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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 11 Dec 2025 at 13:09:35

Take profit at 174.0901 (1.32 %) and Stop Loss at 177.585 (0.66 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Dec 2025 at 13:09:35

With 6.8672 MSTR at 176.42$ per unit.

Position size of 1211.5103 $

Take profit at 174.0901 (1.32 %) and Stop Loss at 177.585 (0.66 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.66
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.71
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.8075

15m : 0.097274

1H : 0.032672

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.7766393968
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 176.711
  4. ema21 : 179.171
  5. ema50 : 181.996
  6. ema100 : 182.505
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00165137
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.013729
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0155237
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.033346
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.214168
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.199755
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.125114
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0598904
  17. rsi : 0.361224
  18. adx : 0.37914
  19. kc_percentage : 0.215929
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0513982
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.578159
  22. volume_ema1 : 1884575.405295
  23. volume_ema2 : 1194160.2092928
  24. chop : 41.022
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 175.048
  28. ema21 : 175.993
  29. ema50 : 177.943
  30. ema100 : 179.974
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00783768
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00537497
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0109531
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0197511
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.152686
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.148802
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.101492
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0700956
  41. rsi : 0.496135
  42. adx : 0.429198
  43. kc_percentage : 0.586644
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0336502
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.236111
  46. volume_ema1 : 371525.72145769
  47. volume_ema2 : 486361.25548422
  48. chop : 30.8636
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 175.278
  52. ema21 : 174.852
  53. ema50 : 175.564
  54. ema100 : 176.983
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00650987
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00243817
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00405345
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00318498
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0697833
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0321837
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.014537
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0248816
  65. rsi : 0.635996
  66. adx : 0.204421
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02646
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0168091
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.523128
  70. volume_ema1 : 104979.35710907
  71. volume_ema2 : 220141.63860512
  72. chop : 51.9381
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90001.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00187267
  78. 5m_price: 
    90169.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.8075
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90634.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00512455
  83. 15m_price: 
    90169.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.097274
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90945.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0085242
  88. 1H_price: 
    90169.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.032672
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                    [1] => 185.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                    [1] => 178.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                    [1] => 180.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                    [1] => 198.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
                    [1] => 191.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 14:00:00
                    [1] => 190.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                    [1] => 178.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.74
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.6133626557755
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7366950040759
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 23
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6799813671829
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 14:15:00
                    [1] => 190.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
                    [1] => 182.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                    [1] => 178.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 23:45:00
                    [1] => 181.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 03:30:00
                    [1] => 178.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 04:30:00
                    [1] => 181.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 05:30:00
                    [1] => 179.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 09:30:00
                    [1] => 180.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 171.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 13:00:00
                    [1] => 176.47
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.017000056666856
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7366950040759
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7541632700594
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 07:15:00
                    [1] => 179.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 07:35:00
                    [1] => 180.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 08:25:00
                    [1] => 179.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 08:30:00
                    [1] => 179.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 09:40:00
                    [1] => 180.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 10:00:00
                    [1] => 174
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 10:25:00
                    [1] => 177.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 171.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:45:00
                    [1] => 174.83
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 13:05:00
                    [1] => 176.47
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.017000056666856
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7366950040759
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.93805410970656
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.74%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.8550
1.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3501
1.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-11 07:15:00 179.52 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 07:35:00 180.44 ↑ High
2025-12-11 08:25:00 179.94 ↑ High
2025-12-11 08:30:00 179.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 09:40:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-12-11 10:00:00 174 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 10:25:00 177.85 ↑ High
2025-12-11 11:15:00 171.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 11:45:00 174.83 ↑ High
2025-12-11 13:05:00 176.47 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.74%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.75%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.3950
7.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3501
1.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-10 14:15:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 15:00:00 182.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 23:45:00 181.2 ↑ High
2025-12-11 03:30:00 178.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 04:30:00 181.06 ↑ High
2025-12-11 05:30:00 179.53 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 09:30:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-12-11 11:15:00 171.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 13:00:00 176.47 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-7.61%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.74%
Bars Since Swing High
23 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.8550
11.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3501
1.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 05:00:00 191.33 ↑ High
2025-12-10 14:00:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 11:00:00 171.74 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Dec 2025
13:09:35		 11 Dec 2025
13:20:00		 10 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
176.42 177.585 174.0901 2 134.45
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 176.42
  • Stop Loss: 177.585
  • Take Profit: 174.0901

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 177.585 - 176.42 = 1.165

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 176.42 - 174.0901 = 2.3299

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3299 / 1.165 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1211.5103 100 6.8672 12.12
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.165

Taille de position = 8 / 1.165 = 6.87

Taille de position USD = 6.87 x 176.42 = 1212.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.87 avec un stoploss a 177.585

Avec un position size USD de 1212.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.87 x 1.165 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.87 x 2.3299 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.87
  • Taille de position USD 1212.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.32 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.66 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.66
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7822 % 118.44 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.0901
            [entry_price] => 176.42
            [stop_loss] => 177.7015
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.0901
            [entry_price] => 176.42
            [stop_loss] => 177.818
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.0901
            [entry_price] => 176.42
            [stop_loss] => 177.9345
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 174.0901
            [entry_price] => 176.42
            [stop_loss] => 178.1675
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0099999999999909
            [max_drawdown] => 5.16
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 181.58000000
            [low] => 176.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.01
            [mae_pct] => 2.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T13:09:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T15:09:35-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0099999999999909
            [max_drawdown] => 9.93
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 186.35000000
            [low] => 176.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.01
            [mae_pct] => 5.63
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T13:09:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T20:09:35-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 180.42000000
            [high_after] => 186.35000000
            [low_before] => 171.74000000
            [low_after] => 176.41000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)