Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 16:03:57

Take profit at 191.9557 (1.45 %) and Stop Loss at 187.8521 (0.72 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 09 Dec 2025 at 16:03:57

With 5.8485 MSTR at 189.22$ per unit.

Position size of 1106.6606 $

Take profit at 191.9557 (1.45 %) and Stop Loss at 187.8521 (0.72 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.32
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.75
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.717786

15m : 0.012323

1H : 0.133173

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.9119086403
Details
  1. score: 2.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 189.597
  4. ema21 : 186.919
  5. ema50 : 184.121
  6. ema100 : 182.103
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00198925
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0143255
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0151939
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0390784
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.342105
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.214305
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.122709
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0763407
  17. rsi : 0.566184
  18. adx : 0.3194
  19. kc_percentage : 0.678915
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0631764
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.71997
  22. volume_ema1 : 1990663.7615141
  23. volume_ema2 : 1157382.4863194
  24. chop : 14.3109
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 191.166
  29. ema21 : 191.06
  30. ema50 : 188.439
  31. ema100 : 186.287
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.0101799
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000553911
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0139084
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0157435
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0869115
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0553751
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0959004
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0700403
  42. rsi : 0.448878
  43. adx : 0.308074
  44. kc_percentage : 0.218251
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0360938
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.0709222
  47. volume_ema1 : 525996.25835905
  48. volume_ema2 : 566148.79724709
  49. chop : 49.3464
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 190.154
  54. ema21 : 191.333
  55. ema50 : 191.628
  56. ema100 : 189.939
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00491285
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00616324
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00154076
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00378587
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.156405
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0940201
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0287565
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00841251
  67. rsi : 0.297605
  68. adx : 0.320232
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0630654
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0192269
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.33816
  72. volume_ema1 : 157523.36801755
  73. volume_ema2 : 238008.35616112
  74. chop : 26.2255
  75. regime : bear_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92752.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00370806
  81. 5m_price:
    93096.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.717786
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91529.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0171156
  86. 15m_price:
    93096.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.012323
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90505.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0286252
  91. 1H_price:
    93096.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.133173
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 13:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                        [1] => 182.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 185.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                        [1] => 178.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6462406772828
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7845830103001
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.8903533060139
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 22:45:00
                        [1] => 182.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 01:30:00
                        [1] => 181.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
                        [1] => 180.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
                        [1] => 182.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:45:00
                        [1] => 188.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.864476386037
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.39794131692046
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3586247148087
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 182.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 10:00:00
                        [1] => 184.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:40:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:50:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 194.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
                        [1] => 192.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
                        [1] => 189.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:55:00
                        [1] => 188.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.864476386037
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.39794131692046
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.48814134875576
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.86%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.40%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.49%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6179
0.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.4843
3.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 09:30:00 182.82 ↑ High
2025-12-09 10:00:00 184.43 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:40:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:50:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:00:00 194.42 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:05:00 192.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 13:50:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:50:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:25:00 189.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 15:55:00 188.47 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.86%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.40%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.2721
3.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.4843
3.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-08 22:45:00 182.66 ↑ High
2025-12-09 01:30:00 181.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 05:00:00 180.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 07:45:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:30:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:45:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:45:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:45:00 188.47 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.65%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.78%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.89%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.4521
5.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.4843
3.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 13:00:00 178.62 ↑ High
2025-12-07 15:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 17:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 19:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Dec 2025
16:03:57
09 Dec 2025
16:55:00
51 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
189.22 187.8521 191.9557 2 132.96
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 189.22
  • Stop Loss: 187.8521
  • Take Profit: 191.9557

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.8521 - 189.22 = -1.3679

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 189.22 - 191.9557 = -2.7357

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.7357 / -1.3679 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1106.6606 100 5.8485 11.07
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.3679

Taille de position = 8 / -1.3679 = -5.85

Taille de position USD = -5.85 x 189.22 = -1106.94

Donc, tu peux acheter -5.85 avec un stoploss a 187.8521

Avec un position size USD de -1106.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5.85 x -1.3679 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5.85 x -2.7357 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -5.85
  • Taille de position USD -1106.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.45 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.72 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8509 % 117.71 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.9557
            [entry_price] => 189.22
            [stop_loss] => 187.71531
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 16:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.28
            [max_drawdown] => 1.61
            [rr_ratio] => 0.17
            [high] => 189.50000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.15
            [mae_pct] => 0.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T16:03:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T18:03:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.47999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.61
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [high] => 189.70000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T16:03:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T23:03:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 198.07000000
            [high_after] => 189.70000000
            [low_before] => 188.47000000
            [low_after] => 187.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)