Short Trade on AAPL 05 Dec 2025 at 16:43:03
Take profit at 279.1678 (0.18 %) and Stop Loss at 279.9361 (0.092 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 05 Dec 2025 at 16:43:03
Take profit at 279.1678 (0.18 %) and Stop Loss at 279.9361 (0.092 %)
Position size of 8737.047 $
Take profit at 279.1678 (0.18 %) and Stop Loss at 279.9361 (0.092 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.94 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.010379 15m : 0.078284 1H : 0.037235 |
3 |
Indicators:
89631.6
-0.00419703
89255.5
-0.010379
90793.2
-0.0158083
89358
0.078284
90567.6
-0.0144881
89255.5
0.037235
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 23:00:00
[1] => 287.58
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 288.89
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 15:00:00
[1] => 284.16
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 21:00:00
[1] => 284
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 02:00:00
[1] => 284.84
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 09:00:00
[1] => 284.91
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:00:00
[1] => 278.9
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 04:00:00
[1] => 281.69
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:00:00
[1] => 281.42
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 12:00:00
[1] => 278.37
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61829294293228
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.47059668786148
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0956640442576
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 04:00:00
[1] => 281.69
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 06:45:00
[1] => 280.37
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 07:30:00
[1] => 281.33
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 09:30:00
[1] => 279.75
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:15:00
[1] => 281.42
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 12:00:00
[1] => 278.37
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 12:30:00
[1] => 278.37
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 13:30:00
[1] => 279.68
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 15:45:00
[1] => 278.48
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 16:30:00
[1] => 279.68
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.43091065785693
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.43091065785693
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 12:05:00
[1] => 278.37
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 12:35:00
[1] => 278.37
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 12:55:00
[1] => 279.58
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 13:20:00
[1] => 279.17
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 13:30:00
[1] => 279.68
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 13:55:00
[1] => 278.88
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:10:00
[1] => 279.65
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 15:35:00
[1] => 279.13
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 15:55:00
[1] => 278.48
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 16:40:00
[1] => 279.68
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.43091065785693
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.43091065785693
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 12:05:00 | 278.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 12:35:00 | 278.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 12:55:00 | 279.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 13:20:00 | 279.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 13:30:00 | 279.68 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 13:55:00 | 278.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 14:10:00 | 279.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 15:35:00 | 279.13 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 15:55:00 | 278.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 16:40:00 | 279.68 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 04:00:00 | 281.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 06:45:00 | 280.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 07:30:00 | 281.33 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 09:30:00 | 279.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 10:15:00 | 281.42 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 12:00:00 | 278.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 12:30:00 | 278.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 13:30:00 | 279.68 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 15:45:00 | 278.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 16:30:00 | 279.68 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 23:00:00 | 287.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 288.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 15:00:00 | 284.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 21:00:00 | 284 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 02:00:00 | 284.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 09:00:00 | 284.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:00:00 | 278.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 04:00:00 | 281.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 10:00:00 | 281.42 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 12:00:00 | 278.37 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec 2025 16:43:03 |
07 Dec 2025 20:00:00 |
2 days |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279.68 | 279.9361 | 279.1678 | 2 | 271.57 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 279.9361 - 279.68 = 0.2561
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 279.68 - 279.1678 = 0.51220000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.51220000000001 / 0.2561 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8737.047 | 100 | 31.2394 | 87.37 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2561 = 31.24
Taille de position USD = 31.24 x 279.68 = 8737.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 31.24 avec un stoploss a 279.9361
Avec un position size USD de 8737.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 31.24 x 0.2561 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 31.24 x 0.51220000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.092 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0322 % | 35.15 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.40000000000003
[max_drawdown] => 0.089999999999975
[rr_ratio] => 4.44
[high] => 279.77000000
[low] => 279.28000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.14
[mae_pct] => 0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.44
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T16:43:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-05T18:43:03-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.49000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.089999999999975
[rr_ratio] => 5.44
[high] => 279.77000000
[low] => 279.19000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.18
[mae_pct] => 0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.44
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T16:43:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-05T23:43:03-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 279.68000000
[high_after] => 279.77000000
[low_before] => 278.48000000
[low_after] => 279.19000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)