Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 20:23:11

Take profit at 188.965 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.9075 (0.19 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 09 Dec 2025 at 20:23:11

With 22.6957 MSTR at 188.26$ per unit.

Position size of 4272.7012 $

Take profit at 188.965 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 187.9075 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 8.67
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.5
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.582308

15m : -0.04984

1H : 0.019466

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.2349926385
Details
  1. score: 2.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 188.933
  4. ema21 : 187.408
  5. ema50 : 184.77
  6. ema100 : 182.66
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00356669
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00813744
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0142794
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0306564
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.316815
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.241031
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.148489
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0926109
  17. rsi : 0.53893
  18. adx : 0.295861
  19. kc_percentage : 0.576253
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0503357
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.52633
  22. volume_ema1 : 454978.09688222
  23. volume_ema2 : 960539.09802289
  24. chop : 20.7707
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 188.799
  29. ema21 : 189.264
  30. ema50 : 188.616
  31. ema100 : 186.923
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00285924
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00245407
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00343635
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0071509
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0224978
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0342329
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.00924261
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0248731
  42. rsi : 0.430881
  43. adx : 0.170378
  44. kc_percentage : 0.142759
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0146326
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.953991
  47. volume_ema1 : 13649.614107163
  48. volume_ema2 : 296677.97089566
  49. chop : 85.0476
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 188.471
  54. ema21 : 188.745
  55. ema50 : 189.357
  56. ema100 : 190.811
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00112305
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00145304
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00322988
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.01337
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0342606
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0212943
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0210315
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0260727
  67. rsi : 0.359094
  68. adx : 0.370766
  69. kc_percentage : -0.049121
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00453869
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.924679
  72. volume_ema1 : 2702.7327315074
  73. volume_ema2 : 35882.933426488
  74. chop : 38.6951
  75. regime : bear_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93042.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00895628
  81. 5m_price:
    92208.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.582308
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91818.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00588157
  86. 15m_price:
    92358.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.04984
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90683.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0168214
  91. 1H_price:
    92208.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.019466
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
                        [1] => 178.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                        [1] => 182.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 185.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                        [1] => 178.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.2056037089296
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26651031394915
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7726134001386
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
                        [1] => 180.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
                        [1] => 182.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:45:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 18:30:00
                        [1] => 189.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 188.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83816552451237
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.042546402169873
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88815614529596
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:05:00
                        [1] => 192.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
                        [1] => 191.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
                        [1] => 194.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
                        [1] => 189.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:10:00
                        [1] => 187.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:55:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 18:15:00
                        [1] => 188.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 18:35:00
                        [1] => 189.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 19:15:00
                        [1] => 188.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 188.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83816552451237
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.042546402169873
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.5105568260384
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.84%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2975
0.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.8350
3.09%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 13:05:00 192.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 13:50:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:50:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:25:00 189.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:10:00 187.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:55:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:15:00 188.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:35:00 189.7 ↑ High
2025-12-09 19:15:00 188.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 20:00:00 188.03 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.84%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.89%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.3275
3.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.4750
5.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 05:00:00 180.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 07:45:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:30:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:45:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:45:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:45:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:30:00 189.7 ↑ High
2025-12-09 20:00:00 188.03 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.27%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.77%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.5075
5.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.4750
5.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 15:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 17:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 19:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Dec 2025
20:23:11
09 Dec 2025
21:35:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.26 187.9075 188.965 2 132.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.26
  • Stop Loss: 187.9075
  • Take Profit: 188.965

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.9075 - 188.26 = -0.35249999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.26 - 188.965 = -0.70500000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.70500000000001 / -0.35249999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4272.7012 100 22.6957 42.73
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.35249999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.35249999999999 = -22.7

Taille de position USD = -22.7 x 188.26 = -4273.5

Donc, tu peux acheter -22.7 avec un stoploss a 187.9075

Avec un position size USD de -4273.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -22.7 x -0.35249999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -22.7 x -0.70500000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -22.7
  • Taille de position USD -4273.5
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1381 % 73.77 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.965
            [stop_loss] => 187.9075
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.14125
            [stop_loss] => 187.9075
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.3175
            [stop_loss] => 187.9075
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 22:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.49375
            [stop_loss] => 187.9075
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 23:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.67
            [stop_loss] => 187.9075
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 23:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.84625
            [stop_loss] => 187.9075
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-10 00:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.0225
            [stop_loss] => 187.9075
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-10 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.02
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.92
            [high] => 189.28000000
            [low] => 188.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T20:23:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T22:23:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.99
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 7.65
            [high] => 190.25000000
            [low] => 188.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.06
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T20:23:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-10T03:23:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 189.70000000
            [high_after] => 190.07000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 188.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)