Short Trade on HOOD 12 Dec 2025 at 01:13:35
Take profit at 125.155 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 125.5225 (0.098 %)
Short Trade on HOOD 12 Dec 2025 at 01:13:35
Take profit at 125.155 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 125.5225 (0.098 %)
Position size of 8190.7385 $
Take profit at 125.155 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 125.5225 (0.098 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.89 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.82 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.1973 15m : -0.032246 1H : -0.058659 |
0 |
Indicators:
92368.8
0.00242827
92593.1
0.1973
91369.7
0.0133895
92593.1
-0.032246
91392.5
0.0131366
92593.1
-0.058659
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 09:00:00
[1] => 133.81
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 11:00:00
[1] => 139.7
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 21:00:00
[1] => 134.72
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 03:00:00
[1] => 136.18
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 12:00:00
[1] => 133.47
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
[1] => 137.39
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
[1] => 131.34
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 07:00:00
[1] => 134.32
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 15:00:00
[1] => 122.62
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 01:00:00
[1] => 125.48
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3324090686674
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3324090686674
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 11:00:00
[1] => 123.36
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 12:45:00
[1] => 126.39
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 15:30:00
[1] => 122.62
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 17:15:00
[1] => 124.77
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 17:45:00
[1] => 124
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 20:00:00
[1] => 123.92
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 21:45:00
[1] => 125.45
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 22:15:00
[1] => 125.45
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 23:30:00
[1] => 124.74
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 01:00:00
[1] => 125.48
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.59323392656727
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.59323392656727
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 19:20:00
[1] => 124.08
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 20:00:00
[1] => 123.92
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 21:40:00
[1] => 125.15
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 21:50:00
[1] => 125.15
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 21:55:00
[1] => 125.45
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 22:05:00
[1] => 125.45
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 22:15:00
[1] => 125.45
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 23:30:00
[1] => 124.74
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 00:45:00
[1] => 125.09
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 01:10:00
[1] => 125.48
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.31177552162443
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.31177552162443
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 19:20:00 | 124.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 20:00:00 | 123.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 21:40:00 | 125.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 21:50:00 | 125.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 21:55:00 | 125.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 22:05:00 | 125.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 22:15:00 | 125.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 23:30:00 | 124.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 00:45:00 | 125.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 01:10:00 | 125.48 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 11:00:00 | 123.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 12:45:00 | 126.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 15:30:00 | 122.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 17:15:00 | 124.77 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 17:45:00 | 124 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 20:00:00 | 123.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 21:45:00 | 125.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 22:15:00 | 125.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 23:30:00 | 124.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 01:00:00 | 125.48 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 09:00:00 | 133.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 11:00:00 | 139.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 21:00:00 | 134.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 03:00:00 | 136.18 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 12:00:00 | 133.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:00:00 | 137.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 22:00:00 | 131.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 07:00:00 | 134.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 15:00:00 | 122.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 01:00:00 | 125.48 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 01:13:35 |
12 Dec 2025 01:50:00 |
36 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125.4 | 125.5225 | 125.155 | 2 | 78.89 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 125.5225 - 125.4 = 0.12249999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 125.4 - 125.155 = 0.245
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.245 / 0.12249999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8190.7385 | 100 | 65.3169 | 81.91 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.12249999999999 = 65.31
Taille de position USD = 65.31 x 125.4 = 8189.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 65.31 avec un stoploss a 125.5225
Avec un position size USD de 8189.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 65.31 x 0.12249999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 65.31 x 0.245 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.098 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0638 % | 65.3 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 125.155
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 01:50:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 125.09375
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 01:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 125.0325
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 02:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.97125
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 02:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.91
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 02:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.84875
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.7875
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.72625
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 02:40:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.665
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 03:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.60375
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 03:00:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.5425
[stop_loss] => 125.5225
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 03:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.89
[max_drawdown] => 0.079999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 11.13
[high] => 125.48000000
[low] => 124.51000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.71
[mae_pct] => 0.06
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.13
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-12T01:13:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-12T03:13:35-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.32
[max_drawdown] => 0.079999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 16.5
[high] => 125.48000000
[low] => 124.08000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.05
[mae_pct] => 0.06
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 16.5
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-12T01:13:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-12T08:13:35-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 125.48000000
[high_after] => 125.48000000
[low_before] => 124.74000000
[low_after] => 124.08000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)