Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 16:48:38

Take profit at 190.4438 (1.07 %) and Stop Loss at 187.4081 (0.54 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 09 Dec 2025 at 16:48:38

With 7.9061 MSTR at 188.42$ per unit.

Position size of 1489.6623 $

Take profit at 190.4438 (1.07 %) and Stop Loss at 187.4081 (0.54 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.21
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.709917

15m : 0.010038

1H : 0.005129

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.6745868848
Details
  1. score: 2.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 189.437
  4. ema21 : 186.846
  5. ema50 : 184.09
  6. ema100 : 182.087
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00536936
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.013864
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0149719
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0347753
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.334784
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.210979
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.121268
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0756091
  17. rsi : 0.549449
  18. adx : 0.316729
  19. kc_percentage : 0.61472
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0654614
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.76116
  22. volume_ema1 : 2050795.2462808
  23. volume_ema2 : 1164456.7786449
  24. chop : 14.4094
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 189.831
  29. ema21 : 190.399
  30. ema50 : 188.426
  31. ema100 : 186.359
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00743647
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00298124
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0104695
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.011056
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.136673
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00667554
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0624769
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0547226
  42. rsi : 0.426862
  43. adx : 0.274692
  44. kc_percentage : 0.150471
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0305731
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.63644
  47. volume_ema1 : 182783.16668293
  48. volume_ema2 : 502760.26851546
  49. chop : 45.5833
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 188.828
  54. ema21 : 189.784
  55. ema50 : 190.722
  56. ema100 : 189.691
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00216177
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00503649
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00492055
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00670137
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0936062
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0962784
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0518101
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0105925
  67. rsi : 0.303516
  68. adx : 0.419874
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0328072
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0128438
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.900141
  72. volume_ema1 : 17149.960354442
  73. volume_ema2 : 171743.08484863
  74. chop : 60.9593
  75. regime : bear_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92773.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00324136
  81. 5m_price:
    92473
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.709917
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91638.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00910877
  86. 15m_price:
    92473
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.010038
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90493.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0218777
  91. 1H_price:
    92473
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.005129
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                        [1] => 182.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 185.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                        [1] => 178.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 187.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.9334811529933
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38846317581951
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.5981268624947
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 22:45:00
                        [1] => 182.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 01:30:00
                        [1] => 181.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
                        [1] => 180.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
                        [1] => 182.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 187.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.1570841889117
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38846317581951
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6611323967646
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 10:00:00
                        [1] => 184.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:40:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:50:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 194.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
                        [1] => 192.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
                        [1] => 189.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:10:00
                        [1] => 187.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:45:00
                        [1] => 188.42
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.1570841889117
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.12206772104873
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 23
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26607066836952
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.12%
Bars Since Swing High
23 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.27%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5119
0.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.9962
4.20%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 10:00:00 184.43 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:40:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 11:50:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:00:00 194.42 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:05:00 192.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 13:50:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:50:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:25:00 189.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:10:00 187.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:45:00 188.42 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.39%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.66%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.8281
3.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.9962
4.20%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-08 22:45:00 182.66 ↑ High
2025-12-09 01:30:00 181.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 05:00:00 180.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 07:45:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:30:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:45:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:45:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.92 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.93%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.39%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.0081
4.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.9962
4.20%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 15:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 17:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 19:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.92 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Dec 2025
16:48:38
10 Dec 2025
04:50:00
12 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.42 187.4081 190.4438 2 132.88
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.42
  • Stop Loss: 187.4081
  • Take Profit: 190.4438

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.4081 - 188.42 = -1.0119

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.42 - 190.4438 = -2.0238

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.0238 / -1.0119 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1489.6623 100 7.9061 14.90
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -1.0119

Taille de position = 8 / -1.0119 = -7.91

Taille de position USD = -7.91 x 188.42 = -1490.4

Donc, tu peux acheter -7.91 avec un stoploss a 187.4081

Avec un position size USD de -1490.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -7.91 x -1.0119 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -7.91 x -2.0238 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -7.91
  • Taille de position USD -1490.4
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.07 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.54 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.07
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4299 % 80.06 % 12

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.28
            [max_drawdown] => 0.80999999999997
            [rr_ratio] => 1.58
            [high] => 189.70000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.58
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T16:48:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T18:48:38-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.28
            [max_drawdown] => 0.80999999999997
            [rr_ratio] => 1.58
            [high] => 189.70000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.58
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T16:48:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T23:48:38-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 194.80000000
            [high_after] => 189.70000000
            [low_before] => 187.92000000
            [low_after] => 187.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)