Short Trade on ETH 13 Dec 2025 at 01:52:55
Take profit at 3085.2645 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 3095.6228 (0.11 %)
Short Trade on ETH 13 Dec 2025 at 01:52:55
Take profit at 3085.2645 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 3095.6228 (0.11 %)
Position size of 7164.4929 $
Take profit at 3085.2645 (0.22 %) and Stop Loss at 3095.6228 (0.11 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.7 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.768479 15m : 0.108243 1H : -0.149364 |
1 |
Indicators:
90287.7
0.00054243
90336.7
0.768479
90882.8
-0.00631129
90309.3
0.108243
91094
-0.00831437
90336.7
-0.149364
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 12:00:00
[1] => 3397.21
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
[1] => 3374.85
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 06:00:00
[1] => 3295.93
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
[1] => 3446.73
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
[1] => 3166.08
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 09:00:00
[1] => 3144.18
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 16:00:00
[1] => 3271.83
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 19:00:00
[1] => 3182.55
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 3042.55
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 01:00:00
[1] => 3093.84
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.035231298321831
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6499318006278
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6857570130318
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 06:15:00
[1] => 3224.5
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 08:15:00
[1] => 3249.99
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:15:00
[1] => 3042.55
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 12:15:00
[1] => 3098.59
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:45:00
[1] => 3062
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
[1] => 3094.99
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 20:45:00
[1] => 3076.2
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 22:30:00
[1] => 3091.44
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 00:30:00
[1] => 3082.31
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 01:45:00
[1] => 3093.84
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.035231298321831
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33870700870451
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.37407009677807
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 20:45:00
[1] => 3076.2
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 21:15:00
[1] => 3087.82
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 21:50:00
[1] => 3081.6
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 22:35:00
[1] => 3091.44
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 23:30:00
[1] => 3084.16
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 23:35:00
[1] => 3090.33
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 00:40:00
[1] => 3082.31
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 00:55:00
[1] => 3087.79
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 01:20:00
[1] => 3083
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 01:50:00
[1] => 3093.84
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.035231298321831
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.31625040544924
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.35160557898152
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 20:45:00 | 3076.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 21:15:00 | 3087.82 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 21:50:00 | 3081.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 22:35:00 | 3091.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 23:30:00 | 3084.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 23:35:00 | 3090.33 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 00:40:00 | 3082.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 00:55:00 | 3087.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 01:20:00 | 3083 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 01:50:00 | 3093.84 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 06:15:00 | 3224.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 08:15:00 | 3249.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:15:00 | 3042.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 12:15:00 | 3098.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 14:45:00 | 3062 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 18:00:00 | 3094.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 20:45:00 | 3076.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 22:30:00 | 3091.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 00:30:00 | 3082.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 01:45:00 | 3093.84 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 12:00:00 | 3397.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 05:00:00 | 3374.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 06:00:00 | 3295.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:00:00 | 3446.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 22:00:00 | 3166.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 09:00:00 | 3144.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 16:00:00 | 3271.83 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 19:00:00 | 3182.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 3042.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 01:00:00 | 3093.84 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 01:52:55 |
13 Dec 2025 03:10:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3092.17 | 3095.6228 | 3085.2645 | 2 | 1961.68 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3095.6228 - 3092.17 = 3.4528
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3092.17 - 3085.2645 = 6.9054999999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.9054999999998 / 3.4528 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7164.4929 | 100 | 2.317 | 71.64 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.4528 = 2.32
Taille de position USD = 2.32 x 3092.17 = 7173.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.32 avec un stoploss a 3095.6228
Avec un position size USD de 7173.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.32 x 3.4528 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.32 x 6.9054999999998 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1598 % | 143.06 % | 12 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3085.2645
[entry_price] => 3092.17
[stop_loss] => 3095.96808
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 03:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3085.2645
[entry_price] => 3092.17
[stop_loss] => 3096.31336
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 03:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3085.2645
[entry_price] => 3092.17
[stop_loss] => 3096.65864
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 03:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3085.2645
[entry_price] => 3092.17
[stop_loss] => 3097.3492
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.98
[max_drawdown] => 39.14
[rr_ratio] => 0.1
[high] => 3131.31000000
[low] => 3088.19000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.13
[mae_pct] => 1.27
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-13T01:52:55-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-13T03:52:55-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.98
[max_drawdown] => 41.71
[rr_ratio] => 0.1
[high] => 3133.88000000
[low] => 3088.19000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.13
[mae_pct] => 1.35
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-13T01:52:55-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-13T08:52:55-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3093.84000000
[high_after] => 3133.88000000
[low_before] => 3082.31000000
[low_after] => 3088.19000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)