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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 11 Dec 2025 at 04:25:06

Take profit at 179.7072 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 180.9864 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Dec 2025 at 04:25:06

With 18.7619 MSTR at 180.56$ per unit.

Position size of 3387.6559 $

Take profit at 179.7072 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 180.9864 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 7.65
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.477255

15m : 0.023703

1H : 0.025285

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.2842634222
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 180.627
  4. ema21 : 182.634
  5. ema50 : 184.207
  6. ema100 : 183.591
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000373844
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.01099
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00853677
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0165109
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.25136
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.204411
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0977927
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0351286
  17. rsi : 0.377643
  18. adx : 0.293809
  19. kc_percentage : 0.221714
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0385854
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.845895
  22. volume_ema1 : 128132.87276445
  23. volume_ema2 : 831470.07172453
  24. chop : 40.5301
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 179.773
  28. ema21 : 179.973
  29. ema50 : 181.372
  30. ema100 : 183.563
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00437577
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00110935
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00771359
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0163606
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.019124
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0284408
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0476821
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0475628
  41. rsi : 0.53333
  42. adx : 0.226123
  43. kc_percentage : 0.785935
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0119856
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.590608
  46. volume_ema1 : 45911.084781444
  47. volume_ema2 : 112144.74454086
  48. chop : 54.4437
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 180.07
  52. ema21 : 179.79
  53. ema50 : 179.822
  54. ema100 : 180.067
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00271921
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00155917
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000183249
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00273244
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0321593
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00819405
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00214846
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00459902
  65. rsi : 0.670606
  66. adx : 0.320014
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13663
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0066333
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.331525
  70. volume_ema1 : 13860.46243634
  71. volume_ema2 : 10409.463271826
  72. chop : 22.8679
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90255.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000592729
  78. 5m_price: 
    90309.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.477255
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91281.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0100668
  83. 15m_price: 
    90362.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.023703
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    91153.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00926338
  88. 1H_price: 
    90309.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.025285
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                    [1] => 182.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                    [1] => 185.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                    [1] => 178.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                    [1] => 180.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                    [1] => 198.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
                    [1] => 191.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 14:00:00
                    [1] => 190.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                    [1] => 178.06
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.4403602471463
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4208693698753
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2559811299562
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 08:00:00
                    [1] => 188.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 09:15:00
                    [1] => 189.87
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 09:45:00
                    [1] => 184.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 12:30:00
                    [1] => 185.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 14:15:00
                    [1] => 190.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
                    [1] => 182.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                    [1] => 178.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 23:45:00
                    [1] => 181.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 03:30:00
                    [1] => 178.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 04:15:00
                    [1] => 180.77
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099574044365772
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0463294538944
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1470456580125
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 23:45:00
                    [1] => 179.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 23:50:00
                    [1] => 181.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 01:05:00
                    [1] => 180.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 01:25:00
                    [1] => 179.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 01:50:00
                    [1] => 180.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 02:00:00
                    [1] => 180.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 02:25:00
                    [1] => 179.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 02:35:00
                    [1] => 180.05
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 03:30:00
                    [1] => 178.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 04:25:00
                    [1] => 180.77
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099574044365772
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0463294538944
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1470456580125
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.15%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2136
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9872
0.55%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-10 23:45:00 179.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 23:50:00 181.2 ↑ High
2025-12-11 01:05:00 180.73 ↑ High
2025-12-11 01:25:00 179.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 01:50:00 180.13 ↑ High
2025-12-11 02:00:00 180.13 ↑ High
2025-12-11 02:25:00 179.47 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 02:35:00 180.05 ↑ High
2025-12-11 03:30:00 178.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 04:25:00 180.77 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.15%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.9936
5.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6472
0.92%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-10 08:00:00 188.25 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 09:15:00 189.87 ↑ High
2025-12-10 09:45:00 184.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 12:30:00 185.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 14:15:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 15:00:00 182.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 23:45:00 181.2 ↑ High
2025-12-11 03:30:00 178.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 04:15:00 180.77 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.42%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.4536
9.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6472
0.92%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 05:00:00 191.33 ↑ High
2025-12-10 14:00:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Dec 2025
04:25:06		 11 Dec 2025
04:30:00		 4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
180.56 180.9864 179.7072 2 133.19
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 180.56
  • Stop Loss: 180.9864
  • Take Profit: 179.7072

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 180.9864 - 180.56 = 0.4264

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 180.56 - 179.7072 = 0.8528

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8528 / 0.4264 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3387.6559 100 18.7619 33.88
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4264

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4264 = 18.76

Taille de position USD = 18.76 x 180.56 = 3387.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.76 avec un stoploss a 180.9864

Avec un position size USD de 3387.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.76 x 0.4264 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.76 x 0.8528 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.76
  • Taille de position USD 3387.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.47 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2769 % 117.23 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.7072
            [entry_price] => 180.56
            [stop_loss] => 181.02904
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 04:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.7072
            [entry_price] => 180.56
            [stop_loss] => 181.07168
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.7072
            [entry_price] => 180.56
            [stop_loss] => 181.11432
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.7072
            [entry_price] => 180.56
            [stop_loss] => 181.1996
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.03
            [max_drawdown] => 0.5
            [rr_ratio] => 2.06
            [high] => 181.06000000
            [low] => 179.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.57
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T04:25:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T06:25:06-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.82
            [max_drawdown] => 0.5
            [rr_ratio] => 17.64
            [high] => 181.06000000
            [low] => 171.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.88
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 17.64
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T04:25:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T11:25:06-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 180.77000000
            [high_after] => 181.06000000
            [low_before] => 178.72000000
            [low_after] => 174.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)