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Short Trade on AVAX

Short Trade on AVAX

The 11 Dec 2025 at 14:38:50

With 94.3897 AVAX at 13.363$ per unit.

Position size of 1261.329 $

Take profit at 13.1935 (1.27 %) and Stop Loss at 13.4478 (0.63 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.74
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.782918

15m : 0.012867

1H : 0.236017

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.05650336722
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 13.2245
  4. ema21 - 13.4158
  5. ema50 - 13.6995
  6. ema100 - 13.7594
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0104673
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.014254
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0207144
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0288095
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.214875
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.26822
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.17739
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.087701
  17. rsi - 0.438657
  18. adx - 0.397682
  19. kc_percentage - 0.451069
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0551727
  21. volume_ema_diff - 0.011284
  22. volume_ema1 - 860574.49013304
  23. volume_ema2 - 850972.07037588
  24. chop - 50.9568
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 13.2113
  28. ema21 - 13.1768
  29. ema50 - 13.266
  30. ema100 - 13.5009
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0114822
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00261233
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00672255
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0102187
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0973024
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0138961
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0371571
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0561777
  41. rsi - 0.608516
  42. adx - 0.262693
  43. kc_percentage - 0.963517
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0300965
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.229054
  46. volume_ema1 - 168232.19507263
  47. volume_ema2 - 218215.53250735
  48. chop - 42.5735
  49. regime - range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 13.2754
  52. ema21 - 13.2172
  53. ema50 - 13.1683
  54. ema100 - 13.1758
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00659452
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00440591
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00370895
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0142035
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0862699
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0684327
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0359538
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0140649
  65. rsi - 0.717353
  66. adx - 0.305398
  67. kc_percentage - 1.12911
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0168962
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.148108
  70. volume_ema1 - 70113.802541208
  71. volume_ema2 - 82303.650061401
  72. chop - 48.0068
  73. regime - bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90243.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0136971
  78. 5m_price: 91479.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.782918
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 90686.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00632386
  83. 15m_price: 91259.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.012867
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91013
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 0.00512468
  88. 1H_price: 91479.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.236017
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Dec 2025
14:38:50		 11 Dec 2025
16:15:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.363 13.4478 13.1935 2 12.252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.363
  • Stop Loss: 13.4478
  • Take Profit: 13.1935

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.4478 - 13.363 = 0.084800000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.363 - 13.1935 = 0.1695

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1695 / 0.084800000000001 = 1.9988

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1261.329 100 94.3897 12.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.084800000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.084800000000001 = 94.34

Taille de position USD = 94.34 x 13.363 = 1260.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 94.34 avec un stoploss a 13.4478

Avec un position size USD de 1260.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 94.34 x 0.084800000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 94.34 x 0.1695 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 94.34
  • Taille de position USD 1260.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9988

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.27 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.63 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.63
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.579 % 248.82 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1935
            [entry_price] => 13.363
            [stop_loss] => 13.45628
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 16:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1935
            [entry_price] => 13.363
            [stop_loss] => 13.46476
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 16:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1935
            [entry_price] => 13.363
            [stop_loss] => 13.47324
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 16:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1935
            [entry_price] => 13.363
            [stop_loss] => 13.4902
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-11 16:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.139
            [max_drawdown] => 0.243
            [rr_ratio] => 0.57
            [high] => 13.60600000
            [low] => 13.22400000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.04
            [mae_pct] => 1.82
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T14:38:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T16:38:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.139
            [max_drawdown] => 0.291
            [rr_ratio] => 0.48
            [high] => 13.65400000
            [low] => 13.22400000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.04
            [mae_pct] => 2.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.48
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-11T14:38:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-11T21:38:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.36700000
            [high_after] => 13.60600000
            [low_before] => 12.87500000
            [low_after] => 13.22400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)