Short Trade on TRUMP 04 Dec 2025 at 21:38:22
Take profit at 5.9596 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 6.0067 (0.26 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 04 Dec 2025 at 21:38:22
Take profit at 5.9596 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 6.0067 (0.26 %)
Position size of 3057.1765 $
Take profit at 5.9596 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 6.0067 (0.26 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.65 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.88 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.822028 15m : -0.012804 1H : 0.022287 |
0 |
Indicators:
92300.5
0.00373305
92645.1
0.822028
92581.5
-0.00155169
92437.9
-0.012804
91322.5
0.014482
92645.1
0.022287
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
[1] => 5.603
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 20:00:00
[1] => 5.77
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 03:00:00
[1] => 5.688
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 12:00:00
[1] => 6.063
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 01:00:00
[1] => 6.087
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 05:00:00
[1] => 6.087
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 5.96
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
[1] => 6.122
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 10:00:00
[1] => 6.094
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:00:00
[1] => 5.91
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6737774860519
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3874788494078
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1133671742809
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 00:30:00
[1] => 6.117
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 03:45:00
[1] => 6.033
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 04:45:00
[1] => 6.072
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 06:45:00
[1] => 6.005
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 09:45:00
[1] => 6.001
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 10:30:00
[1] => 6.094
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 13:30:00
[1] => 6.063
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:15:00
[1] => 5.91
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 19:15:00
[1] => 5.915
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 21:30:00
[1] => 5.992
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.301775147929
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.301775147929
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 15:05:00
[1] => 5.96
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 15:50:00
[1] => 5.999
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 16:05:00
[1] => 5.999
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 17:25:00
[1] => 5.934
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 17:55:00
[1] => 5.963
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 19:15:00
[1] => 5.915
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 19:20:00
[1] => 5.956
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 19:55:00
[1] => 5.931
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 21:00:00
[1] => 5.945
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 21:35:00
[1] => 5.992
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.79058031959629
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.79058031959629
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 15:05:00 | 5.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 15:50:00 | 5.999 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 16:05:00 | 5.999 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 17:25:00 | 5.934 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 17:55:00 | 5.963 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 19:15:00 | 5.915 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 19:20:00 | 5.956 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 19:55:00 | 5.931 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 21:00:00 | 5.945 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 21:35:00 | 5.992 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 00:30:00 | 6.117 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 03:45:00 | 6.033 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 04:45:00 | 6.072 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 06:45:00 | 6.005 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 09:45:00 | 6.001 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 10:30:00 | 6.094 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 13:30:00 | 6.063 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:15:00 | 5.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 19:15:00 | 5.915 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 21:30:00 | 5.992 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 10:00:00 | 5.603 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 20:00:00 | 5.77 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 03:00:00 | 5.688 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 12:00:00 | 6.063 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 01:00:00 | 6.087 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 05:00:00 | 6.087 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 5.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 18:00:00 | 6.122 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 10:00:00 | 6.094 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:00:00 | 5.91 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec 2025 21:38:22 |
04 Dec 2025 22:40:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.991 | 6.0067 | 5.9596 | 2 | 3.42 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.0067 - 5.991 = 0.015700000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5.991 - 5.9596 = 0.0314
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0314 / 0.015700000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3057.1765 | 100 | 510.2949 | 30.57 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.015700000000001 = 509.55
Taille de position USD = 509.55 x 5.991 = 3052.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 509.55 avec un stoploss a 6.0067
Avec un position size USD de 3052.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 509.55 x 0.015700000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 509.55 x 0.0314 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0167 % | 6.37 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.9596
[stop_loss] => 6.0067
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 22:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.95175
[stop_loss] => 6.0067
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 22:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.9439
[stop_loss] => 6.0067
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 22:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.93605
[stop_loss] => 6.0067
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.9282
[stop_loss] => 6.0067
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.92035
[stop_loss] => 6.0067
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5.9125
[stop_loss] => 6.0067
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-04 23:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.079
[max_drawdown] => 0.0010000000000003
[rr_ratio] => 79
[high] => 5.99200000
[low] => 5.91200000
[mfe_pct] => 1.32
[mae_pct] => 0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 79
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-04T21:38:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-04T23:38:22-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.116
[max_drawdown] => 0.0010000000000003
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 5.99200000
[low] => 5.87500000
[mfe_pct] => 1.94
[mae_pct] => 0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 116
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-04T21:38:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-05T04:38:22-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5.99200000
[high_after] => 5.99200000
[low_before] => 5.91500000
[low_after] => 5.91200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)