Short Trade on FIL 12 Dec 2025 at 17:29:20
Take profit at 1.3233 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3363 (0.32 %)
Short Trade on FIL 12 Dec 2025 at 17:29:20
Take profit at 1.3233 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3363 (0.32 %)
Position size of 2457.1914 $
Take profit at 1.3233 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3363 (0.32 %)
That's a 2.02 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.78 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.55 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.702255 15m : -0.063905 1H : -0.041652 |
1 |
Indicators:
90551.7
-0.00274753
90303
0.702255
91482.4
-0.0129942
90293.7
-0.063905
91198.9
-0.00982448
90303
-0.041652
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-08 16:00:00
[1] => 1.516
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 07:00:00
[1] => 1.464
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 12:00:00
[1] => 1.594
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 06:00:00
[1] => 1.476
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
[1] => 1.553
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 21:00:00
[1] => 1.367
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 13:00:00
[1] => 1.346
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
[1] => 1.413
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 17:00:00
[1] => 1.333
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.075018754688664
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6194144838213
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6964560862866
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 22:15:00
[1] => 1.379
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 23:00:00
[1] => 1.394
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 00:15:00
[1] => 1.384
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 01:00:00
[1] => 1.404
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 03:30:00
[1] => 1.383
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 05:15:00
[1] => 1.413
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:30:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:00:00
[1] => 1.306
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 15:45:00
[1] => 1.311
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 17:15:00
[1] => 1.333
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.075018754688664
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6018306636156
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6781083142639
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 09:35:00
[1] => 1.38
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:35:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 12:05:00
[1] => 1.325
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 12:30:00
[1] => 1.31
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 13:10:00
[1] => 1.322
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 13:20:00
[1] => 1.308
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:05:00
[1] => 1.306
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 15:15:00
[1] => 1.32
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 15:40:00
[1] => 1.311
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 17:20:00
[1] => 1.333
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.075018754688664
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6018306636156
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6781083142639
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 09:35:00 | 1.38 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:35:00 | 1.298 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 12:05:00 | 1.325 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 12:30:00 | 1.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 13:10:00 | 1.322 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 13:20:00 | 1.308 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 14:05:00 | 1.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 15:15:00 | 1.32 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 15:40:00 | 1.311 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 17:20:00 | 1.333 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 22:15:00 | 1.379 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 23:00:00 | 1.394 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 00:15:00 | 1.384 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 01:00:00 | 1.404 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 03:30:00 | 1.383 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 05:15:00 | 1.413 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:30:00 | 1.298 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 14:00:00 | 1.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 15:45:00 | 1.311 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 17:15:00 | 1.333 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 16:00:00 | 1.516 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-09 07:00:00 | 1.464 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 12:00:00 | 1.594 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 06:00:00 | 1.476 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:00:00 | 1.553 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 21:00:00 | 1.367 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 13:00:00 | 1.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 05:00:00 | 1.413 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 1.298 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 17:00:00 | 1.333 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 17:29:20 |
12 Dec 2025 17:40:00 |
10 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.332 | 1.3363 | 1.3233 | 2.02 | 1.0026 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3363 - 1.332 = 0.0043
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.332 - 1.3233 = 0.0087000000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0087000000000002 / 0.0043 = 2.0233
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2457.1914 | 100 | 1844.7383 | 24.57 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0043 = 1860.47
Taille de position USD = 1860.47 x 1.332 = 2478.15
Donc, tu peux acheter 1860.47 avec un stoploss a 1.3363
Avec un position size USD de 2478.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0043 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0087000000000002 = 16.19
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.19$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.65 % | 16.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4505 % | 139.56 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3233
[entry_price] => 1.332
[stop_loss] => 1.33673
[rr_ratio] => 1.84
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 17:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3233
[entry_price] => 1.332
[stop_loss] => 1.33716
[rr_ratio] => 1.69
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 17:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3233
[entry_price] => 1.332
[stop_loss] => 1.33759
[rr_ratio] => 1.56
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 17:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3233
[entry_price] => 1.332
[stop_loss] => 1.33845
[rr_ratio] => 1.35
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.002
[max_drawdown] => 0.018
[rr_ratio] => 0.11
[high] => 1.35000000
[low] => 1.33000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.15
[mae_pct] => 1.35
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-12T17:29:20-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-12T19:29:20-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0030000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.019
[rr_ratio] => 0.16
[high] => 1.35100000
[low] => 1.32900000
[mfe_pct] => 0.23
[mae_pct] => 1.43
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.16
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-12T17:29:20-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-13T00:29:20-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.33300000
[high_after] => 1.35100000
[low_before] => 1.30600000
[low_after] => 1.32900000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)