Short Trade on AAVE 11 Dec 2025 at 00:59:39
Take profit at 190.0111 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 192.3044 (0.4 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 11 Dec 2025 at 00:59:39
Take profit at 190.0111 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 192.3044 (0.4 %)
Position size of 2004.4994 $
Take profit at 190.0111 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 192.3044 (0.4 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.72 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.798783 15m : 0.049827 1H : -0.019165 |
2 |
Indicators:
90770.2
-0.00555121
90266.4
0.798783
91648.4
-0.0153844
90238.5
0.049827
91216.8
-0.0104191
90266.4
-0.019165
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
[1] => 199.95
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 13:00:00
[1] => 189.28
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 16:00:00
[1] => 194.2
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 05:00:00
[1] => 187.07
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 12:00:00
[1] => 206.23
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 21:00:00
[1] => 198.33
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
[1] => 202.47
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 06:00:00
[1] => 196.17
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
[1] => 207.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 23:00:00
[1] => 186.83
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.518107194592
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5156559439062
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.849435315527
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 03:00:00
[1] => 200.61
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
[1] => 202.47
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 06:30:00
[1] => 196.17
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 07:45:00
[1] => 199.61
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 09:45:00
[1] => 196.66
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 14:00:00
[1] => 199.29
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:15:00
[1] => 207.1
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 17:15:00
[1] => 196.21
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 23:00:00
[1] => 186.83
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 00:45:00
[1] => 191.63
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.052183896049676
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5156559439062
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5691805384574
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 17:45:00
[1] => 199.48
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 19:05:00
[1] => 197.23
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 20:20:00
[1] => 191.56
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 21:15:00
[1] => 189.83
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 22:30:00
[1] => 187.26
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 23:00:00
[1] => 186.83
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 23:10:00
[1] => 189.1
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 23:55:00
[1] => 190.99
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 00:15:00
[1] => 189.74
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 00:50:00
[1] => 191.63
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.052183896049676
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94339622641509
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.99609992621481
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 17:45:00 | 199.48 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 19:05:00 | 197.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 20:20:00 | 191.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 21:15:00 | 189.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 22:30:00 | 187.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 23:00:00 | 186.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 23:10:00 | 189.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 23:55:00 | 190.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 00:15:00 | 189.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 00:50:00 | 191.63 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 03:00:00 | 200.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 05:00:00 | 202.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 06:30:00 | 196.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 07:45:00 | 199.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 09:45:00 | 196.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 14:00:00 | 199.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:15:00 | 207.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 17:15:00 | 196.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 23:00:00 | 186.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 00:45:00 | 191.63 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 09:00:00 | 199.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-08 13:00:00 | 189.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-08 16:00:00 | 194.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 05:00:00 | 187.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 12:00:00 | 206.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 21:00:00 | 198.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 05:00:00 | 202.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 06:00:00 | 196.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:00:00 | 207.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 23:00:00 | 186.83 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 00:59:39 |
11 Dec 2025 01:20:00 |
20 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191.54 | 192.3044 | 190.0111 | 2 | 112 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 192.3044 - 191.54 = 0.76439999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 191.54 - 190.0111 = 1.5289
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5289 / 0.76439999999999 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2004.4994 | 100 | 10.4652 | 20.04 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.76439999999999 = 10.47
Taille de position USD = 10.47 x 191.54 = 2005.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 10.47 avec un stoploss a 192.3044
Avec un position size USD de 2005.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10.47 x 0.76439999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10.47 x 1.5289 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 190.0112
[stop_loss] => 192.3044
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 01:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.629
[stop_loss] => 192.3044
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 02:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 189.2468
[stop_loss] => 192.3044
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 188.8646
[stop_loss] => 192.3044
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 03:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 188.4824
[stop_loss] => 192.3044
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 03:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 188.1002
[stop_loss] => 192.3044
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 03:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.35
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 191.53000000
[low] => 189.19000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.23
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-11T00:59:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-11T02:59:39-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.46
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 191.53000000
[low] => 188.08000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.81
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-11T00:59:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-11T07:59:39-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 191.63000000
[high_after] => 191.53000000
[low_before] => 186.83000000
[low_after] => 188.08000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)