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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 09 Dec 2025 at 20:38:02

Take profit at 188.6887 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 187.7157 (0.17 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 09 Dec 2025 at 20:38:02

With 24.6661 MSTR at 188.04$ per unit.

Position size of 4638.2145 $

Take profit at 188.6887 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 187.7157 (0.17 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.88
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.5594

15m : 0.212801

1H : -0.227913

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 0.2162211337
Details
  1. score: 2.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 188.889
  4. ema21 : 187.388
  5. ema50 : 184.761
  6. ema100 : 182.655
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00449928
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00801023
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0142185
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0294765
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.314801
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.240116
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.148093
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0924099
  17. rsi : 0.533488
  18. adx : 0.295697
  19. kc_percentage : 0.555178
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0504584
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.525649
  22. volume_ema1 : 455670.39668222
  23. volume_ema2 : 960620.54505819
  24. chop : 20.7733
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 188.62
  28. ema21 : 189.137
  29. ema50 : 188.585
  30. ema100 : 186.94
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.00307633
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00273406
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00292373
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.00588289
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0256546
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0347369
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.00729258
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.0235732
  41. rsi : 0.40644
  42. adx : 0.170004
  43. kc_percentage : 0.074007
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0133975
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.966514
  46. volume_ema1 : 9548.6087936645
  47. volume_ema2 : 285156.83550657
  48. chop : 83.3829
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 188.276
  52. ema21 : 188.576
  53. ema50 : 189.186
  54. ema100 : 190.464
  55. price_ema9_diff : -0.00125375
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00159394
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00322269
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0127312
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0409276
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0280133
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0234723
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0252051
  65. rsi : 0.329946
  66. adx : 0.387871
  67. kc_percentage : -0.167043
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00412242
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.957693
  70. volume_ema1 : 1242.4462698294
  71. volume_ema2 : 29367.871973231
  72. chop : 38.0813
  73. regime : bear_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92881.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0091047
  78. 5m_price: 
    92036.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.5594
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91813.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00237176
  83. 15m_price: 
    92031.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.212801
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90681.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0157971
  88. 1H_price: 
    92114.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.227913
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-07 15:00:00
                    [1] => 178.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
                    [1] => 178.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-07 19:00:00
                    [1] => 178.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                    [1] => 182.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                    [1] => 185.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                    [1] => 178.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                    [1] => 180.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                    [1] => 198.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.2408788550695
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.22919886999626
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7726134001386
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
                    [1] => 180.96
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 07:45:00
                    [1] => 182.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 09:30:00
                    [1] => 180.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 11:30:00
                    [1] => 198.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 13:45:00
                    [1] => 191.46
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
                    [1] => 194.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 16:45:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 18:30:00
                    [1] => 189.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 20:30:00
                    [1] => 188
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.87506589351608
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.021276595744677
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90425531914893
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 13:50:00
                    [1] => 191.46
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 14:50:00
                    [1] => 194.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 15:25:00
                    [1] => 189.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 16:10:00
                    [1] => 187.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 16:55:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 18:15:00
                    [1] => 188.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 18:35:00
                    [1] => 189.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 19:15:00
                    [1] => 188.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 188.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 20:35:00
                    [1] => 188
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.87506589351608
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.021276595744677
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 24
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.015957446808511
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.88%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.02%
Bars Since Swing High
24 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.02%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1057
0.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.1113
3.24%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 13:50:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:50:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 15:25:00 189.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:10:00 187.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 16:55:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:15:00 188.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:35:00 189.7 ↑ High
2025-12-09 19:15:00 188.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 20:00:00 188.03 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 20:35:00 188 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.88%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.02%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.1357
3.80%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.7513
5.17%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 05:00:00 180.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 07:45:00 182.84 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:30:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:30:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 13:45:00 191.46 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 14:45:00 194.8 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:45:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 18:30:00 189.7 ↑ High
2025-12-09 20:30:00 188 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.23%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.77%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.3157
4.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
9.7513
5.17%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 15:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 17:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 19:00:00 178.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Dec 2025
20:38:02		 09 Dec 2025
21:20:00		 41 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.04 187.7157 188.6887 2 133.42
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.04
  • Stop Loss: 187.7157
  • Take Profit: 188.6887

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.7157 - 188.04 = -0.32429999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.04 - 188.6887 = -0.64870000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.64870000000002 / -0.32429999999999 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4638.2145 100 24.6661 46.38
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.32429999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.32429999999999 = -24.67

Taille de position USD = -24.67 x 188.04 = -4638.95

Donc, tu peux acheter -24.67 avec un stoploss a 187.7157

Avec un position size USD de -4638.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -24.67 x -0.32429999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -24.67 x -0.64870000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -24.67
  • Taille de position USD -4638.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.34 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.34
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.016 % 9.28 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.6886
            [stop_loss] => 187.7157
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.85075
            [stop_loss] => 187.7157
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.0129
            [stop_loss] => 187.7157
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.17505
            [stop_loss] => 187.7157
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.3372
            [stop_loss] => 187.7157
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 22:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.49935
            [stop_loss] => 187.7157
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 23:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.6615
            [stop_loss] => 187.7157
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-09 23:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.82365
            [stop_loss] => 187.7157
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-10 00:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.9858
            [stop_loss] => 187.7157
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-10 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.24
            [max_drawdown] => 0.030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 41.33
            [high] => 189.28000000
            [low] => 188.01000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 41.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T20:38:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-09T22:38:02-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.34
            [max_drawdown] => 0.030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 78
            [high] => 190.38000000
            [low] => 188.01000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.24
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 78
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-09T20:38:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-10T03:38:02-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 189.70000000
            [high_after] => 190.07000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 188.01000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)