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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 12 Dec 2025 at 19:10:09

Take profit at 13.1035 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 13.1928 (0.23 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 12 Dec 2025 at 19:10:09

With 268.7958 AVAX at 13.163$ per unit.

Position size of 3538.1585 $

Take profit at 13.1035 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 13.1928 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.7
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.789184

15m : -0.133103

1H : 0.010315

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.01984158313
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.1401
  4. ema21 : 13.2514
  5. ema50 : 13.4401
  6. ema100 : 13.6057
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00174229
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00840015
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0140443
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0325387
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.27111
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.17969
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.119141
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0786069
  17. rsi : 0.4365
  18. adx : 0.223552
  19. kc_percentage : 0.357219
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0428233
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.660852
  22. volume_ema1 : 224595.06009697
  23. volume_ema2 : 662234.55456615
  24. chop : 37.9299
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 13.1193
  28. ema21 : 13.1123
  29. ema50 : 13.1911
  30. ema100 : 13.29
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00332681
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000537708
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00597569
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00956201
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0360349
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00780837
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0294086
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0297933
  41. rsi : 0.545512
  42. adx : 0.158826
  43. kc_percentage : 0.759949
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0151166
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.578966
  46. volume_ema1 : 51472.752108192
  47. volume_ema2 : 122253.32144551
  48. chop : 74.5093
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 13.1362
  52. ema21 : 13.1243
  53. ema50 : 13.1008
  54. ema100 : 13.0589
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.002033
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000906891
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00179679
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00796525
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00669633
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0083281
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0106861
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0118428
  65. rsi : 0.638723
  66. adx : 0.189256
  67. kc_percentage : 1.00863
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00564606
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.179582
  70. volume_ema1 : 21676.692793415
  71. volume_ema2 : 26421.549231977
  72. chop : 52.4129
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90183.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00206437
  78. 5m_price: 
    90370.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.789184
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    91247.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00961202
  83. 15m_price: 
    90370.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.133103
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    91322.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0104293
  88. 1H_price: 
    90370.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.010315
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 06:00:00
                    [1] => 13.489
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-09 12:00:00
                    [1] => 14.725
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
                    [1] => 14.665
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 07:00:00
                    [1] => 14.134
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
                    [1] => 14.815
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-10 23:00:00
                    [1] => 13.223
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 12.875
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 01:00:00
                    [1] => 13.783
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
                    [1] => 12.795
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 19:00:00
                    [1] => 13.173
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11386927806878
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8370457209848
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9542790152403
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 00:15:00
                    [1] => 13.543
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 13.783
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 04:15:00
                    [1] => 13.482
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
                    [1] => 13.677
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 07:15:00
                    [1] => 13.502
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 08:15:00
                    [1] => 13.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 11:15:00
                    [1] => 12.795
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 13:45:00
                    [1] => 13.194
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 14:45:00
                    [1] => 13.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 19:00:00
                    [1] => 13.173
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11386927806878
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0599078341014
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1751152073733
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 14:05:00
                    [1] => 13.048
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 14:45:00
                    [1] => 13.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 15:15:00
                    [1] => 13.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 15:30:00
                    [1] => 13.022
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 16:05:00
                    [1] => 13.112
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 17:00:00
                    [1] => 13.056
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 17:55:00
                    [1] => 13.093
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
                    [1] => 13.163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 18:55:00
                    [1] => 13.097
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-12 19:05:00
                    [1] => 13.173
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11386927806878
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.4657555165305
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.58028556157899
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.47%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.58%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0198
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0835
0.64%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 14:05:00 13.048 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 14:45:00 13.02 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 15:15:00 13.09 ↑ High
2025-12-12 15:30:00 13.022 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 16:05:00 13.112 ↑ High
2025-12-12 17:00:00 13.056 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 17:55:00 13.093 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 18:00:00 13.163 ↑ High
2025-12-12 18:55:00 13.097 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 19:05:00 13.173 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.06%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
17 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5902
4.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3085
2.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 00:15:00 13.543 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 01:15:00 13.783 ↑ High
2025-12-12 04:15:00 13.482 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 05:00:00 13.677 ↑ High
2025-12-12 07:15:00 13.502 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 08:15:00 13.65 ↑ High
2025-12-12 11:15:00 12.795 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 13:45:00 13.194 ↑ High
2025-12-12 14:45:00 13.02 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 19:00:00 13.173 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.84%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.6222
12.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3085
2.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-09 06:00:00 13.489 ↓ Low
2025-12-09 12:00:00 14.725 ↑ High
2025-12-10 05:00:00 14.665 ↑ High
2025-12-10 07:00:00 14.134 ↓ Low
2025-12-10 15:00:00 14.815 ↑ High
2025-12-10 23:00:00 13.223 ↓ Low
2025-12-11 11:00:00 12.875 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 01:00:00 13.783 ↑ High
2025-12-12 11:00:00 12.795 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 19:00:00 13.173 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
19:10:09		 12 Dec 2025
19:45:00		 34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.163 13.1928 13.1035 2 9.016
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.163
  • Stop Loss: 13.1928
  • Take Profit: 13.1035

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.1928 - 13.163 = 0.0298

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.163 - 13.1035 = 0.0595

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0595 / 0.0298 = 1.9966

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3538.1585 100 268.7958 35.38
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0298

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0298 = 268.46

Taille de position USD = 268.46 x 13.163 = 3533.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 268.46 avec un stoploss a 13.1928

Avec un position size USD de 3533.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 268.46 x 0.0298 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 268.46 x 0.0595 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 268.46
  • Taille de position USD 3533.74
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9966

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.45 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.45
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1671 % 73.81 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1034
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0885
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0736
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0587
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0438
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0289
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.014
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9991
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9842
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9693
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9544
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.077999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.022
            [rr_ratio] => 3.55
            [high] => 13.18500000
            [low] => 13.08500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T19:10:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T21:10:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.077999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.285
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [high] => 13.44800000
            [low] => 13.08500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 2.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T19:10:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T02:10:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.17300000
            [high_after] => 13.30400000
            [low_before] => 13.02200000
            [low_after] => 13.08500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)