Short Trade on BTC 05 Dec 2025 at 22:05:23
Take profit at 89228.0911 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 89673.3044 (0.17 %)
Short Trade on BTC 05 Dec 2025 at 22:05:23
Take profit at 89228.0911 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 89673.3044 (0.17 %)
Position size of 4825.996 $
Take profit at 89228.0911 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 89673.3044 (0.17 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.75 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.65 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.89 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.219344 1H : 0.038446 |
1 |
Indicators:
89231.8
0.00328384
89524.9
1
90262.7
-0.00817492
89524.9
-0.219344
90590.9
-0.0117679
89524.9
0.038446
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 19:00:00
[1] => 86123.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 20:00:00
[1] => 87332.2
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 14:00:00
[1] => 92280.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 01:00:00
[1] => 93925
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 93670.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 17:00:00
[1] => 94147
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 04:00:00
[1] => 93577
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:00:00
[1] => 90842
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 11:00:00
[1] => 88012.4
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 89676.2
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01360450152883
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8765537583341
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8904154414605
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 09:30:00
[1] => 89852.5
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:00:00
[1] => 91447.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 11:30:00
[1] => 88012.4
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 13:00:00
[1] => 89771
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:00:00
[1] => 88771.9
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:45:00
[1] => 89779.8
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:00:00
[1] => 88866.7
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:15:00
[1] => 89458
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:00:00
[1] => 89125.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 89676.2
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01360450152883
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.60420418398775
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.61789274674476
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:10:00
[1] => 88866.7
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:50:00
[1] => 89336.4
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 18:05:00
[1] => 88899.6
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 18:55:00
[1] => 89340
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:10:00
[1] => 89000
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:35:00
[1] => 89421.5
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:20:00
[1] => 89458
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:05:00
[1] => 89125.5
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:20:00
[1] => 89317.9
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:05:00
[1] => 89676.2
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01360450152883
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.60420418398775
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.40115139294587
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 17:10:00 | 88866.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 17:50:00 | 89336.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 18:05:00 | 88899.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 18:55:00 | 89340 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 19:10:00 | 89000 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 19:35:00 | 89421.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 20:20:00 | 89458 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 21:05:00 | 89125.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 21:20:00 | 89317.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 22:05:00 | 89676.2 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 09:30:00 | 89852.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 10:00:00 | 91447.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 11:30:00 | 88012.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 13:00:00 | 89771 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 14:00:00 | 88771.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 14:45:00 | 89779.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 17:00:00 | 88866.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 20:15:00 | 89458 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 21:00:00 | 89125.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 89676.2 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 19:00:00 | 86123.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 20:00:00 | 87332.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 14:00:00 | 92280.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 01:00:00 | 93925 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 93670.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 17:00:00 | 94147 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 04:00:00 | 93577 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:00:00 | 90842 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 11:00:00 | 88012.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 89676.2 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec 2025 22:05:23 |
05 Dec 2025 22:10:00 |
4 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89524.9 | 89673.3044 | 89228.0911 | 2 | 67667.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 89673.3044 - 89524.9 = 148.4044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 89524.9 - 89228.0911 = 296.80889999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 296.80889999999 / 148.4044 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4825.996 | 100 | 0.05391 | 48.26 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 148.4044 = 0.05
Taille de position USD = 0.05 x 89524.9 = 4476.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.05 avec un stoploss a 89673.3044
Avec un position size USD de 4476.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.05 x 148.4044 = 7.42
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.42$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.05 x 296.80889999999 = 14.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.84$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2626 % | 158.38 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89228.0911
[entry_price] => 89524.9
[stop_loss] => 89688.14484
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 22:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89228.0911
[entry_price] => 89524.9
[stop_loss] => 89702.98528
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 22:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89228.0911
[entry_price] => 89524.9
[stop_loss] => 89717.82572
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 22:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89228.0911
[entry_price] => 89524.9
[stop_loss] => 89747.5066
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 22:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 49.099999999991
[max_drawdown] => 235.10000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.21
[high] => 89760.00000000
[low] => 89475.80000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.05
[mae_pct] => 0.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T22:05:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T00:05:23-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 365.2
[max_drawdown] => 235.10000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.55
[high] => 89760.00000000
[low] => 89159.70000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.41
[mae_pct] => 0.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.55
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T22:05:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T05:05:23-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 89676.20000000
[high_after] => 89760.00000000
[low_before] => 89000.00000000
[low_after] => 89159.70000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)