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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Dec 2025 at 18:37:25

Take profit at 176.536 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 177.472 (0.18 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Dec 2025 at 18:37:25

With 25.6393 MSTR at 177.16$ per unit.

Position size of 4542.2504 $

Take profit at 176.536 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 177.472 (0.18 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.726519

15m : 0.165729

1H : 0.092547

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.2080143646
Details
  1. score: 1.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 178.476
  4. ema21 : 180.089
  5. ema50 : 181.473
  6. ema100 : 182.603
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00737486
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00895555
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00762684
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0298094
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.223506
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.117461
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0614638
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0390311
  17. rsi : 0.386795
  18. adx : 0.185396
  19. kc_percentage : 0.126696
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0430957
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.843857
  22. volume_ema1 : 87357.469023135
  23. volume_ema2 : 559471.13040077
  24. chop : 38.4443
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 176.652
  28. ema21 : 177.657
  29. ema50 : 179.444
  30. ema100 : 180.827
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00287389
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00565608
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00995871
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0202813
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.128343
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.115846
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0834012
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0536882
  41. rsi : 0.305178
  42. adx : 0.293027
  43. kc_percentage : 0.311265
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0124239
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.95651
  46. volume_ema1 : 1657.502421507
  47. volume_ema2 : 38113.046758416
  48. chop : 46.3551
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 176.557
  52. ema21 : 176.65
  53. ema50 : 177.405
  54. ema100 : 178.46
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0034128
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000527495
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00425522
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00728918
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.00716698
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0138413
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0259179
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0246803
  65. rsi : 0.586181
  66. adx : 0.422697
  67. kc_percentage : 1.20961
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00419102
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.00787
  70. volume_ema1 : 14957.895990975
  71. volume_ema2 : 7449.6105782176
  72. chop : 44.4718
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90395.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000785191
  78. 5m_price: 
    90324.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.726519
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91266.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0104874
  83. 15m_price: 
    90309
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.165729
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    91272.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.010385
  88. 1H_price: 
    90324.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.092547
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 16:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
                    [1] => 191.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 14:00:00
                    [1] => 190.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
                    [1] => 178.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 171.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 16:00:00
                    [1] => 186.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 01:00:00
                    [1] => 184.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 04:00:00
                    [1] => 182.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 09:00:00
                    [1] => 185.23
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 16:00:00
                    [1] => 175.69
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3567456675484
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.83670100745631
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4300187830838
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 01:30:00
                    [1] => 184.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 04:45:00
                    [1] => 182.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
                    [1] => 183.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 06:45:00
                    [1] => 183.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 07:30:00
                    [1] => 182.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 09:30:00
                    [1] => 185.23
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 11:45:00
                    [1] => 177.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 13:45:00
                    [1] => 182.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 16:00:00
                    [1] => 175.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 18:30:00
                    [1] => 177.18
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.011287955751219
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52201543349977
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8480846946326
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 12:15:00
                    [1] => 181.23
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 13:50:00
                    [1] => 182.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 14:10:00
                    [1] => 180.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 16:10:00
                    [1] => 175.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 16:55:00
                    [1] => 176.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 17:30:00
                    [1] => 176.87
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 17:40:00
                    [1] => 176.87
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 17:55:00
                    [1] => 176.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 18:30:00
                    [1] => 176.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 18:35:00
                    [1] => 177.18
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.011287955751219
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52201543349977
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.53336359509759
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.9780
2.80%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8460
0.48%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 12:15:00 181.23 ↑ High
2025-12-12 13:50:00 182.45 ↑ High
2025-12-12 14:10:00 180.19 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 16:10:00 175.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 16:55:00 176.98 ↑ High
2025-12-12 17:30:00 176.87 ↑ High
2025-12-12 17:40:00 176.87 ↑ High
2025-12-12 17:55:00 176.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 18:30:00 176.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 18:35:00 177.18 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.85%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.7580
4.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8460
0.48%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 01:30:00 184.97 ↑ High
2025-12-12 04:45:00 182.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 05:00:00 183.6 ↑ High
2025-12-12 06:45:00 183.55 ↑ High
2025-12-12 07:30:00 182.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 09:30:00 185.23 ↑ High
2025-12-12 11:45:00 177.37 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 13:45:00 182.45 ↑ High
2025-12-12 16:00:00 175.69 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 18:30:00 177.18 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.84%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.43%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.8580
7.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.7960
2.72%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 16:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 05:00:00 191.33 ↑ High
2025-12-10 14:00:00 190.98 ↑ High
2025-12-10 22:00:00 178.06 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 11:00:00 171.74 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 16:00:00 186.35 ↑ High
2025-12-12 01:00:00 184.97 ↑ High
2025-12-12 04:00:00 182.58 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 09:00:00 185.23 ↑ High
2025-12-12 16:00:00 175.69 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
18:37:25		 12 Dec 2025
19:00:00		 22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
177.16 177.472 176.536 2 129.08
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 177.16
  • Stop Loss: 177.472
  • Take Profit: 176.536

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 177.472 - 177.16 = 0.31200000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 177.16 - 176.536 = 0.624

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.624 / 0.31200000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4542.2504 100 25.6393 45.42
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.31200000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.31200000000001 = 25.64

Taille de position USD = 25.64 x 177.16 = 4542.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 25.64 avec un stoploss a 177.472

Avec un position size USD de 4542.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 25.64 x 0.31200000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 25.64 x 0.624 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 25.64
  • Taille de position USD 4542.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.35 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 176.536
            [stop_loss] => 177.472
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 19:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 176.38
            [stop_loss] => 177.472
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 19:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.79999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 177.16000000
            [low] => 176.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T18:37:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T20:37:25-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.79999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 177.16000000
            [low] => 176.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T18:37:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T01:37:25-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 180.49000000
            [high_after] => 177.16000000
            [low_before] => 175.69000000
            [low_after] => 176.36000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)