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Short Trade on AAVE

Short Trade on AAVE

The 12 Dec 2025 at 21:46:22

With 14.7264 AAVE at 194.78$ per unit.

Position size of 2868.4005 $

Take profit at 193.6935 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 195.3232 (0.28 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 4.14
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.67
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.468514

15m : 0.012101

1H : 0.218208

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.3621623554
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 193.552
  4. ema21 - 195.47
  5. ema50 - 196.44
  6. ema100 - 195.863
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00634159
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00981319
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00493612
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.00553315
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.4349
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.274953
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.109738
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0428613
  17. rsi - 0.466475
  18. adx - 0.328237
  19. kc_percentage - 0.440921
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0504148
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.656247
  22. volume_ema1 - 324899.51186763
  23. volume_ema2 - 945154.22031
  24. chop - 36.0159
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 194.008
  28. ema21 - 193.349
  29. ema50 - 194.444
  30. ema100 - 197.097
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00397842
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00340684
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00563251
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0117601
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.101525
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0546079
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0165345
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0379686
  41. rsi - 0.611259
  42. adx - 0.212897
  43. kc_percentage - 0.983346
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0149982
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.663656
  46. volume_ema1 - 55886.235529998
  47. volume_ema2 - 166158.10739352
  48. chop - 50.047
  49. regime - range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 194.419
  52. ema21 - 193.982
  53. ema50 - 193.278
  54. ema100 - 192.852
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00185448
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00225003
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00364436
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00999419
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0406078
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0330129
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0261758
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0161758
  65. rsi - 0.703514
  66. adx - 0.388341
  67. kc_percentage - 1.04899
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00714859
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.206709
  70. volume_ema1 - 18328.387222414
  71. volume_ema2 - 23104.260421597
  72. chop - 38.6906
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90282.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.000382457
  78. 5m_price: 90248.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.468514
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 91042.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0087272
  83. 15m_price: 90248.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.012101
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91189.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0103189
  88. 1H_price: 90248.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.218208
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
21:46:22		 12 Dec 2025
22:10:00		 23 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.78 195.3232 193.6935 2 188.47
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.78
  • Stop Loss: 195.3232
  • Take Profit: 193.6935

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.3232 - 194.78 = 0.54320000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.78 - 193.6935 = 1.0865

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0865 / 0.54320000000001 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2868.4005 100 14.7264 28.68
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.54320000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.54320000000001 = 14.73

Taille de position USD = 14.73 x 194.78 = 2869.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.73 avec un stoploss a 195.3232

Avec un position size USD de 2869.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.73 x 0.54320000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.73 x 1.0865 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.73
  • Taille de position USD 2869.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.56 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.28 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.6936
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.422
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 22:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.1504
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 02:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.8788
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 02:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.6072
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 02:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.3356
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 02:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.064
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 02:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.7924
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 02:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.5208
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 02:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.2492
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 02:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.9776
            [stop_loss] => 195.3232
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 02:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.48
            [max_drawdown] => 0.080000000000013
            [rr_ratio] => 18.5
            [high] => 194.86000000
            [low] => 193.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.76
            [mae_pct] => 0.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 18.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T21:46:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-12T23:46:22-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.57
            [max_drawdown] => 6.84
            [rr_ratio] => 0.23
            [high] => 201.62000000
            [low] => 193.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.81
            [mae_pct] => 3.51
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T21:46:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T04:46:22-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 194.82000000
            [high_after] => 199.42000000
            [low_before] => 191.16000000
            [low_after] => 193.21000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)