Short Trade on AAVE 06 Dec 2025 at 00:02:57
Take profit at 183.4811 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 184.8294 (0.24 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 06 Dec 2025 at 00:02:57
Take profit at 183.4811 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 184.8294 (0.24 %)
Position size of 3281.924 $
Take profit at 183.4811 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 184.8294 (0.24 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.6 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.67 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.704322 15m : 0.034232 1H : -0.169928 |
2 |
Indicators:
89389.3
0.00333271
89687.3
0.704322
90118.5
-0.00478563
89687.3
0.034232
90562.1
-0.0096603
89687.3
-0.169928
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 03:00:00
[1] => 194.68
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 195.71
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
[1] => 200.47
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 03:00:00
[1] => 192.25
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 10:00:00
[1] => 196.73
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 14:00:00
[1] => 187.24
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-04 22:00:00
[1] => 193.42
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 10:00:00
[1] => 192.95
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:00:00
[1] => 181.31
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 184.89
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23797933906647
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7318404941812
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9745187799901
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 13:00:00
[1] => 186.18
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:00:00
[1] => 181.31
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 14:45:00
[1] => 185.33
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:45:00
[1] => 184.8
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:15:00
[1] => 182.15
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:15:00
[1] => 184.29
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:00:00
[1] => 182.54
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:00:00
[1] => 184.89
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 23:15:00
[1] => 182.78
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-06 00:00:00
[1] => 184.48
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.016261925411969
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91366670314038
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.93007987744829
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 17:45:00
[1] => 184.8
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 18:05:00
[1] => 182.83
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 18:30:00
[1] => 183.92
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:25:00
[1] => 182.15
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 19:35:00
[1] => 183.54
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 20:15:00
[1] => 184.29
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 21:05:00
[1] => 182.54
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 22:05:00
[1] => 184.89
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-05 23:25:00
[1] => 182.78
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-06 00:00:00
[1] => 184.48
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.016261925411969
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91366670314038
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.93007987744829
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 17:45:00 | 184.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 18:05:00 | 182.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 18:30:00 | 183.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 19:25:00 | 182.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 19:35:00 | 183.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 20:15:00 | 184.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 21:05:00 | 182.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:05:00 | 184.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 23:25:00 | 182.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-06 00:00:00 | 184.48 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 13:00:00 | 186.18 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 14:00:00 | 181.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 14:45:00 | 185.33 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 17:45:00 | 184.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 19:15:00 | 182.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 20:15:00 | 184.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 21:00:00 | 182.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 184.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 23:15:00 | 182.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-06 00:00:00 | 184.48 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 03:00:00 | 194.68 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 195.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 18:00:00 | 200.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 03:00:00 | 192.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 10:00:00 | 196.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-04 14:00:00 | 187.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-04 22:00:00 | 193.42 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 10:00:00 | 192.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-05 14:00:00 | 181.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-05 22:00:00 | 184.89 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec 2025 00:02:57 |
06 Dec 2025 00:25:00 |
22 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184.38 | 184.8294 | 183.4811 | 2 | 114.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 184.8294 - 184.38 = 0.4494
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 184.38 - 183.4811 = 0.8989
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8989 / 0.4494 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3281.924 | 100 | 17.7998 | 32.82 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4494 = 17.8
Taille de position USD = 17.8 x 184.38 = 3281.96
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.8 avec un stoploss a 184.8294
Avec un position size USD de 3281.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.8 x 0.4494 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.8 x 0.8989 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0651 % | 26.71 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 183.4812
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 00:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 183.2565
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 183.0318
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 182.8071
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 182.5824
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 182.3577
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 182.133
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 181.9083
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 181.6836
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 181.4589
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 181.2342
[stop_loss] => 184.8294
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-06 01:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1
[max_drawdown] => 0.72
[rr_ratio] => 1.39
[high] => 185.10000000
[low] => 183.38000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.54
[mae_pct] => 0.39
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.39
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-06T00:02:57-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T02:02:57-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.35
[max_drawdown] => 0.72
[rr_ratio] => 3.26
[high] => 185.10000000
[low] => 182.03000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.27
[mae_pct] => 0.39
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.26
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-06T00:02:57-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-06T07:02:57-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 184.89000000
[high_after] => 185.10000000
[low_before] => 182.54000000
[low_after] => 182.03000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)