Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 16:08:35

Take profit at 191.4254 (1.42 %) and Stop Loss at 187.4123 (0.71 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 09 Dec 2025 at 16:08:35

With 5.9804 MSTR at 188.75$ per unit.

Position size of 1128.8031 $

Take profit at 191.4254 (1.42 %) and Stop Loss at 187.4123 (0.71 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.03
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.6
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.42
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.718709

15m : 0.061068

1H : -0.094469

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.8918000837
Details
  1. score: 2.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 189.503
  4. ema21 : 186.876
  5. ema50 : 184.103
  6. ema100 : 182.094
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00397437
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0140544
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0150635
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0365504
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.337804
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.212351
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.121863
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0759109
  17. rsi : 0.556524
  18. adx : 0.3194
  19. kc_percentage : 0.642012
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0639271
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.72687
  22. volume_ema1 : 2000685.5036808
  23. volume_ema2 : 1158561.5148096
  24. chop : 14.34
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 191.072
  29. ema21 : 191.017
  30. ema50 : 188.42
  31. ema100 : 186.277
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.0121527
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000285616
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0137808
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0132712
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0909665
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0534991
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.095076
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0696205
  42. rsi : 0.432162
  43. adx : 0.308074
  44. kc_percentage : 0.161538
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0367771
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.0551882
  47. volume_ema1 : 536018.00052572
  48. volume_ema2 : 567327.82573729
  49. chop : 49.3789
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 189.873
  54. ema21 : 191.098
  55. ema50 : 191.521
  56. ema100 : 189.956
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00591636
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00641155
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00220702
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00634955
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.167964
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.104959
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0362266
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00342899
  67. rsi : 0.275748
  68. adx : 0.337976
  69. kc_percentage : -0.146186
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0186824
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.499711
  72. volume_ema1 : 115037.32084503
  73. volume_ema2 : 229941.84035506
  74. chop : 27.8792
  75. regime : bear_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92757.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00337345
  81. 5m_price:
    93070.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.718709
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91529.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0168405
  86. 15m_price:
    93070.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.061068
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90505
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0283471
  91. 1H_price:
    93070.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.094469
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                        [1] => 182.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 185.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                        [1] => 178.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 188.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.1350534166499
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4130146082337
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 22:45:00
                        [1] => 182.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 01:30:00
                        [1] => 181.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
                        [1] => 180.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
                        [1] => 182.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 188.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3624229979466
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4794156706507
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 182.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 10:00:00
                        [1] => 184.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:40:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:50:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 194.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
                        [1] => 192.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
                        [1] => 189.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:05:00
                        [1] => 188.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3624229979466
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.60557768924302
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.61%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8377
0.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.0146
3.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 09:30:00 182.82 ↑ High
2025-12-09 10:00:00 184.43 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:40:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:50:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:00:00 194.42 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:05:00 192.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 13:50:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:50:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:25:00 189.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:05:00 188.25 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.48%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.8323
3.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.0146
3.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-08 22:45:00 182.66 ↑ High
2025-12-09 01:30:00 181.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 05:00:00 180.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 07:45:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:30:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:45:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:45:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 188.25 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.41%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.0123
4.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.0146
3.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 15:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 17:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 19:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 188.25 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Dec 2025
16:08:35
10 Dec 2025
09:30:00
17 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.75 187.4123 191.4254 2 135.36
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.75
  • Stop Loss: 187.4123
  • Take Profit: 191.4254

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.4123 - 188.75 = -1.3377

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.75 - 191.4254 = -2.6754

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.6754 / -1.3377 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1128.8031 100 5.9804 11.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.3377

Taille de position = 8 / -1.3377 = -5.98

Taille de position USD = -5.98 x 188.75 = -1128.73

Donc, tu peux acheter -5.98 avec un stoploss a 187.4123

Avec un position size USD de -1128.73$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -5.98 x -1.3377 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -5.98 x -2.6754 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -5.98
  • Taille de position USD -1128.73
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.42 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.71 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0331 % 145.77 % 20

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.75
            [max_drawdown] => 1.14
            [rr_ratio] => 0.66
            [high] => 189.50000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.4
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T16:08:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T18:08:35-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.94999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.14
            [rr_ratio] => 0.83
            [high] => 189.70000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.5
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T16:08:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T23:08:35-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 197.41000000
            [high_after] => 189.70000000
            [low_before] => 188.25000000
            [low_after] => 187.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)