Short Trade on AVAX 12 Dec 2025 at 22:17:34
Take profit at 13.1767 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2462 (0.18 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 12 Dec 2025 at 22:17:34
Take profit at 13.1767 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2462 (0.18 %)
Position size of 4566.4112 $
Take profit at 13.1767 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2462 (0.18 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.58 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.79 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.674256 15m : 0.116502 1H : -0.086601 |
1 |
Indicators:
90238.6
0.000850335
90315.4
0.674256
91017.6
-0.00771596
90315.4
0.116502
91137.6
-0.00902258
90315.4
-0.086601
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 06:00:00
[1] => 13.489
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 12:00:00
[1] => 14.725
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
[1] => 14.665
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 07:00:00
[1] => 14.134
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
[1] => 14.815
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 23:00:00
[1] => 13.223
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 11:00:00
[1] => 12.875
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 01:00:00
[1] => 13.783
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 12.795
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 22:00:00
[1] => 13.24
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.075528700906343
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3997655334115
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4779210629152
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 04:15:00
[1] => 13.482
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 05:00:00
[1] => 13.677
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 07:15:00
[1] => 13.502
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 08:15:00
[1] => 13.65
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:15:00
[1] => 12.795
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 13:45:00
[1] => 13.194
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:45:00
[1] => 13.02
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 19:15:00
[1] => 13.185
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 20:30:00
[1] => 13.085
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
[1] => 13.24
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.075528700906343
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1081390905617
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1845624761177
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
[1] => 13.163
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 18:55:00
[1] => 13.097
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 19:15:00
[1] => 13.185
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 19:45:00
[1] => 13.098
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 20:05:00
[1] => 13.134
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 20:25:00
[1] => 13.134
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 20:35:00
[1] => 13.085
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 21:20:00
[1] => 13.189
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 21:50:00
[1] => 13.166
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 22:15:00
[1] => 13.24
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.075528700906343
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.48610056205378
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56205377487468
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 18:00:00 | 13.163 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 18:55:00 | 13.097 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 19:15:00 | 13.185 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 19:45:00 | 13.098 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 20:05:00 | 13.134 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 20:25:00 | 13.134 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 20:35:00 | 13.085 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 21:20:00 | 13.189 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 21:50:00 | 13.166 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 22:15:00 | 13.24 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 04:15:00 | 13.482 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 05:00:00 | 13.677 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 07:15:00 | 13.502 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 08:15:00 | 13.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:15:00 | 12.795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 13:45:00 | 13.194 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 14:45:00 | 13.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 19:15:00 | 13.185 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 20:30:00 | 13.085 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 22:15:00 | 13.24 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 06:00:00 | 13.489 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-09 12:00:00 | 14.725 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 05:00:00 | 14.665 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 07:00:00 | 14.134 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:00:00 | 14.815 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 23:00:00 | 13.223 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 11:00:00 | 12.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 01:00:00 | 13.783 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 12.795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 22:00:00 | 13.24 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 22:17:34 |
13 Dec 2025 00:05:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.223 | 13.2462 | 13.1767 | 2 | 8.842 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.2462 - 13.223 = 0.023199999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 13.223 - 13.1767 = 0.0463
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0463 / 0.023199999999999 = 1.9957
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4566.4112 | 100 | 345.3385 | 45.66 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.023199999999999 = 344.83
Taille de position USD = 344.83 x 13.223 = 4559.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 344.83 avec un stoploss a 13.2462
Avec un position size USD de 4559.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 344.83 x 0.023199999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 344.83 x 0.0463 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4008 % | 228.38 % | 8 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.1767
[entry_price] => 13.223
[stop_loss] => 13.24852
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.1767
[entry_price] => 13.223
[stop_loss] => 13.25084
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.1767
[entry_price] => 13.223
[stop_loss] => 13.25316
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.1767
[entry_price] => 13.223
[stop_loss] => 13.2578
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.035
[max_drawdown] => 0.052999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 0.66
[high] => 13.27600000
[low] => 13.18800000
[mfe_pct] => 0.26
[mae_pct] => 0.4
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-12T22:17:34-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-13T00:17:34-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.035
[max_drawdown] => 0.23
[rr_ratio] => 0.15
[high] => 13.45300000
[low] => 13.18800000
[mfe_pct] => 0.26
[mae_pct] => 1.74
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-12T22:17:34-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-13T05:17:34-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.24000000
[high_after] => 13.45300000
[low_before] => 13.08500000
[low_after] => 13.18800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)