Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 19:55:38

Take profit at 189.168 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 188.106 (0.19 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 09 Dec 2025 at 19:55:38

With 22.5985 MSTR at 188.46$ per unit.

Position size of 4258.9119 $

Take profit at 189.168 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 188.106 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 5.54
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.8
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.571408

15m : -0.046218

1H : -0.165396

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.2360039408
Details
  1. score: 2.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 189.14
  4. ema21 : 187.34
  5. ema50 : 184.633
  6. ema100 : 182.538
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00359699
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00960465
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0146628
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0324397
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.321821
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.235572
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.142542
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0886592
  17. rsi : 0.543629
  18. adx : 0.307568
  19. kc_percentage : 0.595842
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0542869
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.323689
  22. volume_ema1 : 675788.59460666
  23. volume_ema2 : 999227.78171064
  24. chop : 19.4485
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 189.125
  29. ema21 : 189.49
  30. ema50 : 188.658
  31. ema100 : 186.908
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00351935
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00192808
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00441189
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0082999
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.027758
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0382884
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.011167
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0261125
  42. rsi : 0.43558
  43. adx : 0.162785
  44. kc_percentage : 0.157121
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0157616
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.949756
  47. volume_ema1 : 16072.931257784
  48. volume_ema2 : 319900.98130209
  49. chop : 79.7303
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 188.879
  54. ema21 : 189.045
  55. ema50 : 189.624
  56. ema100 : 191.226
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00222242
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000878191
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00305137
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0144663
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0206112
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0087945
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.016905
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0260578
  67. rsi : 0.326142
  68. adx : 0.304605
  69. kc_percentage : -0.214019
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00428625
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.844652
  72. volume_ema1 : 7629.5195007178
  73. volume_ema2 : 49112.680801207
  74. chop : 49.802
  75. regime : bear_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93100
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00886822
  81. 5m_price:
    92274.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.571408
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91844
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00343316
  86. 15m_price:
    92159.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.046218
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90646.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0179627
  91. 1H_price:
    92274.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.165396
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                        [1] => 182.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 185.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                        [1] => 178.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.124974803467
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.35179361441288
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7726134001386
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
                        [1] => 180.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
                        [1] => 182.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:45:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 18:30:00
                        [1] => 189.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 19:45:00
                        [1] => 188.27
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.75382182393251
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.75954745843734
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
                        [1] => 192.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
                        [1] => 189.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:10:00
                        [1] => 187.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:55:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 18:15:00
                        [1] => 188.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 18:35:00
                        [1] => 189.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 19:15:00
                        [1] => 188.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 19:55:00
                        [1] => 188.27
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.75382182393251
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.38242948956286
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.75%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
16 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.38%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4960
0.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6320
2.98%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 13:05:00 192.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 13:50:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:50:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:25:00 189.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:10:00 187.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:55:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:15:00 188.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:35:00 189.7 ↑ High
2025-12-09 19:15:00 188.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 19:55:00 188.27 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.75%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.76%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.5260
4.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2720
4.90%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 05:00:00 180.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 07:45:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:30:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:45:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:45:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:45:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:30:00 189.7 ↑ High
2025-12-09 19:45:00 188.27 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.35%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.77%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.7060
5.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.2720
4.90%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 15:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 17:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 19:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Dec 2025
19:55:38
09 Dec 2025
20:00:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.46 188.106 189.168 2 134.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.46
  • Stop Loss: 188.106
  • Take Profit: 189.168

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 188.106 - 188.46 = -0.35400000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.46 - 189.168 = -0.708

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.708 / -0.35400000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4258.9119 100 22.5985 42.59
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.35400000000001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.35400000000001 = -22.6

Taille de position USD = -22.6 x 188.46 = -4259.2

Donc, tu peux acheter -22.6 avec un stoploss a 188.106

Avec un position size USD de -4259.2$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -22.6 x -0.35400000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -22.6 x -0.708 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -22.6
  • Taille de position USD -4259.2
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2282 % 121.51 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.168
            [entry_price] => 188.46
            [stop_loss] => 188.0706
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.168
            [entry_price] => 188.46
            [stop_loss] => 188.0352
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.168
            [entry_price] => 188.46
            [stop_loss] => 187.9998
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.168
            [entry_price] => 188.46
            [stop_loss] => 187.929
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.76999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.46000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [high] => 189.23000000
            [low] => 188.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.41
            [mae_pct] => 0.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T19:55:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T21:55:38-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.69
            [max_drawdown] => 0.46000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 3.67
            [high] => 190.15000000
            [low] => 188.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T19:55:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-10T02:55:38-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 189.70000000
            [high_after] => 189.97000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 188.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)