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Short Trade on AAVE

Short Trade on AAVE

The 12 Dec 2025 at 20:32:17

With 14.0758 AAVE at 194.14$ per unit.

Position size of 2732.6774 $

Take profit at 193.0033 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 194.7084 (0.29 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 1.75
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.634555

15m : -0.127568

1H : 0.08405

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.3789006772
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 193.379
  4. ema21 - 195.6
  5. ema50 - 196.543
  6. ema100 - 195.963
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00393159
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0113551
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00479605
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.00930678
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.450156
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.264729
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0987682
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0365829
  17. rsi - 0.446285
  18. adx - 0.344767
  19. kc_percentage - 0.366324
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0518286
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.672182
  22. volume_ema1 - 318096.10596811
  23. volume_ema2 - 970344.64835354
  24. chop - 33.9612
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 193.287
  28. ema21 - 192.808
  29. ema50 - 194.443
  30. ema100 - 196.97
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00440823
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00248551
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00840588
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0143705
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0728682
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0225868
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.04097
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0473211
  41. rsi - 0.590626
  42. adx - 0.203019
  43. kc_percentage - 0.923779
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0162676
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.757475
  46. volume_ema1 - 46085.531930925
  47. volume_ema2 - 190023.88256574
  48. chop - 58.6424
  49. regime - bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 193.781
  52. ema21 - 193.231
  53. ema50 - 192.578
  54. ema100 - 192.302
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00184893
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00284939
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00339085
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00955441
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0601957
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0484534
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.029605
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0159659
  65. rsi - 0.687249
  66. adx - 0.41066
  67. kc_percentage - 1.07806
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00776387
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.311966
  70. volume_ema1 - 16074.317908274
  71. volume_ema2 - 23362.687442986
  72. chop - 39.0718
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90286.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000109113
  78. 5m_price: 90296
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.634555
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 91012.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00787578
  83. 15m_price: 90296
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.127568
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91235.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0102974
  88. 1H_price: 90296
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.08405
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
20:32:17		 12 Dec 2025
20:45:00		 12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.14 194.7084 193.0033 2 188.47
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.14
  • Stop Loss: 194.7084
  • Take Profit: 193.0033

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 194.7084 - 194.14 = 0.56840000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.14 - 193.0033 = 1.1367

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1367 / 0.56840000000003 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2732.6774 100 14.0758 27.33
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.56840000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.56840000000003 = 14.07

Taille de position USD = 14.07 x 194.14 = 2731.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.07 avec un stoploss a 194.7084

Avec un position size USD de 2731.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.07 x 0.56840000000003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.07 x 1.1367 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.07
  • Taille de position USD 2731.55
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.59 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.29 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.59
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0258 % 8.81 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.0032
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.719
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.4348
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.1506
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.8664
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.5822
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.298
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.0138
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.7296
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.4454
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.1612
            [stop_loss] => 194.7084
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 21:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.35
            [max_drawdown] => 0.68000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.99
            [high] => 194.82000000
            [low] => 192.79000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.7
            [mae_pct] => 0.35
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.99
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T20:32:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T22:32:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.35
            [max_drawdown] => 5.17
            [rr_ratio] => 0.26
            [high] => 199.31000000
            [low] => 192.79000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.7
            [mae_pct] => 2.66
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T20:32:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T03:32:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 194.40000000
            [high_after] => 195.29000000
            [low_before] => 190.72000000
            [low_after] => 192.79000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)