Short Trade on ETH 13 Dec 2025 at 03:17:20
Take profit at 3098.7438 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 3114.1881 (0.17 %)
Short Trade on ETH 13 Dec 2025 at 03:17:20
Take profit at 3098.7438 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 3114.1881 (0.17 %)
Position size of 4831.3505 $
Take profit at 3098.7438 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 3114.1881 (0.17 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.74 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.712288 15m : -0.040022 1H : -0.039296 |
1 |
Indicators:
90308.7
0.000964179
90395.8
0.712288
90788.8
-0.00432876
90395.8
-0.040022
90996.8
-0.00660469
90395.8
-0.039296
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-09 12:00:00
[1] => 3397.21
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 05:00:00
[1] => 3374.85
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 06:00:00
[1] => 3295.93
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 15:00:00
[1] => 3446.73
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-10 22:00:00
[1] => 3166.08
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 09:00:00
[1] => 3144.18
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 16:00:00
[1] => 3271.83
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 19:00:00
[1] => 3182.55
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 3042.55
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 03:00:00
[1] => 3113.53
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.065841665248133
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2655338449656
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3329115380191
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 06:15:00
[1] => 3224.5
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 08:15:00
[1] => 3249.99
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:15:00
[1] => 3042.55
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 12:15:00
[1] => 3098.59
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 14:45:00
[1] => 3062
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
[1] => 3094.99
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 20:45:00
[1] => 3076.2
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 22:30:00
[1] => 3091.44
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 00:30:00
[1] => 3082.31
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 03:15:00
[1] => 3113.53
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.065841665248133
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94636814596845
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0128767061068
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 23:30:00
[1] => 3084.16
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 23:35:00
[1] => 3090.33
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 00:40:00
[1] => 3082.31
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 00:55:00
[1] => 3087.79
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 01:20:00
[1] => 3083
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 01:50:00
[1] => 3093.84
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 02:15:00
[1] => 3088.19
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 02:20:00
[1] => 3093.64
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 03:10:00
[1] => 3090.46
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 03:15:00
[1] => 3113.53
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.065841665248133
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.68015764643451
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.74649081366528
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 23:30:00 | 3084.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 23:35:00 | 3090.33 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 00:40:00 | 3082.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 00:55:00 | 3087.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 01:20:00 | 3083 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 01:50:00 | 3093.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 02:15:00 | 3088.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 02:20:00 | 3093.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 03:10:00 | 3090.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 03:15:00 | 3113.53 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 06:15:00 | 3224.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 08:15:00 | 3249.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:15:00 | 3042.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 12:15:00 | 3098.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 14:45:00 | 3062 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 18:00:00 | 3094.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 20:45:00 | 3076.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 22:30:00 | 3091.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 00:30:00 | 3082.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 03:15:00 | 3113.53 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 12:00:00 | 3397.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 05:00:00 | 3374.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 06:00:00 | 3295.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-10 15:00:00 | 3446.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-10 22:00:00 | 3166.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 09:00:00 | 3144.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 16:00:00 | 3271.83 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 19:00:00 | 3182.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 3042.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 03:00:00 | 3113.53 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 03:17:20 |
13 Dec 2025 03:20:00 |
2 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3109.04 | 3114.1881 | 3098.7438 | 2 | 1946 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3114.1881 - 3109.04 = 5.1480999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3109.04 - 3098.7438 = 10.2962
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.2962 / 5.1480999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4831.3505 | 100 | 1.554 | 48.31 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.1480999999999 = 1.55
Taille de position USD = 1.55 x 3109.04 = 4819.01
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.55 avec un stoploss a 3114.1881
Avec un position size USD de 4819.01$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.55 x 5.1480999999999 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.55 x 10.2962 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4596 % | 277.54 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3098.7438
[entry_price] => 3109.04
[stop_loss] => 3114.70291
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 03:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3098.7438
[entry_price] => 3109.04
[stop_loss] => 3115.21772
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 03:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3098.7438
[entry_price] => 3109.04
[stop_loss] => 3115.73253
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 03:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3098.7438
[entry_price] => 3109.04
[stop_loss] => 3116.76215
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-13 03:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.75
[max_drawdown] => 22.27
[rr_ratio] => 0.08
[high] => 3131.31000000
[low] => 3107.29000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.06
[mae_pct] => 0.72
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-13T03:17:20-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-13T05:17:20-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 16.73
[max_drawdown] => 24.84
[rr_ratio] => 0.67
[high] => 3133.88000000
[low] => 3092.31000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.54
[mae_pct] => 0.8
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.67
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-13T03:17:20-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-13T10:17:20-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3113.53000000
[high_after] => 3133.88000000
[low_before] => 3082.31000000
[low_after] => 3092.31000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)