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Short Trade on AAVE

Short Trade on AAVE

The 12 Dec 2025 at 20:17:58

With 14.5838 AAVE at 193.93$ per unit.

Position size of 2828.2457 $

Take profit at 192.8329 (0.57 %) and Stop Loss at 194.4786 (0.28 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 1.2
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.5
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.78
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.642262

15m : -0.09443

1H : 0.122218

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.3657013674
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 193.337
  4. ema21 - 195.581
  5. ema50 - 196.535
  6. ema100 - 195.959
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0030635
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0114733
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00485149
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0103574
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.451869
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.265516
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0991132
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.036759
  17. rsi - 0.440283
  18. adx - 0.345664
  19. kc_percentage - 0.346403
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0515341
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.684297
  22. volume_ema1 - 305886.36330144
  23. volume_ema2 - 968908.20803981
  24. chop - 33.95
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 193.008
  28. ema21 - 192.645
  29. ema50 - 194.496
  30. ema100 - 197.409
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00477217
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0018849
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00951352
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0176241
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0673929
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0152031
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0478901
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0544424
  41. rsi - 0.579304
  42. adx - 0.194903
  43. kc_percentage - 0.909865
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0163622
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.709599
  46. volume_ema1 - 55850.755396388
  47. volume_ema2 - 192323.3654334
  48. chop - 58.2917
  49. regime - bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 193.556
  52. ema21 - 192.981
  53. ema50 - 192.362
  54. ema100 - 191.921
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00193114
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00297877
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00321949
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0104637
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0674442
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0476331
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0280139
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0171686
  65. rsi - 0.71436
  66. adx - 0.395119
  67. kc_percentage - 1.13691
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00738982
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.0797287
  70. volume_ema1 - 26747.964482093
  71. volume_ema2 - 24772.855781184
  72. chop - 39.1808
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90232.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000584368
  78. 5m_price: 90285.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.642262
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 91129.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00926929
  83. 15m_price: 90285.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.09443
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91235.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0104145
  88. 1H_price: 90285.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.122218
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
20:17:58		 12 Dec 2025
20:45:00		 27 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
193.93 194.4786 192.8329 2 188.47
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 193.93
  • Stop Loss: 194.4786
  • Take Profit: 192.8329

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 194.4786 - 193.93 = 0.54859999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 193.93 - 192.8329 = 1.0971

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0971 / 0.54859999999999 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2828.2457 100 14.5838 28.28
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.54859999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.54859999999999 = 14.58

Taille de position USD = 14.58 x 193.93 = 2827.5

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.58 avec un stoploss a 194.4786

Avec un position size USD de 2827.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.58 x 0.54859999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.58 x 1.0971 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.58
  • Taille de position USD 2827.5
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.57 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.28 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.57
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2424 % 85.68 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.8328
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.5585
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.2842
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.0099
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.7356
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.4613
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.187
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.9127
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.6384
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.3641
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.0898
            [stop_loss] => 194.4786
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.14
            [max_drawdown] => 0.88999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.28
            [high] => 194.82000000
            [low] => 192.79000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T20:17:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T22:17:58-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.14
            [max_drawdown] => 3.99
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 197.92000000
            [low] => 192.79000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 2.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T20:17:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T03:17:58-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 194.23000000
            [high_after] => 195.24000000
            [low_before] => 190.72000000
            [low_after] => 192.79000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)