Short Trade on ORCL 11 Dec 2025 at 12:37:16
Take profit at 192.8093 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 196.8004 (0.68 %)
Short Trade on ORCL 11 Dec 2025 at 12:37:16
Take profit at 192.8093 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 196.8004 (0.68 %)
Position size of 1175.4478 $
Take profit at 192.8093 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 196.8004 (0.68 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.76 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.384219 15m : 0.035578 1H : -0.045685 |
1 |
Indicators:
90012.4
-3.04208E-5
90009.7
0.384219
90637.9
-0.00707626
89996.6
0.035578
90781.2
-0.00849878
90009.7
-0.045685
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 14:00:00
[1] => 217.36
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 19:00:00
[1] => 222.74
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 03:00:00
[1] => 222.29
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
[1] => 222.44
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
[1] => 224.81
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 03:00:00
[1] => 225.06
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 16:00:00
[1] => 230.42
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
[1] => 192.98
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 04:00:00
[1] => 199.47
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 09:00:00
[1] => 186.77
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0905399308167
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.567114632971
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.7998072495583
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 17:30:00
[1] => 197.11
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 19:45:00
[1] => 197.45
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
[1] => 192.98
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 02:15:00
[1] => 198.1
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 04:00:00
[1] => 196.06
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 04:30:00
[1] => 199.47
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 09:30:00
[1] => 186.77
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 10:15:00
[1] => 195.62
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 11:30:00
[1] => 191.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 12:30:00
[1] => 195.72
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21459227467811
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2459557091252
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4658394848437
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 04:35:00
[1] => 199.47
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 05:10:00
[1] => 197.43
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 05:35:00
[1] => 198.82
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 05:55:00
[1] => 197.31
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 06:10:00
[1] => 198.76
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 08:40:00
[1] => 194.41
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 09:30:00
[1] => 186.77
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 10:20:00
[1] => 195.62
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 11:35:00
[1] => 191.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 12:35:00
[1] => 195.72
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21459227467811
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2459557091252
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4658394848437
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 04:35:00 | 199.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 05:10:00 | 197.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 05:35:00 | 198.82 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 05:55:00 | 197.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 06:10:00 | 198.76 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 08:40:00 | 194.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 09:30:00 | 186.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 10:20:00 | 195.62 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 11:35:00 | 191.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 12:35:00 | 195.72 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 17:30:00 | 197.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 19:45:00 | 197.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 22:00:00 | 192.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 02:15:00 | 198.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 04:00:00 | 196.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 04:30:00 | 199.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 09:30:00 | 186.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 10:15:00 | 195.62 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 11:30:00 | 191.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 12:30:00 | 195.72 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 14:00:00 | 217.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-08 19:00:00 | 222.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 03:00:00 | 222.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 09:00:00 | 222.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 16:00:00 | 224.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 03:00:00 | 225.06 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 16:00:00 | 230.42 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 22:00:00 | 192.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 04:00:00 | 199.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 09:00:00 | 186.77 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 12:37:16 |
11 Dec 2025 13:45:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.47 | 196.8004 | 192.8093 | 2 | 148.61 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 196.8004 - 195.47 = 1.3304
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 195.47 - 192.8093 = 2.6607
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6607 / 1.3304 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1175.4478 | 100 | 6.0134 | 11.75 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.3304 = 6.01
Taille de position USD = 6.01 x 195.47 = 1174.77
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.01 avec un stoploss a 196.8004
Avec un position size USD de 1174.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.01 x 1.3304 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.01 x 2.6607 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.36 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7213 % | 105.98 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 192.8093
[entry_price] => 195.47
[stop_loss] => 196.93344
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 192.8093
[entry_price] => 195.47
[stop_loss] => 197.06648
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 192.8093
[entry_price] => 195.47
[stop_loss] => 197.19952
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 192.8093
[entry_price] => 195.47
[stop_loss] => 197.4656
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.23
[max_drawdown] => 5.73
[rr_ratio] => 0.39
[high] => 201.20000000
[low] => 193.24000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.14
[mae_pct] => 2.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.39
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-11T12:37:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-11T14:37:16-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.23
[max_drawdown] => 6.54
[rr_ratio] => 0.34
[high] => 202.01000000
[low] => 193.24000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.14
[mae_pct] => 3.35
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-11T12:37:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-11T19:37:16-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 195.72000000
[high_after] => 202.01000000
[low_before] => 186.77000000
[low_after] => 193.24000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)