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Short Trade on AVAX

Short Trade on AVAX

The 12 Dec 2025 at 19:20:19

With 265.1422 AVAX at 13.179$ per unit.

Position size of 3494.3096 $

Take profit at 13.1187 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2092 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 4.21
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.790692

15m : 0.143893

1H : -0.006568

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.02011498929
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 13.1433
  4. ema21 - 13.2528
  5. ema50 - 13.4408
  6. ema100 - 13.606
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00271574
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00826752
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0139821
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0313853
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.269147
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.178795
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.118757
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0784146
  17. rsi - 0.444369
  18. adx - 0.222561
  19. kc_percentage - 0.383889
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0431355
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.625411
  22. volume_ema1 - 249147.63209697
  23. volume_ema2 - 665123.0924485
  24. chop - 37.9438
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 13.1304
  28. ema21 - 13.1179
  29. ema50 - 13.1917
  30. ema100 - 13.2975
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00369495
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000954754
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00559626
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00891344
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0405535
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0123816
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0265231
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0297113
  41. rsi - 0.561863
  42. adx - 0.16311
  43. kc_percentage - 0.824948
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.014408
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.527678
  46. volume_ema1 - 56823.388461017
  47. volume_ema2 - 120306.55071323
  48. chop - 75.0959
  49. regime - range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 13.151
  52. ema21 - 13.1334
  53. ema50 - 13.1075
  54. ema100 - 13.0698
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00212697
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00133486
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00198154
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00835334
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0154076
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0122045
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0118865
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0114929
  65. rsi - 0.664081
  66. adx - 0.215117
  67. kc_percentage - 1.08157
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00579671
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.0171263
  70. volume_ema1 - 24639.565945222
  71. volume_ema2 - 24224.685142545
  72. chop - 45.9206
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90202
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00148359
  78. 5m_price: 90335.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.790692
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 91259
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0101152
  83. 15m_price: 90335.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.143893
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91321.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0107964
  88. 1H_price: 90335.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.006568
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
19:20:19		 12 Dec 2025
19:40:00		 19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.179 13.2092 13.1187 2 12.252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.179
  • Stop Loss: 13.2092
  • Take Profit: 13.1187

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.2092 - 13.179 = 0.030199999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.179 - 13.1187 = 0.0603

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0603 / 0.030199999999999 = 1.9967

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3494.3096 100 265.1422 34.94
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.030199999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.030199999999999 = 264.9

Taille de position USD = 264.9 x 13.179 = 3491.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 264.9 avec un stoploss a 13.2092

Avec un position size USD de 3491.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 264.9 x 0.030199999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 264.9 x 0.0603 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 264.9
  • Taille de position USD 3491.12
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9967

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.46 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1186
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 19:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1035
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0884
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0733
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0582
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0431
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.028
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0129
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9978
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9827
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.9676
            [stop_loss] => 13.2092
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.093999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 9.4
            [high] => 13.18900000
            [low] => 13.08500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.71
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T19:20:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T21:20:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.093999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.269
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [high] => 13.44800000
            [low] => 13.08500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.71
            [mae_pct] => 2.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T19:20:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T02:20:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.18500000
            [high_after] => 13.31400000
            [low_before] => 13.02200000
            [low_after] => 13.08500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)