Short Trade on BCH 10 Dec 2025 at 05:00:36
Take profit at 565.2402 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 570.5499 (0.31 %)
Short Trade on BCH 10 Dec 2025 at 05:00:36
Take profit at 565.2402 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 570.5499 (0.31 %)
Position size of 2570.9196 $
Take profit at 565.2402 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 570.5499 (0.31 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.88 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.259112 15m : 0.002379 1H : -0.005828 |
0 |
Indicators:
92525.6
0.00325812
92827.1
0.259112
92181.4
0.00700405
92827.1
0.002379
91046.6
0.0195553
92827.1
-0.005828
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 13:00:00
[1] => 604.48
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 17:00:00
[1] => 580.52
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-07 21:00:00
[1] => 604.55
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 13:00:00
[1] => 575.44
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 00:00:00
[1] => 569.61
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 12:00:00
[1] => 590.92
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
[1] => 573.55
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 19:00:00
[1] => 588.24
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 22:00:00
[1] => 558.06
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
[1] => 570.82
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51504852668092
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7596674192739
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2864924918468
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 12:00:00
[1] => 590.92
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 14:00:00
[1] => 579.23
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 14:45:00
[1] => 584.41
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:45:00
[1] => 573.55
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 19:15:00
[1] => 588.24
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 20:00:00
[1] => 574.2
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 22:30:00
[1] => 558.06
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 01:45:00
[1] => 567.22
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 03:30:00
[1] => 561.61
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
[1] => 570.82
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22599068007429
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4102312993002
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.639928063959
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 23:10:00
[1] => 562.25
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 23:40:00
[1] => 562.26
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 23:45:00
[1] => 560.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 00:45:00
[1] => 566.35
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 01:45:00
[1] => 567.22
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 02:05:00
[1] => 563.75
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 03:00:00
[1] => 561.67
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 03:30:00
[1] => 561.61
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 03:45:00
[1] => 568.61
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
[1] => 570.82
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099856347009574
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5384341446912
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.38866710047309
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 23:10:00 | 562.25 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 23:40:00 | 562.26 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 23:45:00 | 560.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 00:45:00 | 566.35 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 01:45:00 | 567.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 02:05:00 | 563.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 03:00:00 | 561.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 03:30:00 | 561.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 03:45:00 | 568.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 05:00:00 | 570.82 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 12:00:00 | 590.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 14:00:00 | 579.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 14:45:00 | 584.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 16:45:00 | 573.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 19:15:00 | 588.24 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 20:00:00 | 574.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 22:30:00 | 558.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 01:45:00 | 567.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 03:30:00 | 561.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 05:00:00 | 570.82 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 13:00:00 | 604.48 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-07 17:00:00 | 580.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-07 21:00:00 | 604.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-08 13:00:00 | 575.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 00:00:00 | 569.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 12:00:00 | 590.92 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 16:00:00 | 573.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 19:00:00 | 588.24 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 22:00:00 | 558.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 05:00:00 | 570.82 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 05:00:36 |
10 Dec 2025 07:10:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 568.78 | 570.5499 | 565.2402 | 2 | 461.59 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 570.5499 - 568.78 = 1.7699
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 568.78 - 565.2402 = 3.5398
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.5398 / 1.7699 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2570.9196 | 100 | 4.5201 | 25.71 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.7699 = 4.52
Taille de position USD = 4.52 x 568.78 = 2570.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.52 avec un stoploss a 570.5499
Avec un position size USD de 2570.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.52 x 1.7699 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.52 x 3.5398 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5521 % | 177.41 % | 9 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 565.2402
[entry_price] => 568.78
[stop_loss] => 570.72689
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-10 07:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 565.2402
[entry_price] => 568.78
[stop_loss] => 570.90388
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-10 07:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 565.2402
[entry_price] => 568.78
[stop_loss] => 571.08087
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-10 07:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 565.2402
[entry_price] => 568.78
[stop_loss] => 571.43485
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-10 07:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.99
[max_drawdown] => 1.48
[rr_ratio] => 2.02
[high] => 570.26000000
[low] => 565.79000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.53
[mae_pct] => 0.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.02
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-10T05:00:36-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-10T07:00:36-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.5
[max_drawdown] => 3.6
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[high] => 572.38000000
[low] => 562.28000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.14
[mae_pct] => 0.63
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.81
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-10T05:00:36-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-10T12:00:36-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 570.82000000
[high_after] => 572.38000000
[low_before] => 561.61000000
[low_after] => 562.28000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)