Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 16:18:13

Take profit at 191.4207 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 187.5196 (0.69 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 09 Dec 2025 at 16:18:13

With 6.1521 MSTR at 188.82$ per unit.

Position size of 1161.6351 $

Take profit at 191.4207 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 187.5196 (0.69 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.93
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.717437

15m : 0.034821

1H : -0.027417

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.866915978
Details
  1. score: 2.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 189.517
  4. ema21 : 186.883
  5. ema50 : 184.106
  6. ema100 : 182.095
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00367859
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0140948
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0150829
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.036927
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.338445
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.212642
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.121989
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0759749
  17. rsi : 0.558048
  18. adx : 0.316729
  19. kc_percentage : 0.644061
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0653228
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.745655
  22. volume_ema1 : 2028073.6525475
  23. volume_ema2 : 1161783.6499704
  24. chop : 14.4094
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 190.567
  29. ema21 : 190.789
  30. ema50 : 188.427
  31. ema100 : 186.347
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00916866
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00116565
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0125376
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0132692
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.115458
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0286696
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0823416
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0633783
  42. rsi : 0.439435
  43. adx : 0.298993
  44. kc_percentage : 0.194393
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.035233
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.312066
  47. volume_ema1 : 376254.98116159
  48. volume_ema2 : 546934.81588886
  49. chop : 46.1544
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 189.364
  54. ema21 : 190.631
  55. ema50 : 191.273
  56. ema100 : 189.844
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00287567
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00664691
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00335508
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00539694
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.179962
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.122333
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0492369
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0043994
  67. rsi : 0.31962
  68. adx : 0.373161
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0114562
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0179518
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.683727
  72. volume_ema1 : 68078.189060754
  73. volume_ema2 : 215251.93278623
  74. chop : 26.6518
  75. regime : bear_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92744.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00231909
  81. 5m_price:
    92959.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.717437
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91576.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0151019
  86. 15m_price:
    92959.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.034821
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90502.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0271477
  91. 1H_price:
    92959.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.027417
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                        [1] => 182.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 185.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                        [1] => 178.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 187.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.8226164079823
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.5055342699021
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.5981268624947
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 22:45:00
                        [1] => 182.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 01:30:00
                        [1] => 181.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
                        [1] => 180.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
                        [1] => 182.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 187.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.0441478439425
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.5055342699021
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6611323967646
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 182.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 10:00:00
                        [1] => 184.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:40:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:50:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 194.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
                        [1] => 192.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
                        [1] => 189.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:10:00
                        [1] => 187.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.0441478439425
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.5055342699021
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.78224776500639
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.51%
Bars Since Swing High
17 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.78%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4004
0.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.0193
3.67%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 09:30:00 182.82 ↑ High
2025-12-09 10:00:00 184.43 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:40:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:50:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:00:00 194.42 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:05:00 192.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 13:50:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:50:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:25:00 189.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:10:00 187.92 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.51%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.66%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.9396
3.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.0193
3.67%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-08 22:45:00 182.66 ↑ High
2025-12-09 01:30:00 181.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 05:00:00 180.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 07:45:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:30:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:45:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:45:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.92 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.82%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.51%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.1196
4.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.0193
3.67%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 15:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 17:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 19:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.92 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Dec 2025
16:18:13
10 Dec 2025
09:30:00
17 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.82 187.5196 191.4207 2 130.26
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.82
  • Stop Loss: 187.5196
  • Take Profit: 191.4207

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.5196 - 188.82 = -1.3004

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.82 - 191.4207 = -2.6007

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.6007 / -1.3004 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1161.6351 100 6.1521 11.62
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.3004

Taille de position = 8 / -1.3004 = -6.15

Taille de position USD = -6.15 x 188.82 = -1161.24

Donc, tu peux acheter -6.15 avec un stoploss a 187.5196

Avec un position size USD de -1161.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -6.15 x -1.3004 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -6.15 x -2.6007 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -6.15
  • Taille de position USD -1161.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.69 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0698 % 155.34 % 22

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.74000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.21
            [rr_ratio] => 0.61
            [high] => 189.56000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.39
            [mae_pct] => 0.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T16:18:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T18:18:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.88
            [max_drawdown] => 1.21
            [rr_ratio] => 0.73
            [high] => 189.70000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.73
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T16:18:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T23:18:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 196.63000000
            [high_after] => 189.70000000
            [low_before] => 187.92000000
            [low_after] => 187.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)