Short Trade on XPL 12 Dec 2025 at 17:28:15
Take profit at 0.147 (0.94 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1491 (0.47 %)
Short Trade on XPL 12 Dec 2025 at 17:28:15
Take profit at 0.147 (0.94 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1491 (0.47 %)
Position size of 1744.4893 $
Take profit at 0.147 (0.94 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1491 (0.47 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.65 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.537789 15m : 0.017831 1H : -0.027084 |
1 |
Indicators:
90551.5
-0.00287094
90291.6
0.537789
91482.4
-0.0129942
90293.7
0.017831
91198.7
-0.00994703
90291.6
-0.027084
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 21:00:00
[1] => 0.1732
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 03:00:00
[1] => 0.1777
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 10:00:00
[1] => 0.17
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
[1] => 0.1801
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 04:00:00
[1] => 0.1643
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1587
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 16:00:00
[1] => 0.1663
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 19:00:00
[1] => 0.159
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 03:00:00
[1] => 0.1575
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:00:00
[1] => 0.1452
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.763680096212
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2038567493113
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.4710743801653
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 21:45:00
[1] => 0.1629
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 22:30:00
[1] => 0.1603
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 00:15:00
[1] => 0.1591
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 01:15:00
[1] => 0.1622
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 03:30:00
[1] => 0.1575
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 04:45:00
[1] => 0.1605
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 06:15:00
[1] => 0.1583
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 07:45:00
[1] => 0.1609
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:00:00
[1] => 0.1452
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 17:00:00
[1] => 0.1485
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.06734006734006
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2038567493113
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2727272727273
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 13:40:00
[1] => 0.1497
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:10:00
[1] => 0.1452
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:40:00
[1] => 0.1468
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:50:00
[1] => 0.1455
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 15:15:00
[1] => 0.1471
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 15:30:00
[1] => 0.1459
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 16:00:00
[1] => 0.1457
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 16:30:00
[1] => 0.1477
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 16:50:00
[1] => 0.1468
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 17:10:00
[1] => 0.1485
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.06734006734006
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0899182561308
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.158038147139
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 13:40:00 | 0.1497 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 14:10:00 | 0.1452 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 14:40:00 | 0.1468 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 14:50:00 | 0.1455 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 15:15:00 | 0.1471 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 15:30:00 | 0.1459 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 16:00:00 | 0.1457 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 16:30:00 | 0.1477 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 16:50:00 | 0.1468 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 17:10:00 | 0.1485 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 21:45:00 | 0.1629 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 22:30:00 | 0.1603 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 00:15:00 | 0.1591 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 01:15:00 | 0.1622 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 03:30:00 | 0.1575 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 04:45:00 | 0.1605 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 06:15:00 | 0.1583 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 07:45:00 | 0.1609 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 14:00:00 | 0.1452 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 17:00:00 | 0.1485 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 21:00:00 | 0.1732 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 03:00:00 | 0.1777 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 10:00:00 | 0.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:00:00 | 0.1801 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 04:00:00 | 0.1643 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 11:00:00 | 0.1587 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 16:00:00 | 0.1663 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 19:00:00 | 0.159 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 03:00:00 | 0.1575 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 14:00:00 | 0.1452 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 17:28:15 |
12 Dec 2025 19:20:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1484 | 0.1491 | 0.147 | 2 | 0.0939 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1491 - 0.1484 = 0.00070000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1484 - 0.147 = 0.0014
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0014 / 0.00070000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1744.4893 | 100 | 11755.3191 | 17.44 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00070000000000001 = 11428.57
Taille de position USD = 11428.57 x 0.1484 = 1696
Donc, tu peux acheter 11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.1491
Avec un position size USD de 1696$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11428.57 x 0.00070000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11428.57 x 0.0014 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 16.46 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 8.23 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.46 $ | 0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2695 % | 57.13 % | 13 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.147
[stop_loss] => 0.1491
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 19:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.14665
[stop_loss] => 0.1491
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 20:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1463
[stop_loss] => 0.1491
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:10:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0016
[max_drawdown] => 0.00039999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 4
[high] => 0.14880000
[low] => 0.14680000
[mfe_pct] => 1.08
[mae_pct] => 0.27
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-12T17:28:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-12T19:28:15-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0024
[max_drawdown] => 0.00039999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 6
[high] => 0.14880000
[low] => 0.14600000
[mfe_pct] => 1.62
[mae_pct] => 0.27
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-12T17:28:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-13T00:28:15-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.14970000
[high_after] => 0.14880000
[low_before] => 0.14520000
[low_after] => 0.14600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)