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Short Trade on AVAX

Short Trade on AVAX

The 12 Dec 2025 at 19:05:36

With 250.3844 AVAX at 13.172$ per unit.

Position size of 3298.0629 $

Take profit at 13.1081 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 13.204 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 4.19
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.8
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.088872

15m : -0.001807

1H : -0.114859

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.02130058402
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 13.1419
  4. ema21 - 13.2522
  5. ema50 - 13.4405
  6. ema100 - 13.6058
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00228992
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00832554
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0140093
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0318899
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.270006
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.179186
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.118925
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0784987
  17. rsi - 0.440953
  18. adx - 0.223635
  19. kc_percentage - 0.371573
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0427637
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.664326
  22. volume_ema1 - 222200.3330303
  23. volume_ema2 - 661952.82197007
  24. chop - 37.9287
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 13.1211
  28. ema21 - 13.1131
  29. ema50 - 13.1914
  30. ema100 - 13.2902
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00387509
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000612547
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00594026
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0088981
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0371832
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.00832884
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0291864
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.029682
  41. rsi - 0.554039
  42. adx - 0.158652
  43. kc_percentage - 0.801478
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0150759
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.597627
  46. volume_ema1 - 49078.025041525
  47. volume_ema2 - 121971.58884944
  48. chop - 74.7882
  49. regime - bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 13.1314
  52. ema21 - 13.1213
  53. ema50 - 13.1012
  54. ema100 - 13.0755
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00309049
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000766525
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00153712
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00737569
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.00586422
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.00820633
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0097459
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.00867785
  65. rsi - 0.655499
  66. adx - 0.165144
  67. kc_percentage - 1.10742
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00623879
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.268476
  70. volume_ema1 - 30120.312123456
  71. volume_ema2 - 23745.271555782
  72. chop - 53.6899
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90291
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000884307
  78. 5m_price: 90370.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.088872
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 91247.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00960342
  83. 15m_price: 90370.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.001807
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91322.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0104207
  88. 1H_price: 90370.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.114859
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
19:05:36		 12 Dec 2025
19:45:00		 39 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.172 13.204 13.1081 2 12.252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.172
  • Stop Loss: 13.204
  • Take Profit: 13.1081

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.204 - 13.172 = 0.032

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.172 - 13.1081 = 0.0639

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0639 / 0.032 = 1.9969

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3298.0629 100 250.3844 32.98
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.032

Taille de position = 8 / 0.032 = 250

Taille de position USD = 250 x 13.172 = 3293

Donc, tu peux acheter 250 avec un stoploss a 13.204

Avec un position size USD de 3293$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 250 x 0.032 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 250 x 0.0639 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 250
  • Taille de position USD 3293
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9969

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.49 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0987 % 40.63 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.108
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.092
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.076
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.06
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.044
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.028
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.012
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.996
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.98
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.964
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.948
            [stop_loss] => 13.204
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.087
            [max_drawdown] => 0.013
            [rr_ratio] => 6.69
            [high] => 13.18500000
            [low] => 13.08500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 0.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T19:05:36-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T21:05:36-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.087
            [max_drawdown] => 0.276
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [high] => 13.44800000
            [low] => 13.08500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 2.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T19:05:36-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T02:05:36-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.17300000
            [high_after] => 13.30400000
            [low_before] => 13.02200000
            [low_after] => 13.08500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)