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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 11 Dec 2025 at 04:29:29

Take profit at 179.6879 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 181.041 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Dec 2025 at 04:29:29

With 17.7369 MSTR at 180.59$ per unit.

Position size of 3203.1005 $

Take profit at 179.6879 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 181.041 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 7.81
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.477225

15m : 0.024284

1H : 0.025728

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.3006919937
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 180.633
  4. ema21 : 182.637
  5. ema50 : 184.208
  6. ema100 : 183.591
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000240966
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0109719
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0085283
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0163507
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.251092
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.204289
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0977401
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0351018
  17. rsi : 0.379189
  18. adx : 0.292741
  19. kc_percentage : 0.227643
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0388669
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.845148
  22. volume_ema1 : 128766.21433111
  23. volume_ema2 : 831544.58249708
  24. chop : 40.5413
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 179.773
  28. ema21 : 179.973
  29. ema50 : 181.372
  30. ema100 : 183.563
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00454265
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00110935
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00771359
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0161971
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.019124
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0284408
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0476821
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0475628
  41. rsi : 0.53333
  42. adx : 0.226123
  43. kc_percentage : 0.799797
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0119836
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.590608
  46. volume_ema1 : 45911.084781444
  47. volume_ema2 : 112144.74454086
  48. chop : 54.4437
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 180.076
  52. ema21 : 179.792
  53. ema50 : 179.824
  54. ema100 : 180.068
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00285239
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00157735
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000174624
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00289573
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.032438
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00832058
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00209396
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00457154
  65. rsi : 0.674517
  66. adx : 0.322635
  67. kc_percentage : 1.11226
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00714164
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.382472
  70. volume_ema1 : 14493.804003007
  71. volume_ema2 : 10483.974044375
  72. chop : 20.5623
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90256.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00113355
  78. 5m_price: 
    90359.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.477225
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91281.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0100668
  83. 15m_price: 
    90362.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.024284
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    91154.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00872777
  88. 1H_price: 
    90359.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.025728
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-07 20:00:00
                    [1] => 182.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                    [1] => 185.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                    [1] => 178.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                    [1] => 180.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                    [1] => 198.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
                    [1] => 191.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 14:00:00
                    [1] => 190.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                    [1] => 178.06
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.4403602471463
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4208693698753
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2559811299562
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 08:00:00
                    [1] => 188.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 09:15:00
                    [1] => 189.87
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 09:45:00
                    [1] => 184.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 12:30:00
                    [1] => 185.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 14:15:00
                    [1] => 190.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
                    [1] => 182.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                    [1] => 178.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 23:45:00
                    [1] => 181.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 03:30:00
                    [1] => 178.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 04:15:00
                    [1] => 180.77
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099574044365772
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0463294538944
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1470456580125
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 23:45:00
                    [1] => 179.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 23:50:00
                    [1] => 181.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 01:05:00
                    [1] => 180.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 01:25:00
                    [1] => 179.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 01:50:00
                    [1] => 180.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 02:00:00
                    [1] => 180.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 02:25:00
                    [1] => 179.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 02:35:00
                    [1] => 180.05
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 03:30:00
                    [1] => 178.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 04:25:00
                    [1] => 180.77
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.099574044365772
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0463294538944
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1470456580125
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.15%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1590
0.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9679
0.54%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-10 23:45:00 179.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 23:50:00 181.2 ↑ High
2025-12-11 01:05:00 180.73 ↑ High
2025-12-11 01:25:00 179.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 01:50:00 180.13 ↑ High
2025-12-11 02:00:00 180.13 ↑ High
2025-12-11 02:25:00 179.47 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 02:35:00 180.05 ↑ High
2025-12-11 03:30:00 178.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 04:25:00 180.77 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.15%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.9390
5.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6279
0.91%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-10 08:00:00 188.25 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 09:15:00 189.87 ↑ High
2025-12-10 09:45:00 184.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 12:30:00 185.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 14:15:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 15:00:00 182.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 23:45:00 181.2 ↑ High
2025-12-11 03:30:00 178.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 04:15:00 180.77 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.42%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.3990
9.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6279
0.91%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-07 20:00:00 182.58 ↑ High
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 05:00:00 191.33 ↑ High
2025-12-10 14:00:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Dec 2025
04:29:29		 11 Dec 2025
04:30:00		 31 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
180.59 181.041 179.6879 2 132.01
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 180.59
  • Stop Loss: 181.041
  • Take Profit: 179.6879

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 181.041 - 180.59 = 0.45099999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 180.59 - 179.6879 = 0.90209999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.90209999999999 / 0.45099999999999 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3203.1005 100 17.7369 32.03
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.45099999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.45099999999999 = 17.74

Taille de position USD = 17.74 x 180.59 = 3203.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.74 avec un stoploss a 181.041

Avec un position size USD de 3203.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.74 x 0.45099999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.74 x 0.90209999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.74
  • Taille de position USD 3203.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2603 % 104.25 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.6879
            [entry_price] => 180.59
            [stop_loss] => 181.0861
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.6879
            [entry_price] => 180.59
            [stop_loss] => 181.1312
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.6879
            [entry_price] => 180.59
            [stop_loss] => 181.1763
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 179.6879
            [entry_price] => 180.59
            [stop_loss] => 181.2665
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.06
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47
            [rr_ratio] => 2.26
            [high] => 181.06000000
            [low] => 179.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 0.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.26
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T04:29:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T06:29:29-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.85
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47
            [rr_ratio] => 18.83
            [high] => 181.06000000
            [low] => 171.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 18.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T04:29:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T11:29:29-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 180.77000000
            [high_after] => 181.06000000
            [low_before] => 178.72000000
            [low_after] => 174.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)