Short Trade on MSTR 11 Dec 2025 at 13:31:19

Take profit at 175.2066 (1.2 %) and Stop Loss at 178.4067 (0.6 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Dec 2025 at 13:31:19

With 7.4999 MSTR at 177.34$ per unit.

Position size of 1330.0392 $

Take profit at 175.2066 (1.2 %) and Stop Loss at 178.4067 (0.6 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.806861

15m : 0.005515

1H : -0.056277

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.7111168633
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 176.895
  4. ema21 : 179.255
  5. ema50 : 182.033
  6. ema100 : 182.524
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00251098
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0131627
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0152594
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0284021
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.205714
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.195959
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.123487
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0590646
  17. rsi : 0.399911
  18. adx : 0.369531
  19. kc_percentage : 0.31906
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0543345
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.69599
  22. volume_ema1 : 2060357.3783284
  23. volume_ema2 : 1214840.4414143
  24. chop : 41.1614
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 175.967
  29. ema21 : 176.282
  30. ema50 : 177.939
  31. ema100 : 180.01
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00780134
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00178685
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00931491
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0148348
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0560559
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.103472
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0855974
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0645219
  42. rsi : 0.540115
  43. adx : 0.364317
  44. kc_percentage : 0.702452
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0311257
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.416916
  47. volume_ema1 : 272796.96230342
  48. volume_ema2 : 467851.92642834
  49. chop : 44.2218
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 176.629
  54. ema21 : 175.768
  55. ema50 : 175.87
  56. ema100 : 176.999
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00402156
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00489842
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000580442
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0019244
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.109945
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.069728
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.011853
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0100463
  67. rsi : 0.682558
  68. adx : 0.286299
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0763
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0149889
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.613912
  72. volume_ema1 : 76720.612567039
  73. volume_ema2 : 198712.85348149
  74. chop : 42.1125
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90035.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00323444
  81. 5m_price:
    90327
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.806861
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90633.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0033869
  86. 15m_price:
    90327
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.005515
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90948.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00683076
  91. 1H_price:
    90327
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.056277
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 185.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                        [1] => 178.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                        [1] => 182.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 180.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 198.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 187.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
                        [1] => 191.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 14:00:00
                        [1] => 190.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                        [1] => 178.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 11:00:00
                        [1] => 171.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.3358466855168
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0453010364504
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 23
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6799813671829
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 14:15:00
                        [1] => 190.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
                        [1] => 182.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                        [1] => 178.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-10 23:45:00
                        [1] => 181.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 03:30:00
                        [1] => 178.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 04:30:00
                        [1] => 181.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 05:30:00
                        [1] => 179.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 09:30:00
                        [1] => 180.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 11:15:00
                        [1] => 171.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 13:15:00
                        [1] => 177.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51717353420653
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0453010364504
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.58099452661
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 07:15:00
                        [1] => 179.52
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 07:35:00
                        [1] => 180.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 08:25:00
                        [1] => 179.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 08:30:00
                        [1] => 179.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 09:40:00
                        [1] => 180.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 10:00:00
                        [1] => 174
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 10:25:00
                        [1] => 177.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 11:15:00
                        [1] => 171.74
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 11:45:00
                        [1] => 174.83
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-11 13:25:00
                        [1] => 177.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51717353420653
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0453010364504
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 27
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7502716925013
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.52%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.05%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
27 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.75%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.0333
1.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.4666
1.98%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-11 07:15:00 179.52 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 07:35:00 180.44 ↑ High
2025-12-11 08:25:00 179.94 ↑ High
2025-12-11 08:30:00 179.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 09:40:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-12-11 10:00:00 174 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 10:25:00 177.85 ↑ High
2025-12-11 11:15:00 171.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 11:45:00 174.83 ↑ High
2025-12-11 13:25:00 177.89 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.52%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.05%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.58%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.5733
7.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.4666
1.98%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-10 14:15:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 15:00:00 182.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 23:45:00 181.2 ↑ High
2025-12-11 03:30:00 178.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 04:30:00 181.06 ↑ High
2025-12-11 05:30:00 179.53 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 09:30:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-12-11 11:15:00 171.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 13:15:00 177.89 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-7.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.05%
Bars Since Swing High
23 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.0333
11.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.4666
1.98%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 05:00:00 191.33 ↑ High
2025-12-10 14:00:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 11:00:00 171.74 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Dec 2025
13:31:19
11 Dec 2025
13:40:00
8 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
177.34 178.4067 175.2066 2 132.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 177.34
  • Stop Loss: 178.4067
  • Take Profit: 175.2066

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 178.4067 - 177.34 = 1.0667

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 177.34 - 175.2066 = 2.1334

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1334 / 1.0667 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1330.0392 100 7.4999 13.30
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.0667

Taille de position = 8 / 1.0667 = 7.5

Taille de position USD = 7.5 x 177.34 = 1330.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 7.5 avec un stoploss a 178.4067

Avec un position size USD de 1330.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7.5 x 1.0667 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7.5 x 2.1334 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7.5
  • Taille de position USD 1330.05
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.2 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.6 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.60
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7049 % 117.19 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 175.2066
            [entry_price] => 177.34
            [stop_loss] => 178.51337
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 175.2066
            [entry_price] => 177.34
            [stop_loss] => 178.62004
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 13:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 175.2066
            [entry_price] => 177.34
            [stop_loss] => 178.72671
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 14:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 175.2066
            [entry_price] => 177.34
            [stop_loss] => 178.94005
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 14:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.37
            [max_drawdown] => 5.52
            [rr_ratio] => 0.07
            [high] => 182.86000000
            [low] => 176.97000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.21
            [mae_pct] => 3.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T13:31:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T15:31:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.37
            [max_drawdown] => 9.01
            [rr_ratio] => 0.04
            [high] => 186.35000000
            [low] => 176.97000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.21
            [mae_pct] => 5.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T13:31:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T20:31:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 180.42000000
            [high_after] => 186.35000000
            [low_before] => 171.74000000
            [low_after] => 176.97000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)