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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 11 Dec 2025 at 13:45:39

Take profit at 176.0348 (1.3 %) and Stop Loss at 179.5226 (0.65 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Dec 2025 at 13:45:39

With 6.8812 MSTR at 178.36$ per unit.

Position size of 1227.3323 $

Take profit at 176.0348 (1.3 %) and Stop Loss at 179.5226 (0.65 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.91
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.802798

15m : 0.097449

1H : -0.077571

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.7750577178
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 177.099
  4. ema21 : 179.348
  5. ema50 : 182.073
  6. ema100 : 182.544
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00711566
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0125354
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0149664
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0229219
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.196341
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.191749
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.121683
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0581489
  17. rsi : 0.43767
  18. adx : 0.364802
  19. kc_percentage : 0.417605
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0558403
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.867832
  22. volume_ema1 : 2327912.545995
  23. volume_ema2 : 1246317.5199634
  24. chop : 41.2407
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 176.645
  28. ema21 : 176.574
  29. ema50 : 178.011
  30. ema100 : 180.064
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0097043
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000404003
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00807398
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00946474
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0105164
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0687108
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0715207
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0584917
  41. rsi : 0.582095
  42. adx : 0.350105
  43. kc_percentage : 0.814065
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0326009
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.232713
  46. volume_ema1 : 369317.76678006
  47. volume_ema2 : 481329.40270114
  48. chop : 40.1831
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 177.348
  52. ema21 : 176.333
  53. ema50 : 176.111
  54. ema100 : 177.05
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00570161
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00575536
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00126135
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00739845
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.125298
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0865933
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0258284
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00161058
  65. rsi : 0.700685
  66. adx : 0.29462
  67. kc_percentage : 1.14962
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0170189
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.133801
  70. volume_ema1 : 178420.91341986
  71. volume_ema2 : 205981.63965369
  72. chop : 34.7106
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90081
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0115999
  78. 5m_price: 
    91126
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.802798
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90660.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00513141
  83. 15m_price: 
    91126
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.097449
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90964
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00178017
  88. 1H_price: 
    91126
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.077571
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 09:00:00
                    [1] => 185.68
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-08 10:00:00
                    [1] => 178.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
                    [1] => 180.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
                    [1] => 198.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
                    [1] => 191.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 14:00:00
                    [1] => 190.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                    [1] => 178.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.74
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.8960100534087
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5344124839874
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 23
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6799813671829
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 14:15:00
                    [1] => 190.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
                    [1] => 182.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                    [1] => 178.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 23:45:00
                    [1] => 181.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 03:30:00
                    [1] => 178.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 04:30:00
                    [1] => 181.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 05:30:00
                    [1] => 179.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 09:30:00
                    [1] => 180.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 171.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 13:45:00
                    [1] => 178.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49804141018466
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5344124839874
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0526377081635
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 07:15:00
                    [1] => 179.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 07:35:00
                    [1] => 180.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 08:25:00
                    [1] => 179.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 08:30:00
                    [1] => 179.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 09:40:00
                    [1] => 180.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 10:00:00
                    [1] => 174
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 10:25:00
                    [1] => 177.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 171.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:45:00
                    [1] => 174.83
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 13:45:00
                    [1] => 178.7
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49804141018466
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5344124839874
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 30
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2135789052222
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.53%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
30 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9174
0.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.2948
2.44%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-11 07:15:00 179.52 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 07:35:00 180.44 ↑ High
2025-12-11 08:25:00 179.94 ↑ High
2025-12-11 08:30:00 179.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 09:40:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-12-11 10:00:00 174 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 10:25:00 177.85 ↑ High
2025-12-11 11:15:00 171.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 11:45:00 174.83 ↑ High
2025-12-11 13:45:00 178.7 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.53%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.05%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.4574
6.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.2948
2.44%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-10 14:15:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 15:00:00 182.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 23:45:00 181.2 ↑ High
2025-12-11 03:30:00 178.72 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 04:30:00 181.06 ↑ High
2025-12-11 05:30:00 179.53 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 09:30:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-12-11 11:15:00 171.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 13:45:00 178.7 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.90%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.53%
Bars Since Swing High
23 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.9174
10.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.2948
2.44%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-08 09:00:00 185.68 ↑ High
2025-12-08 10:00:00 178.4 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 04:00:00 182.85 ↑ High
2025-12-09 09:00:00 180.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 11:00:00 198.44 ↑ High
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 05:00:00 191.33 ↑ High
2025-12-10 14:00:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 11:00:00 171.74 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Dec 2025
13:45:39		 11 Dec 2025
14:20:00		 34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
178.36 179.5226 176.0348 2 133.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 178.36
  • Stop Loss: 179.5226
  • Take Profit: 176.0348

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 179.5226 - 178.36 = 1.1626

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 178.36 - 176.0348 = 2.3252

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3252 / 1.1626 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1227.3323 100 6.8812 12.27
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.1626

Taille de position = 8 / 1.1626 = 6.88

Taille de position USD = 6.88 x 178.36 = 1227.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.88 avec un stoploss a 179.5226

Avec un position size USD de 1227.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.88 x 1.1626 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.88 x 2.3252 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.88
  • Taille de position USD 1227.12
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.3 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.65 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.65
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6672 % 102.36 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 176.0348
            [entry_price] => 178.36
            [stop_loss] => 179.63886
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 14:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 176.0348
            [entry_price] => 178.36
            [stop_loss] => 179.75512
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 14:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 176.0348
            [entry_price] => 178.36
            [stop_loss] => 179.87138
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 14:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 176.0348
            [entry_price] => 178.36
            [stop_loss] => 180.1039
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 14:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.11
            [max_drawdown] => 4.61
            [rr_ratio] => 0.24
            [high] => 182.97000000
            [low] => 177.25000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.62
            [mae_pct] => 2.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T13:45:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T15:45:39-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.11
            [max_drawdown] => 7.99
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 186.35000000
            [low] => 177.25000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.62
            [mae_pct] => 4.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T13:45:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T20:45:39-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 178.70000000
            [high_after] => 186.35000000
            [low_before] => 171.74000000
            [low_after] => 177.25000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)