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Short Trade on AVAX

Short Trade on AVAX

The 12 Dec 2025 at 22:32:37

With 304.3579 AVAX at 13.226$ per unit.

Position size of 4025.4382 $

Take profit at 13.1734 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2523 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.71
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.57
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.634092

15m : 0.063515

1H : 0.104528

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.01752322681
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 13.1566
  4. ema21 - 13.2303
  5. ema50 - 13.4068
  6. ema100 - 13.5645
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00526893
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.005565
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0131654
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.024958
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.173228
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.158316
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.116651
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0778102
  17. rsi - 0.475593
  18. adx - 0.197161
  19. kc_percentage - 0.50501
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0362156
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.668357
  22. volume_ema1 - 202673.93331021
  23. volume_ema2 - 611120.87888388
  24. chop - 38.504
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 13.1831
  28. ema21 - 13.1546
  29. ema50 - 13.1832
  30. ema100 - 13.2959
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00324711
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00216934
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0021691
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00525835
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0388187
  38. ema_slope_21 - 0.0252309
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.00667731
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0224577
  41. rsi - 0.626065
  42. adx - 0.161508
  43. kc_percentage - 0.999692
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0106092
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.645262
  46. volume_ema1 - 33580.093143006
  47. volume_ema2 - 94661.751281346
  48. chop - 54.4791
  49. regime - range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 13.2057
  52. ema21 - 13.1839
  53. ema50 - 13.1554
  54. ema100 - 13.131
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00153408
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00165656
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00216592
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00723018
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0280422
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0248089
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0169641
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.0114561
  65. rsi - 0.672558
  66. adx - 0.337686
  67. kc_percentage - 1.07757
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00531778
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.248459
  70. volume_ema1 - 12787.755075466
  71. volume_ema2 - 17015.388235386
  72. chop - 43.8151
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90226.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000804635
  78. 5m_price: 90299.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.634092
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 91024.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00796679
  83. 15m_price: 90299.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.063515
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 91137.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00919792
  88. 1H_price: 90299.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.104528
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
22:32:37		 13 Dec 2025
00:05:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.226 13.2523 13.1734 2 12.252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.226
  • Stop Loss: 13.2523
  • Take Profit: 13.1734

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.2523 - 13.226 = 0.026299999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.226 - 13.1734 = 0.0526

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0526 / 0.026299999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4025.4382 100 304.3579 40.25
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.026299999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.026299999999999 = 304.18

Taille de position USD = 304.18 x 13.226 = 4023.08

Donc, tu peux acheter 304.18 avec un stoploss a 13.2523

Avec un position size USD de 4023.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 304.18 x 0.026299999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 304.18 x 0.0526 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 304.18
  • Taille de position USD 4023.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.378 % 190.05 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1734
            [entry_price] => 13.226
            [stop_loss] => 13.25493
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1734
            [entry_price] => 13.226
            [stop_loss] => 13.25756
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1734
            [entry_price] => 13.226
            [stop_loss] => 13.26019
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1734
            [entry_price] => 13.226
            [stop_loss] => 13.26545
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.038
            [max_drawdown] => 0.049999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.76
            [high] => 13.27600000
            [low] => 13.18800000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.29
            [mae_pct] => 0.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.76
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T22:32:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T00:32:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.038
            [max_drawdown] => 0.227
            [rr_ratio] => 0.17
            [high] => 13.45300000
            [low] => 13.18800000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.29
            [mae_pct] => 1.72
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T22:32:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T05:32:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.24100000
            [high_after] => 13.45300000
            [low_before] => 13.08500000
            [low_after] => 13.18800000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)