit at 2.0962 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 2.1166 (0.32 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.7 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.901185 15m : -0.066886 1H : 0.098239 |
0 |
Indicators:
92280.5
0.00108474
92380.7
0.901185
92646.7
-0.0036775
92306
-0.066886
91391.1
0.0108274
92380.7
0.098239
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
[1] => 1.9824
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 20:00:00
[1] => 2.0432
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 03:00:00
[1] => 1.9936
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 14:00:00
[1] => 2.1823
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 19:00:00
[1] => 2.1403
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 00:00:00
[1] => 2.2179
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 2.1983
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 20:00:00
[1] => 2.2135
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:00:00
[1] => 2.0676
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 19:00:00
[1] => 2.1115
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0047359696897829
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1183981427742
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1232346682143
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 21:00:00
[1] => 2.1906
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 03:45:00
[1] => 2.1592
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 04:45:00
[1] => 2.1742
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 09:45:00
[1] => 2.1125
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 11:15:00
[1] => 2.1564
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:15:00
[1] => 2.0676
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 16:00:00
[1] => 2.1094
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 16:45:00
[1] => 2.0877
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 18:30:00
[1] => 2.0909
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 19:30:00
[1] => 2.1115
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0047359696897829
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98043904538716
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98522167487685
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 13:40:00
[1] => 2.0966
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:20:00
[1] => 2.0676
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 15:00:00
[1] => 2.1027
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 15:05:00
[1] => 2.0852
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 16:05:00
[1] => 2.1094
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 16:55:00
[1] => 2.0877
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 17:30:00
[1] => 2.1044
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 18:10:00
[1] => 2.0924
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 18:40:00
[1] => 2.0909
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 19:40:00
[1] => 2.1115
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0047359696897829
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98043904538716
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98522167487685
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 13:40:00 | 2.0966 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 14:20:00 | 2.0676 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 15:00:00 | 2.1027 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 15:05:00 | 2.0852 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 16:05:00 | 2.1094 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 16:55:00 | 2.0877 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 17:30:00 | 2.1044 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 18:10:00 | 2.0924 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 18:40:00 | 2.0909 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 19:40:00 | 2.1115 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 21:00:00 | 2.1906 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 03:45:00 | 2.1592 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 04:45:00 | 2.1742 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 09:45:00 | 2.1125 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 11:15:00 | 2.1564 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:15:00 | 2.0676 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 16:00:00 | 2.1094 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 16:45:00 | 2.0877 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 18:30:00 | 2.0909 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 19:30:00 | 2.1115 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 10:00:00 | 1.9824 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 20:00:00 | 2.0432 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 03:00:00 | 1.9936 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 14:00:00 | 2.1823 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 19:00:00 | 2.1403 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 00:00:00 | 2.2179 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 2.1983 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 20:00:00 | 2.2135 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:00:00 | 2.0676 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 19:00:00 | 2.1115 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec 2025 19:43:09 |
04 Dec 2025 22:20:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1098 | 2.1166 | 2.0962 | 2 | 1.3755 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1166 - 2.1098 = 0.0068000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1098 - 2.0962 = 0.0136
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0136 / 0.0068000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2483.4416 | 100 | 1177.0981 | 24.83 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0068000000000001 = 1176.47
Taille de position USD = 1176.47 x 2.1098 = 2482.12
Donc, tu peux acheter 1176.47 avec un stoploss a 2.1166
Avec un position size USD de 2482.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1176.47 x 0.0068000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1176.47 x 0.0136 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0901 % | 27.96 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0962
[stop_loss] => 2.1166
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 22:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0928
[stop_loss] => 2.1166
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 22:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0894
[stop_loss] => 2.1166
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 22:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.086
[stop_loss] => 2.1166
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0826
[stop_loss] => 2.1166
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0792
[stop_loss] => 2.1166
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0758
[stop_loss] => 2.1166
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 00:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0089999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.0019
[rr_ratio] => 4.74
[high] => 2.11170000
[low] => 2.10080000
[mfe_pct] => 0.43
[mae_pct] => 0.09
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.74
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-04T19:43:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-04T21:43:09-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0343
[max_drawdown] => 0.0019
[rr_ratio] => 18.05
[high] => 2.11170000
[low] => 2.07550000
[mfe_pct] => 1.63
[mae_pct] => 0.09
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 18.05
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-04T19:43:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-05T02:43:09-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 2.11150000
[high_after] => 2.11170000
[low_before] => 2.08770000
[low_after] => 2.07550000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)