Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 19:55:38
Take profit at 189.168 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 188.106 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 19:55:38
Take profit at 189.168 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 188.106 (0.19 %)
Position size of 4258.9119 $
Take profit at 189.168 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 188.106 (0.19 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.54 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.571408 15m : -0.046218 1H : -0.165396 |
2 |
Indicators:
93100
-0.00886822
92274.4
0.571408
91844
0.00343316
92159.4
-0.046218
90646.1
0.0179627
92274.4
-0.165396
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
[1] => 178.62
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
[1] => 178.62
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
[1] => 178.62
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
[1] => 182.58
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
[1] => 185.68
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
[1] => 178.4
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
[1] => 182.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
[1] => 180.58
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
[1] => 198.44
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
[1] => 187.61
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.124974803467
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.35179361441288
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7726134001386
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
[1] => 182.85
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
[1] => 180.96
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
[1] => 182.84
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
[1] => 180.58
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
[1] => 198.44
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
[1] => 191.46
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
[1] => 194.8
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:45:00
[1] => 187.61
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 18:30:00
[1] => 189.7
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 19:45:00
[1] => 188.27
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.75382182393251
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.75954745843734
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
[1] => 192.46
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
[1] => 191.46
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
[1] => 194.8
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
[1] => 189.39
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:10:00
[1] => 187.92
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:55:00
[1] => 187.61
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 18:15:00
[1] => 188.88
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 18:35:00
[1] => 189.7
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 19:15:00
[1] => 188.99
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 19:55:00
[1] => 188.27
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.75382182393251
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.38242948956286
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 13:05:00 | 192.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 13:50:00 | 191.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 14:50:00 | 194.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 15:25:00 | 189.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 16:10:00 | 187.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 16:55:00 | 187.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 18:15:00 | 188.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 18:35:00 | 189.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 19:15:00 | 188.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 19:55:00 | 188.27 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 04:00:00 | 182.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 05:00:00 | 180.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 07:45:00 | 182.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 09:30:00 | 180.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 11:30:00 | 198.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 13:45:00 | 191.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 14:45:00 | 194.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 16:45:00 | 187.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 18:30:00 | 189.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 19:45:00 | 188.27 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 15:00:00 | 178.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-07 17:00:00 | 178.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-07 19:00:00 | 178.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-07 20:00:00 | 182.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-08 09:00:00 | 185.68 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-08 10:00:00 | 178.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 04:00:00 | 182.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 09:00:00 | 180.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 11:00:00 | 198.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 16:00:00 | 187.61 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec 2025 19:55:38 |
09 Dec 2025 20:00:00 |
4 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188.46 | 188.106 | 189.168 | 2 | 134.38 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 188.106 - 188.46 = -0.35400000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 188.46 - 189.168 = -0.708
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.708 / -0.35400000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4258.9119 | 100 | 22.5985 | 42.59 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.35400000000001 = -22.6
Taille de position USD = -22.6 x 188.46 = -4259.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -22.6 avec un stoploss a 188.106
Avec un position size USD de -4259.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -22.6 x -0.35400000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -22.6 x -0.708 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2282 % | 121.51 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.168
[entry_price] => 188.46
[stop_loss] => 188.0706
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.168
[entry_price] => 188.46
[stop_loss] => 188.0352
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.168
[entry_price] => 188.46
[stop_loss] => 187.9998
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:40:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.168
[entry_price] => 188.46
[stop_loss] => 187.929
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:40:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.76999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.46000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[high] => 189.23000000
[low] => 188.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.41
[mae_pct] => 0.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.67
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-09T19:55:38-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-09T21:55:38-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.69
[max_drawdown] => 0.46000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 3.67
[high] => 190.15000000
[low] => 188.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.9
[mae_pct] => 0.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.67
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-09T19:55:38-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-10T02:55:38-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 189.70000000
[high_after] => 189.97000000
[low_before] => 187.61000000
[low_after] => 188.00000000
[is_new_high] => 1
[is_new_low] =>
)
)