Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 20:13:39

Take profit at 188.9265 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.8818 (0.18 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 09 Dec 2025 at 20:13:39

With 22.9732 MSTR at 188.23$ per unit.

Position size of 4324.2392 $

Take profit at 188.9265 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.8818 (0.18 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 9.24
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.85
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.588826

15m : 0.135845

1H : 0.040821

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.2321549032
Details
  1. score: 2.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 188.927
  4. ema21 : 187.406
  5. ema50 : 184.769
  6. ema100 : 182.659
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00369383
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00812009
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0142711
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0304955
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.316541
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.240906
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.148435
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0925835
  17. rsi : 0.538181
  18. adx : 0.295861
  19. kc_percentage : 0.574076
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0498762
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.527994
  22. volume_ema1 : 453285.36181555
  23. volume_ema2 : 960339.95272093
  24. chop : 20.7514
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 188.887
  29. ema21 : 189.345
  30. ema50 : 188.632
  31. ema100 : 186.96
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00347975
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00242139
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00378251
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.00679215
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.027652
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0374538
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.00943704
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0245855
  42. rsi : 0.411167
  43. adx : 0.170644
  44. kc_percentage : 0.123887
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0155054
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.941624
  47. volume_ema1 : 18006.857360745
  48. volume_ema2 : 308466.94681089
  49. chop : 78.2071
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 188.543
  54. ema21 : 188.828
  55. ema50 : 189.442
  56. ema100 : 190.916
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00166129
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00151324
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0032365
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.0140694
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0332682
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0183491
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0198949
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0257705
  67. rsi : 0.325039
  68. adx : 0.364721
  69. kc_percentage : -0.212216
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00435012
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.915232
  72. volume_ema1 : 3506.2766458917
  73. volume_ema2 : 41363.642885597
  74. chop : 38.9526
  75. regime : bear_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93035.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00880349
  81. 5m_price:
    92216.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.588826
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91842.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00406914
  86. 15m_price:
    92216.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.135845
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90683.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0169003
  91. 1H_price:
    92216.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.040821
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                        [1] => 182.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 185.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                        [1] => 178.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.1451320298327
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33047278929693
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7726134001386
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
                        [1] => 180.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
                        [1] => 182.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:45:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 18:30:00
                        [1] => 189.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 188.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.77490774907749
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10636600542466
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88815614529596
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
                        [1] => 192.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
                        [1] => 189.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:10:00
                        [1] => 187.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:55:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 18:15:00
                        [1] => 188.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 18:35:00
                        [1] => 189.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 19:15:00
                        [1] => 188.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 188.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.77490774907749
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10636600542466
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 19
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.5105568260384
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.77%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
19 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2718
0.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.8735
3.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 13:05:00 192.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 13:50:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:50:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:25:00 189.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:10:00 187.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:55:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:15:00 188.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:35:00 189.7 ↑ High
2025-12-09 19:15:00 188.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 20:00:00 188.03 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.77%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.11%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.89%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.3018
3.89%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.5135
5.04%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 05:00:00 180.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 07:45:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:30:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:45:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:45:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:45:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:30:00 189.7 ↑ High
2025-12-09 20:00:00 188.03 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.33%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.77%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.4818
5.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.5135
5.04%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 15:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 17:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 19:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Dec 2025
20:13:39
09 Dec 2025
21:35:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.23 187.8818 188.9265 2 132.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.23
  • Stop Loss: 187.8818
  • Take Profit: 188.9265

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.8818 - 188.23 = -0.34819999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.23 - 188.9265 = -0.69650000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.69650000000001 / -0.34819999999999 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4324.2392 100 22.9732 43.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.34819999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.34819999999999 = -22.98

Taille de position USD = -22.98 x 188.23 = -4325.53

Donc, tu peux acheter -22.98 avec un stoploss a 187.8818

Avec un position size USD de -4325.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -22.98 x -0.34819999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -22.98 x -0.69650000000001 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -22.98
  • Taille de position USD -4325.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1222 % 66.05 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.9264
            [stop_loss] => 187.8818
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.1005
            [stop_loss] => 187.8818
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.2746
            [stop_loss] => 187.8818
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.4487
            [stop_loss] => 187.8818
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.6228
            [stop_loss] => 187.8818
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 23:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.7969
            [stop_loss] => 187.8818
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-10 00:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.971
            [stop_loss] => 187.8818
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-10 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1
            [max_drawdown] => 0.22999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 4.35
            [high] => 189.23000000
            [low] => 188.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.53
            [mae_pct] => 0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T20:13:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T22:13:39-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.02
            [max_drawdown] => 0.22999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 8.78
            [high] => 190.25000000
            [low] => 188.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.07
            [mae_pct] => 0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.78
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T20:13:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-10T03:13:39-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 189.70000000
            [high_after] => 190.07000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 188.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)