Short Trade on JUP 05 Dec 2025 at 22:17:26
Take profit at 0.2291 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2312 (0.3 %)
Short Trade on JUP 05 Dec 2025 at 22:17:26
Take profit at 0.2291 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2312 (0.3 %)
Position size of 2698.3406 $
Take profit at 0.2291 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2312 (0.3 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.86 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.609414 15m : 0.023372 1H : 0.137203 |
1 |
Indicators:
89228.5
0.00551938
89721
0.609414
90267.4
-0.00605408
89721
0.023372
90594.8
-0.00964569
89721
0.137203
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 0.246
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 20:00:00
[1] => 0.2583
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 02:00:00
[1] => 0.2513
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 04:00:00
[1] => 0.2561
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 11:00:00
[1] => 0.2548
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:00:00
[1] => 0.2412
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 02:00:00
[1] => 0.2453
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:00:00
[1] => 0.2439
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:00:00
[1] => 0.2248
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 0.231
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21645021645022
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5355871886121
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7580071174377
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 07:30:00
[1] => 0.2429
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:00:00
[1] => 0.2439
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 13:00:00
[1] => 0.2314
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:00:00
[1] => 0.2248
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:45:00
[1] => 0.2302
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 16:15:00
[1] => 0.2297
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:00:00
[1] => 0.2267
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:15:00
[1] => 0.2298
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:30:00
[1] => 0.2277
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 0.231
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21645021645022
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2296881862099
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4492753623188
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:50:00
[1] => 0.2291
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 18:05:00
[1] => 0.2268
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 18:55:00
[1] => 0.2289
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:25:00
[1] => 0.2274
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:15:00
[1] => 0.2298
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:25:00
[1] => 0.2298
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:35:00
[1] => 0.2283
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:05:00
[1] => 0.2278
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:40:00
[1] => 0.2277
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:10:00
[1] => 0.231
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21645021645022
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2296881862099
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4492753623188
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 17:50:00 | 0.2291 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 18:05:00 | 0.2268 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 18:55:00 | 0.2289 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 19:25:00 | 0.2274 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 20:15:00 | 0.2298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 20:25:00 | 0.2298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 20:35:00 | 0.2283 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 21:05:00 | 0.2278 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 21:40:00 | 0.2277 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:10:00 | 0.231 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 07:30:00 | 0.2429 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 10:00:00 | 0.2439 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 13:00:00 | 0.2314 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 14:00:00 | 0.2248 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 14:45:00 | 0.2302 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 16:15:00 | 0.2297 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 17:00:00 | 0.2267 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 20:15:00 | 0.2298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 21:30:00 | 0.2277 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 0.231 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 0.246 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 20:00:00 | 0.2583 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 02:00:00 | 0.2513 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 04:00:00 | 0.2561 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 11:00:00 | 0.2548 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:00:00 | 0.2412 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 02:00:00 | 0.2453 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 10:00:00 | 0.2439 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 14:00:00 | 0.2248 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 0.231 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec 2025 22:17:26 |
05 Dec 2025 23:10:00 |
52 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2305 | 0.2312 | 0.2291 | 2 | 0.1555 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2312 - 0.2305 = 0.00069999999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2305 - 0.2291 = 0.0014
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0014 / 0.00069999999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2698.3406 | 100 | 11706.4669 | 26.98 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00069999999999998 = 11428.57
Taille de position USD = 11428.57 x 0.2305 = 2634.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.2312
Avec un position size USD de 2634.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11428.57 x 0.00069999999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11428.57 x 0.0014 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 16.39 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 8.19 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.39 $ | 0.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2291
[stop_loss] => 0.2312
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.22875
[stop_loss] => 0.2312
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2284
[stop_loss] => 0.2312
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.22805
[stop_loss] => 0.2312
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2277
[stop_loss] => 0.2312
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 00:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.22735
[stop_loss] => 0.2312
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.227
[stop_loss] => 0.2312
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.22665
[stop_loss] => 0.2312
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 03:25:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2263
[stop_loss] => 0.2312
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 03:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0029
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 0.23050000
[low] => 0.22760000
[mfe_pct] => 1.26
[mae_pct] => 0
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T22:17:26-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T00:17:26-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0045
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 0.23050000
[low] => 0.22600000
[mfe_pct] => 1.95
[mae_pct] => 0
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T22:17:26-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T05:17:26-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.23100000
[high_after] => 0.23050000
[low_before] => 0.22740000
[low_after] => 0.22600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)