Short Trade on NMR 05 Dec 2025 at 22:19:11
Take profit at 10.8786 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 11.0172 (0.42 %)
Short Trade on NMR 05 Dec 2025 at 22:19:11
Take profit at 10.8786 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 11.0172 (0.42 %)
Position size of 1899.2024 $
Take profit at 10.8786 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 11.0172 (0.42 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.59 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.339688 15m : -0.019176 1H : -0.033253 |
1 |
Indicators:
89227.3
0.00484825
89659.9
0.339688
90266.2
-0.00671764
89659.9
-0.019176
90593.6
-0.0103069
89659.9
-0.033253
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 10:00:00
[1] => 11.03
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 02:00:00
[1] => 11.606
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 10.949
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
[1] => 11.344
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 04:00:00
[1] => 11.449
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:00:00
[1] => 10.878
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 21:00:00
[1] => 11.521
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:00:00
[1] => 12.311
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 16:00:00
[1] => 10.681
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 11.042
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.64299945662018
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7151015822489
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3798333489374
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 21:15:00
[1] => 11.392
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 22:45:00
[1] => 11.08
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 02:00:00
[1] => 11.28
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 04:30:00
[1] => 11.062
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 08:30:00
[1] => 10.895
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:30:00
[1] => 12.311
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 16:45:00
[1] => 10.681
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:45:00
[1] => 10.879
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:15:00
[1] => 10.73
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 11.042
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.64299945662018
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2460391425909
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9077353215284
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 16:00:00
[1] => 10.884
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 16:45:00
[1] => 10.681
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:15:00
[1] => 10.692
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:55:00
[1] => 10.879
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 18:25:00
[1] => 10.738
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:10:00
[1] => 10.832
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:25:00
[1] => 10.73
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:15:00
[1] => 10.817
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:30:00
[1] => 10.737
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:10:00
[1] => 11.042
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.64299945662018
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1793797150042
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.840644500326
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 16:00:00 | 10.884 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 16:45:00 | 10.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 17:15:00 | 10.692 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 17:55:00 | 10.879 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 18:25:00 | 10.738 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 19:10:00 | 10.832 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 19:25:00 | 10.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 20:15:00 | 10.817 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 20:30:00 | 10.737 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:10:00 | 11.042 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 21:15:00 | 11.392 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 22:45:00 | 11.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 02:00:00 | 11.28 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 04:30:00 | 11.062 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 08:30:00 | 10.895 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 10:30:00 | 12.311 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 16:45:00 | 10.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 17:45:00 | 10.879 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 19:15:00 | 10.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 11.042 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 10:00:00 | 11.03 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 02:00:00 | 11.606 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 10.949 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 18:00:00 | 11.344 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 04:00:00 | 11.449 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:00:00 | 10.878 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 21:00:00 | 11.521 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 10:00:00 | 12.311 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 16:00:00 | 10.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 11.042 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec 2025 22:19:11 |
05 Dec 2025 23:10:00 |
50 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.971 | 11.0172 | 10.8786 | 2 | 7.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.0172 - 10.971 = 0.046200000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 10.971 - 10.8786 = 0.0924
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0924 / 0.046200000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1899.2024 | 100 | 173.1111 | 18.99 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.046200000000001 = 173.16
Taille de position USD = 173.16 x 10.971 = 1899.74
Donc, tu peux acheter 173.16 avec un stoploss a 11.0172
Avec un position size USD de 1899.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 173.16 x 0.046200000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 173.16 x 0.0924 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.8786
[stop_loss] => 11.0172
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.8555
[stop_loss] => 11.0172
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.8324
[stop_loss] => 11.0172
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.8093
[stop_loss] => 11.0172
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.7862
[stop_loss] => 11.0172
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-05 23:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.7631
[stop_loss] => 11.0172
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 00:50:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.74
[stop_loss] => 11.0172
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.7169
[stop_loss] => 11.0172
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 04:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.191
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 10.97100000
[low] => 10.78000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.74
[mae_pct] => 0
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T22:19:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T00:19:11-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.276
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 10.97100000
[low] => 10.69500000
[mfe_pct] => 2.52
[mae_pct] => 0
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-05T22:19:11-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T05:19:11-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 11.04200000
[high_after] => 10.97100000
[low_before] => 10.73000000
[low_after] => 10.69500000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)