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Short Trade on AVAX

Short Trade on AVAX

The 12 Dec 2025 at 19:10:09

With 268.7958 AVAX at 13.163$ per unit.

Position size of 3538.1585 $

Take profit at 13.1035 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 13.1928 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.7
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.789184

15m : -0.133103

1H : 0.010315

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.01984158313
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 13.1401
  4. ema21 - 13.2514
  5. ema50 - 13.4401
  6. ema100 - 13.6057
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00174229
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00840015
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0140443
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0325387
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.27111
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.17969
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.119141
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0786069
  17. rsi - 0.4365
  18. adx - 0.223552
  19. kc_percentage - 0.357219
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0428233
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.660852
  22. volume_ema1 - 224595.06009697
  23. volume_ema2 - 662234.55456615
  24. chop - 37.9299
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 13.1193
  28. ema21 - 13.1123
  29. ema50 - 13.1911
  30. ema100 - 13.29
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00332681
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000537708
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00597569
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00956201
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0360349
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.00780837
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0294086
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0297933
  41. rsi - 0.545512
  42. adx - 0.158826
  43. kc_percentage - 0.759949
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0151166
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.578966
  46. volume_ema1 - 51472.752108192
  47. volume_ema2 - 122253.32144551
  48. chop - 74.5093
  49. regime - bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 13.1362
  52. ema21 - 13.1243
  53. ema50 - 13.1008
  54. ema100 - 13.0589
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.002033
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000906891
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00179679
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00796525
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.00669633
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0083281
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0106861
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0118428
  65. rsi - 0.638723
  66. adx - 0.189256
  67. kc_percentage - 1.00863
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00564606
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.179582
  70. volume_ema1 - 21676.692793415
  71. volume_ema2 - 26421.549231977
  72. chop - 52.4129
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90183.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00206437
  78. 5m_price: 90370.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.789184
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 91247.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00961202
  83. 15m_price: 90370.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.133103
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91322.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0104293
  88. 1H_price: 90370.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.010315
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
19:10:09		 12 Dec 2025
19:45:00		 34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.163 13.1928 13.1035 2 12.252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.163
  • Stop Loss: 13.1928
  • Take Profit: 13.1035

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.1928 - 13.163 = 0.0298

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.163 - 13.1035 = 0.0595

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0595 / 0.0298 = 1.9966

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3538.1585 100 268.7958 35.38
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0298

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0298 = 268.46

Taille de position USD = 268.46 x 13.163 = 3533.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 268.46 avec un stoploss a 13.1928

Avec un position size USD de 3533.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 268.46 x 0.0298 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 268.46 x 0.0595 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 268.46
  • Taille de position USD 3533.74
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9966

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.45 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.45
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1671 % 73.81 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1034
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0885
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0736
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0587
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0438
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0289
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.014
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9991
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9842
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9693
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9544
            [stop_loss] => 13.1928
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.077999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.022
            [rr_ratio] => 3.55
            [high] => 13.18500000
            [low] => 13.08500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T19:10:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T21:10:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.077999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.285
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [high] => 13.44800000
            [low] => 13.08500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 2.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T19:10:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T02:10:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.17300000
            [high_after] => 13.30400000
            [low_before] => 13.02200000
            [low_after] => 13.08500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)