Short Trade on ETH 05 Dec 2025 at 22:13:37
Take profit at 3028.5645 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 3051.1628 (0.25 %)
Short Trade on ETH 05 Dec 2025 at 22:13:37
Take profit at 3028.5645 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 3051.1628 (0.25 %)
Position size of 3232.4201 $
Take profit at 3028.5645 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 3051.1628 (0.25 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.62 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.39 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.819217 15m : 0.049062 1H : 0.081789 |
1 |
Indicators:
89229.4
0.00533938
89705.9
0.819217
90266.3
-0.00620913
89705.9
0.049062
90594.5
-0.0098091
89705.9
0.081789
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 01:00:00
[1] => 3085
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 3146.88
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 20:00:00
[1] => 3238.91
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 00:00:00
[1] => 3168.39
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 11:00:00
[1] => 3224.6
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:00:00
[1] => 3064.58
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 22:00:00
[1] => 3192.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:00:00
[1] => 3157.07
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:00:00
[1] => 2981.12
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 3044.83
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.098527668211362
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0364829325891
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1371162516101
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:00:00
[1] => 3157.07
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 11:30:00
[1] => 2998.12
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 13:00:00
[1] => 3062.72
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:00:00
[1] => 2981.12
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 15:15:00
[1] => 3049.12
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:45:00
[1] => 3032
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 18:00:00
[1] => 3005.14
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:15:00
[1] => 3031.85
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:00:00
[1] => 3016.84
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 3044.83
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.098527668211362
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.82835019424298
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.92779199427214
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 15:50:00
[1] => 3014.36
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 16:20:00
[1] => 3036.64
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:10:00
[1] => 3009.34
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:50:00
[1] => 3032
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 18:05:00
[1] => 3005.14
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:20:00
[1] => 3010.92
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:20:00
[1] => 3031.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:50:00
[1] => 3027.53
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:05:00
[1] => 3016.84
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:10:00
[1] => 3044.83
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.098527668211362
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.82835019424298
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.92779199427214
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 15:50:00 | 3014.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 16:20:00 | 3036.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 17:10:00 | 3009.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 17:50:00 | 3032 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 18:05:00 | 3005.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 19:20:00 | 3010.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 20:20:00 | 3031.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 20:50:00 | 3027.53 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 21:05:00 | 3016.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:10:00 | 3044.83 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 10:00:00 | 3157.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 11:30:00 | 2998.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 13:00:00 | 3062.72 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 14:00:00 | 2981.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 15:15:00 | 3049.12 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 17:45:00 | 3032 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 18:00:00 | 3005.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 20:15:00 | 3031.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 21:00:00 | 3016.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 3044.83 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 01:00:00 | 3085 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 3146.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 20:00:00 | 3238.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 00:00:00 | 3168.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 11:00:00 | 3224.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:00:00 | 3064.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 22:00:00 | 3192.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 10:00:00 | 3157.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 14:00:00 | 2981.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 3044.83 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec 2025 22:13:37 |
05 Dec 2025 23:25:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3043.63 | 3051.1628 | 3028.5645 | 2 | 1913.24 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3051.1628 - 3043.63 = 7.5328
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3043.63 - 3028.5645 = 15.0655
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 15.0655 / 7.5328 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3232.4201 | 100 | 1.062 | 32.32 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 7.5328 = 1.06
Taille de position USD = 1.06 x 3043.63 = 3226.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.06 avec un stoploss a 3051.1628
Avec un position size USD de 3226.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.06 x 7.5328 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.06 x 15.0655 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3028.5644
[stop_loss] => 3051.1628
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3024.798
[stop_loss] => 3051.1628
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3021.0316
[stop_loss] => 3051.1628
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 03:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3017.2652
[stop_loss] => 3051.1628
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 03:20:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3013.4988
[stop_loss] => 3051.1628
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 03:25:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 15.44
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 3043.36000000
[low] => 3028.19000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.51
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T22:13:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T00:13:37-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 32.55
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 3043.36000000
[low] => 3011.08000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.07
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T22:13:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T05:13:37-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3044.83000000
[high_after] => 3043.36000000
[low_before] => 3009.11000000
[low_after] => 3011.08000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)