Short Trade on SPX

The 12 Dec 2025 at 23:35:20

With 4234.6213 SPX at 0.5871$ per unit.

Position size of 2486.1462 $

Take profit at 0.5833 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 0.589 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 1.69
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.75
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.495152

15m : 0.090732

1H : 0.096729

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.001259459324
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.583888
  4. ema21 - 0.592277
  5. ema50 - 0.605245
  6. ema100 - 0.617155
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00550023
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0141638
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0214264
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0486998
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.37531
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.322774
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.201729
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.131036
  17. rsi - 0.420767
  18. adx - 0.261117
  19. kc_percentage - 0.374601
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0616258
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.627841
  22. volume_ema1 - 99231.593382513
  23. volume_ema2 - 266638.25349178
  24. chop - 44.0725
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 0.584081
  29. ema21 - 0.582647
  30. ema50 - 0.586958
  31. ema100 - 0.596401
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0051681
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00246082
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00734371
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0155952
  36. all_emas_in_trend - False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.0636388
  39. ema_slope_21 - 0.0215858
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.0359611
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.0518478
  42. rsi - 0.6065
  43. adx - 0.218756
  44. kc_percentage - 0.907121
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0185876
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.720042
  47. volume_ema1 - 13507.875130963
  48. volume_ema2 - 48249.6630983
  49. chop - 54.8713
  50. regime - bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 0.585729
  54. ema21 - 0.584182
  55. ema50 - 0.582375
  56. ema100 - 0.581305
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.00233977
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0026485
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00310276
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.00996742
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.0376524
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.0360257
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.0239835
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.0143482
  67. rsi - 0.702114
  68. adx - 0.288114
  69. kc_percentage - 1.08485
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.00819246
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.456123
  72. volume_ema1 - 4072.390844272
  73. volume_ema2 - 7487.707855782
  74. chop - 53.1409
  75. regime - bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 90244.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000267685
  81. 5m_price: 90269
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.495152
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 90927.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0072383
  86. 15m_price: 90269
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.090732
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 91074.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00884067
  91. 1H_price: 90269
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.096729
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Dec 2025
23:35:20
12 Dec 2025
23:40:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5871 0.589 0.5833 2 0.5131
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5871
  • Stop Loss: 0.589
  • Take Profit: 0.5833

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.589 - 0.5871 = 0.0019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5871 - 0.5833 = 0.0037999999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037999999999999 / 0.0019 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2486.1462 100 4234.6213 24.86
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0019

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0019 = 4210.53

Taille de position USD = 4210.53 x 0.5871 = 2472

Donc, tu peux acheter 4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.589

Avec un position size USD de 2472$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4210.53 x 0.0019 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4210.53 x 0.0037999999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4210.53
  • Taille de position USD 2472
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.65 % 16.09 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
-8.05 $ -0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3918 % 121.08 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5833
            [entry_price] => 0.5871
            [stop_loss] => 0.58919
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 23:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5833
            [entry_price] => 0.5871
            [stop_loss] => 0.58938
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-12 23:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5833
            [entry_price] => 0.5871
            [stop_loss] => 0.58957
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5833
            [entry_price] => 0.5871
            [stop_loss] => 0.58995
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-13 00:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0043
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0023000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.87
            [high] => 0.58940000
            [low] => 0.58280000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 0.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.87
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T23:35:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T01:35:20-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0043
            [max_drawdown] => 0.013
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [high] => 0.60010000
            [low] => 0.58280000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 2.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-12T23:35:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-13T06:35:20-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.58940000
            [high_after] => 0.60010000
            [low_before] => 0.57630000
            [low_after] => 0.58280000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)