Short Trade on AAPL 05 Dec 2025 at 07:26:37
Take profit at 280.7157 (0.098 %) and Stop Loss at 281.1271 (0.049 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 05 Dec 2025 at 07:26:37
Take profit at 280.7157 (0.098 %) and Stop Loss at 281.1271 (0.049 %)
Position size of 16392.6935 $
Take profit at 280.7157 (0.098 %) and Stop Loss at 281.1271 (0.049 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.74 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.94 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.084596 15m : 0.180893 1H : 0.103209 |
0 |
Indicators:
91667
-0.00553155
91160
0.084596
92083.2
-0.00892931
91261
0.180893
90982.3
0.00195208
91160
0.103209
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 11:00:00
[1] => 287.72
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 23:00:00
[1] => 287.58
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 288.89
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 15:00:00
[1] => 284.16
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 21:00:00
[1] => 284
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 02:00:00
[1] => 284.84
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 09:00:00
[1] => 284.91
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:00:00
[1] => 278.9
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 04:00:00
[1] => 281.69
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 06:00:00
[1] => 280.37
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22365011182505
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24610336341263
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.4708064343546
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 09:30:00
[1] => 284.91
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:15:00
[1] => 278.9
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 15:00:00
[1] => 280.84
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 18:00:00
[1] => 281.11
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 19:00:00
[1] => 280.45
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 00:15:00
[1] => 281.58
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 02:00:00
[1] => 280.8
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 04:00:00
[1] => 281.69
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 06:45:00
[1] => 280.37
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 07:15:00
[1] => 281.11
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.017786631567718
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24610336341263
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26393694047152
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 23:55:00
[1] => 281.44
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 00:25:00
[1] => 281.58
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 01:25:00
[1] => 280.93
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 01:55:00
[1] => 281.12
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 02:05:00
[1] => 280.8
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 04:10:00
[1] => 281.69
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 05:05:00
[1] => 280.8
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 05:50:00
[1] => 281.1
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 06:45:00
[1] => 280.37
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 07:15:00
[1] => 281.11
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.017786631567718
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24610336341263
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26393694047152
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 23:55:00 | 281.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 00:25:00 | 281.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 01:25:00 | 280.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 01:55:00 | 281.12 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 02:05:00 | 280.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 04:10:00 | 281.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 05:05:00 | 280.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 05:50:00 | 281.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 06:45:00 | 280.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 07:15:00 | 281.11 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 09:30:00 | 284.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:15:00 | 278.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 15:00:00 | 280.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 18:00:00 | 281.11 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 19:00:00 | 280.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 00:15:00 | 281.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 02:00:00 | 280.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 04:00:00 | 281.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 06:45:00 | 280.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 07:15:00 | 281.11 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 11:00:00 | 287.72 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 23:00:00 | 287.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 288.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 15:00:00 | 284.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 21:00:00 | 284 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 02:00:00 | 284.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 09:00:00 | 284.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:00:00 | 278.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 04:00:00 | 281.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 06:00:00 | 280.37 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec 2025 07:26:37 |
05 Dec 2025 07:35:00 |
8 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280.99 | 281.1271 | 280.7157 | 2 | 271.76 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 281.1271 - 280.99 = 0.13709999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 280.99 - 280.7157 = 0.27429999999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.27429999999998 / 0.13709999999998 = 2.0007
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16392.6935 | 100 | 58.3391 | 163.93 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.13709999999998 = 58.35
Taille de position USD = 58.35 x 280.99 = 16395.77
Donc, tu peux acheter 58.35 avec un stoploss a 281.1271
Avec un position size USD de 16395.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 58.35 x 0.13709999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 58.35 x 0.27429999999998 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.098 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.049 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0819 % | 167.83 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 280.7157
[entry_price] => 280.99
[stop_loss] => 281.14081
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 07:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 280.7157
[entry_price] => 280.99
[stop_loss] => 281.15452
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 07:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 280.7157
[entry_price] => 280.99
[stop_loss] => 281.16823
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 07:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 280.7157
[entry_price] => 280.99
[stop_loss] => 281.19565
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 07:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.86000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.33999999999997
[rr_ratio] => 2.53
[high] => 281.33000000
[low] => 280.13000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.31
[mae_pct] => 0.12
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.53
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T07:26:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-05T09:26:37-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.62
[max_drawdown] => 0.43000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 6.09
[high] => 281.42000000
[low] => 278.37000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.93
[mae_pct] => 0.15
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.09
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T07:26:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-05T14:26:37-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 281.69000000
[high_after] => 281.42000000
[low_before] => 280.37000000
[low_after] => 278.37000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)