Short Trade on AVAX

The 12 Dec 2025 at 13:43:40

With 95.6602 AVAX at 13.185$ per unit.

Position size of 1261.2797 $

Take profit at 13.0177 (1.27 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2686 (0.63 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.4
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.854317

15m : -0.084428

1H : -0.018982

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.05575289788
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 13.2456
  4. ema21 - 13.374
  5. ema50 - 13.5323
  6. ema100 - 13.6487
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.00457724
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00960257
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0116951
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0339748
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.199759
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.0829036
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0667962
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0457839
  17. rsi - 0.423448
  18. adx - 0.232376
  19. kc_percentage - 0.268323
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0597258
  21. volume_ema_diff - 0.260076
  22. volume_ema1 - 1013299.9019103
  23. volume_ema2 - 804157.53922173
  24. chop - 32.4386
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 13.0639
  29. ema21 - 13.1587
  30. ema50 - 13.3166
  31. ema100 - 13.3519
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.00926975
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00720591
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0118564
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.012501
  36. all_emas_in_trend - True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - -0.201718
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.199374
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.122866
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.0611694
  42. rsi - 0.464688
  43. adx - 0.388837
  44. kc_percentage - 0.578401
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0339533
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.396771
  47. volume_ema1 - 133049.39928137
  48. volume_ema2 - 220562.11611786
  49. chop - 34.7433
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 13.1043
  54. ema21 - 13.0602
  55. ema50 - 13.122
  56. ema100 - 13.2577
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.00615692
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00337615
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00471119
  60. price_ema100_diff - -0.00548969
  61. all_emas_in_trend - False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.0773145
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.0375418
  65. ema_slope_50 - -0.0182231
  66. ema_slope_100 - -0.0317389
  67. rsi - 0.648072
  68. adx - 0.246164
  69. kc_percentage - 1.09338
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0158258
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.308339
  72. volume_ema1 - 62625.105228145
  73. volume_ema2 - 90543.095021433
  74. chop - 50.3053
  75. regime - range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 91133.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00613644
  81. 5m_price: 90574.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.854317
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 91420.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0101343
  86. 15m_price: 90493.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.084428
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 91265.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00757096
  91. 1H_price: 90574.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.018982
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
13:43:40
13 Dec 2025
00:05:00
10 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.185 13.2686 13.0177 2 12.252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.185
  • Stop Loss: 13.2686
  • Take Profit: 13.0177

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.2686 - 13.185 = 0.083599999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.185 - 13.0177 = 0.1673

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1673 / 0.083599999999999 = 2.0012

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1261.2797 100 95.6602 12.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.083599999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.083599999999999 = 95.69

Taille de position USD = 95.69 x 13.185 = 1261.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 95.69 avec un stoploss a 13.2686

Avec un position size USD de 1261.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 95.69 x 0.083599999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 95.69 x 0.1673 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 95.69
  • Taille de position USD 1261.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0012

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.27 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.63 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.63
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6902 % 108.85 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.165
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0090000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 18.33
            [high] => 13.19400000
            [low] => 13.02000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 18.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T13:43:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T15:43:40-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.165
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0090000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 18.33
            [high] => 13.19400000
            [low] => 13.02000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 18.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T13:43:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T20:43:40-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.55700000
            [high_after] => 13.19400000
            [low_before] => 12.79500000
            [low_after] => 13.02000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)