Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 15:38:31

Take profit at 192.9866 (1.55 %) and Stop Loss at 188.5667 (0.78 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 09 Dec 2025 at 15:38:31

With 5.43 MSTR at 190.04$ per unit.

Position size of 1031.9101 $

Take profit at 192.9866 (1.55 %) and Stop Loss at 188.5667 (0.78 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.15
Prediction Score: 7
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.44
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.51
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.722882

15m : 0.132279

1H : -0.113281

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.9822044662
Details
  1. score: 2.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 189.883
  4. ema21 : 186.776
  5. ema50 : 183.979
  6. ema100 : 182.18
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00082447
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.016633
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0152055
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0431413
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.344239
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.202925
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.113591
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0686618
  17. rsi : 0.584352
  18. adx : 0.305336
  19. kc_percentage : 0.742795
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0670214
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.37569
  22. volume_ema1 : 2694357.0832212
  23. volume_ema2 : 1134135.8607672
  24. chop : 12.2477
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 192.203
  29. ema21 : 191.418
  30. ema50 : 188.347
  31. ema100 : 186.054
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.0112574
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00410056
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0163091
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0214209
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0333615
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.10605
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.120239
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0820861
  42. rsi : 0.459343
  43. adx : 0.341087
  44. kc_percentage : 0.296779
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0388804
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.208171
  47. volume_ema1 : 681492.48453286
  48. volume_ema2 : 564069.15384321
  49. chop : 40.9919
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 191.522
  54. ema21 : 192.423
  55. ema50 : 192.082
  56. ema100 : 189.969
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00773995
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00468403
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00177616
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.000369039
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0730091
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0325395
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00803164
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0301437
  67. rsi : 0.327861
  68. adx : 0.235698
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0764194
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0214305
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.546125
  72. volume_ema1 : 393214.25844886
  73. volume_ema2 : 254322.40294224
  74. chop : 29.6736
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92716.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00360942
  81. 5m_price:
    93051.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.722882
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91418.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0150592
  86. 15m_price:
    92795.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.132279
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90508.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0281007
  91. 1H_price:
    93051.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.113281
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 13:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                        [1] => 182.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 185.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                        [1] => 178.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.2430961499698
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2275999556983
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.8903533060139
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 22:45:00
                        [1] => 182.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 01:30:00
                        [1] => 181.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
                        [1] => 180.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
                        [1] => 182.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:15:00
                        [1] => 189.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4537987679671
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33264691905593
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8565394160199
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 07:55:00
                        [1] => 182.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 182.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 10:00:00
                        [1] => 184.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:40:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:50:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 194.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
                        [1] => 192.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
                        [1] => 189.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4537987679671
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33264691905593
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8565394160199
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.45%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.33%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.86%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8233
0.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.4534
2.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 07:55:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 182.82 ↑ High
2025-12-09 10:00:00 184.43 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:40:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:50:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:00:00 194.42 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:05:00 192.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 13:50:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:50:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:25:00 189.39 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.45%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.33%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.86%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.9867
4.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.4534
2.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-08 22:45:00 182.66 ↑ High
2025-12-09 01:30:00 181.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 05:00:00 180.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 07:45:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:30:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:45:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:45:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:15:00 189.39 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.23%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.89%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.1667
5.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.4534
2.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 13:00:00 178.62 ↑ High
2025-12-07 15:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 17:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 19:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Dec 2025
15:38:31
09 Dec 2025
15:55:00
16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
190.04 188.5667 192.9866 2 133.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 190.04
  • Stop Loss: 188.5667
  • Take Profit: 192.9866

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 188.5667 - 190.04 = -1.4733

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 190.04 - 192.9866 = -2.9466

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.9466 / -1.4733 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1031.9101 100 5.43 10.32
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.4733

Taille de position = 8 / -1.4733 = -5.43

Taille de position USD = -5.43 x 190.04 = -1031.92

Donc, tu peux acheter -5.43 avec un stoploss a 188.5667

Avec un position size USD de -1031.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5.43 x -1.4733 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5.43 x -2.9466 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -5.43
  • Taille de position USD -1031.92
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.55 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.78 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8261 % 106.55 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.9866
            [entry_price] => 190.04
            [stop_loss] => 188.41937
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.9866
            [entry_price] => 190.04
            [stop_loss] => 188.27204
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.9866
            [entry_price] => 190.04
            [stop_loss] => 188.12471
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.9866
            [entry_price] => 190.04
            [stop_loss] => 187.83005
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 16:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.26000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 2.43
            [rr_ratio] => 0.11
            [high] => 190.30000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.14
            [mae_pct] => 1.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T15:38:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T17:38:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.26000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 2.43
            [rr_ratio] => 0.11
            [high] => 190.30000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.14
            [mae_pct] => 1.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T15:38:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T22:38:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 198.44000000
            [high_after] => 190.30000000
            [low_before] => 189.39000000
            [low_after] => 187.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)