Short Trade on HOOD 11 Dec 2025 at 17:19:09
Take profit at 124.0011 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 125.0495 (0.28 %)
Short Trade on HOOD 11 Dec 2025 at 17:19:09
Take profit at 124.0011 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 125.0495 (0.28 %)
Position size of 2854.6369 $
Take profit at 124.0011 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 125.0495 (0.28 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.8 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.58 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.512921 15m : -0.013586 1H : 0.005503 |
0 |
Indicators:
91134
0.0166925
92655.3
0.512921
90967.8
0.0185501
92655.3
-0.013586
91280
0.0150666
92655.3
0.005503
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 13:00:00
[1] => 138.08
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
[1] => 133.81
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
[1] => 139.7
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 21:00:00
[1] => 134.72
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 03:00:00
[1] => 136.18
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 12:00:00
[1] => 133.47
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
[1] => 137.39
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
[1] => 131.34
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 07:00:00
[1] => 134.32
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 15:00:00
[1] => 122.62
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.2364502680167
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6147447398467
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.5416734627304
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 02:30:00
[1] => 132.91
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 03:45:00
[1] => 132.35
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 04:45:00
[1] => 133.8
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 06:00:00
[1] => 133.42
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 06:30:00
[1] => 133.42
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 07:30:00
[1] => 134.32
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 11:00:00
[1] => 123.36
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 12:45:00
[1] => 126.39
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 15:30:00
[1] => 122.62
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 17:15:00
[1] => 124.77
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13625070129038
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6147447398467
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7533844397325
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 09:55:00
[1] => 125.41
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 10:25:00
[1] => 128.08
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 11:10:00
[1] => 123.36
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 11:45:00
[1] => 125
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 12:45:00
[1] => 126.39
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 13:35:00
[1] => 123.68
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 14:20:00
[1] => 124.73
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 15:35:00
[1] => 122.62
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 16:35:00
[1] => 124.64
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 17:15:00
[1] => 124.77
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13625070129038
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6147447398467
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.10430038510911
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 09:55:00 | 125.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 10:25:00 | 128.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 11:10:00 | 123.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 11:45:00 | 125 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 12:45:00 | 126.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 13:35:00 | 123.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 14:20:00 | 124.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 15:35:00 | 122.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 16:35:00 | 124.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 17:15:00 | 124.77 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 02:30:00 | 132.91 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 03:45:00 | 132.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 04:45:00 | 133.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 06:00:00 | 133.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 06:30:00 | 133.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 07:30:00 | 134.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 11:00:00 | 123.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 12:45:00 | 126.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 15:30:00 | 122.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 17:15:00 | 124.77 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 13:00:00 | 138.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 09:00:00 | 133.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 11:00:00 | 139.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 21:00:00 | 134.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 03:00:00 | 136.18 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 12:00:00 | 133.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:00:00 | 137.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 22:00:00 | 131.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 07:00:00 | 134.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 15:00:00 | 122.62 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 17:19:09 |
11 Dec 2025 17:55:00 |
35 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.7 | 125.0495 | 124.0011 | 2 | 79.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 125.0495 - 124.7 = 0.34949999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 124.7 - 124.0011 = 0.69890000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.69890000000001 / 0.34949999999999 = 1.9997
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2854.6369 | 100 | 22.892 | 28.55 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.34949999999999 = 22.89
Taille de position USD = 22.89 x 124.7 = 2854.38
Donc, tu peux acheter 22.89 avec un stoploss a 125.0495
Avec un position size USD de 2854.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 22.89 x 0.34949999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 22.89 x 0.69890000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.008 % | 2.85 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.001
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 17:55:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 123.82625
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 123.6515
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 123.47675
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 123.302
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 123.12725
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 122.9525
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 122.77775
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 122.603
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 122.42825
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 122.2535
[stop_loss] => 125.0495
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-11 21:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.7
[max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999909
[rr_ratio] => 70
[high] => 124.71000000
[low] => 124.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.56
[mae_pct] => 0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 70
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-11T17:19:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-11T19:19:09-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.78
[max_drawdown] => 0.75
[rr_ratio] => 1.04
[high] => 125.45000000
[low] => 123.92000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.63
[mae_pct] => 0.6
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.04
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-11T17:19:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-12T00:19:09-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 124.78000000
[high_after] => 125.45000000
[low_before] => 122.62000000
[low_after] => 123.92000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)