Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 20:13:39
Take profit at 188.9265 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.8818 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 20:13:39
Take profit at 188.9265 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.8818 (0.18 %)
Position size of 4324.2392 $
Take profit at 188.9265 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.8818 (0.18 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.54 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.588826 15m : 0.135845 1H : 0.040821 |
2 |
Indicators:
93035.2
-0.00880349
92216.2
0.588826
91842.4
0.00406914
92216.2
0.135845
90683.6
0.0169003
92216.2
0.040821
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
[1] => 178.62
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
[1] => 178.62
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
[1] => 178.62
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
[1] => 182.58
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
[1] => 185.68
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
[1] => 178.4
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
[1] => 182.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
[1] => 180.58
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
[1] => 198.44
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
[1] => 187.61
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.1451320298327
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33047278929693
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7726134001386
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
[1] => 182.85
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
[1] => 180.96
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
[1] => 182.84
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
[1] => 180.58
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
[1] => 198.44
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
[1] => 191.46
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
[1] => 194.8
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:45:00
[1] => 187.61
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 18:30:00
[1] => 189.7
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
[1] => 188.03
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.77490774907749
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10636600542466
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88815614529596
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
[1] => 192.46
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
[1] => 191.46
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
[1] => 194.8
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
[1] => 189.39
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:10:00
[1] => 187.92
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:55:00
[1] => 187.61
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 18:15:00
[1] => 188.88
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 18:35:00
[1] => 189.7
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 19:15:00
[1] => 188.99
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
[1] => 188.03
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.77490774907749
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10636600542466
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 19
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.5105568260384
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 13:05:00 | 192.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 13:50:00 | 191.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 14:50:00 | 194.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 15:25:00 | 189.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 16:10:00 | 187.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 16:55:00 | 187.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 18:15:00 | 188.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 18:35:00 | 189.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 19:15:00 | 188.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 20:00:00 | 188.03 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 04:00:00 | 182.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 05:00:00 | 180.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 07:45:00 | 182.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 09:30:00 | 180.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 11:30:00 | 198.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 13:45:00 | 191.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 14:45:00 | 194.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 16:45:00 | 187.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 18:30:00 | 189.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 20:00:00 | 188.03 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 15:00:00 | 178.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-07 17:00:00 | 178.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-07 19:00:00 | 178.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-07 20:00:00 | 182.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-08 09:00:00 | 185.68 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-08 10:00:00 | 178.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 04:00:00 | 182.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 09:00:00 | 180.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 11:00:00 | 198.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 16:00:00 | 187.61 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec 2025 20:13:39 |
09 Dec 2025 21:35:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188.23 | 187.8818 | 188.9265 | 2 | 132.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 187.8818 - 188.23 = -0.34819999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 188.23 - 188.9265 = -0.69650000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.69650000000001 / -0.34819999999999 = 2.0003
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4324.2392 | 100 | 22.9732 | 43.24 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.34819999999999 = -22.98
Taille de position USD = -22.98 x 188.23 = -4325.53
Donc, tu peux acheter -22.98 avec un stoploss a 187.8818
Avec un position size USD de -4325.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -22.98 x -0.34819999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -22.98 x -0.69650000000001 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1222 % | 66.05 % | 6 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 188.9264
[stop_loss] => 187.8818
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.1005
[stop_loss] => 187.8818
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.2746
[stop_loss] => 187.8818
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-09 22:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.4487
[stop_loss] => 187.8818
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-09 23:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.6228
[stop_loss] => 187.8818
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-09 23:40:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.7969
[stop_loss] => 187.8818
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-10 00:40:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.971
[stop_loss] => 187.8818
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-10 02:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1
[max_drawdown] => 0.22999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 4.35
[high] => 189.23000000
[low] => 188.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.53
[mae_pct] => 0.12
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.35
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-09T20:13:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-09T22:13:39-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.02
[max_drawdown] => 0.22999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 8.78
[high] => 190.25000000
[low] => 188.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.07
[mae_pct] => 0.12
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.78
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-09T20:13:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-10T03:13:39-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 189.70000000
[high_after] => 190.07000000
[low_before] => 187.61000000
[low_after] => 188.00000000
[is_new_high] => 1
[is_new_low] =>
)
)