Long Trade on FOLKS 13 Dec 2025 at 23:43:26
Take profit at 41.1251 (15.2 %) and Stop Loss at 32.9875 (7.6 %)
Long Trade on FOLKS 13 Dec 2025 at 23:43:26
Take profit at 41.1251 (15.2 %) and Stop Loss at 32.9875 (7.6 %)
Position size of 105.2886 $
Take profit at 41.1251 (15.2 %) and Stop Loss at 32.9875 (7.6 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.7 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.009473 15m : 0.181662 1H : 0.13765 |
0 |
Indicators:
90222.2
-0.0010769
90125.1
-0.009473
90229.6
0.000790241
90301
0.181662
90973.5
-0.00932613
90125.1
0.13765
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 08:00:00
[1] => 16.6476
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 20:00:00
[1] => 13.9472
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 03:00:00
[1] => 14.8417
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 09:00:00
[1] => 14.0923
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 10:00:00
[1] => 15.0395
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 16:00:00
[1] => 14.3212
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
[1] => 14.9883
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 11:00:00
[1] => 31.2364
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
[1] => 26.1404
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:00:00
[1] => 46.4173
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -23.153005452708
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 36.456595920491
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 77.569203225658
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 23:15:00
[1] => 14.5898
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 03:45:00
[1] => 16.8231
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 07:15:00
[1] => 17.1308
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 11:15:00
[1] => 31.2364
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 11:45:00
[1] => 24.292
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 15:00:00
[1] => 26.2874
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
[1] => 26.1404
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 18:30:00
[1] => 38
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:45:00
[1] => 46.4173
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 23:30:00
[1] => 35.1925
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -23.153005452708
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3576756411167
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 31.895432265397
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
[1] => 26.768
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:35:00
[1] => 26.2
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 17:05:00
[1] => 26.1404
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 18:30:00
[1] => 38
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
[1] => 32.0286
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 20:20:00
[1] => 35.2343
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:55:00
[1] => 46.4173
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 22:15:00
[1] => 39.8027
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 23:20:00
[1] => 41.8147
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 23:40:00
[1] => 35.1925
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -14.694353899466
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3576756411167
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.817077502309
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 16:00:00 | 26.768 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 16:35:00 | 26.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 17:05:00 | 26.1404 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 18:30:00 | 38 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 19:00:00 | 32.0286 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 20:20:00 | 35.2343 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 21:55:00 | 46.4173 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 22:15:00 | 39.8027 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 23:20:00 | 41.8147 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 23:40:00 | 35.1925 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 23:15:00 | 14.5898 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 03:45:00 | 16.8231 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 07:15:00 | 17.1308 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 11:15:00 | 31.2364 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 11:45:00 | 24.292 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 15:00:00 | 26.2874 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 17:00:00 | 26.1404 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 18:30:00 | 38 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 21:45:00 | 46.4173 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 23:30:00 | 35.1925 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 08:00:00 | 16.6476 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 20:00:00 | 13.9472 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 03:00:00 | 14.8417 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 09:00:00 | 14.0923 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 10:00:00 | 15.0395 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 16:00:00 | 14.3212 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-12 18:00:00 | 14.9883 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 11:00:00 | 31.2364 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 17:00:00 | 26.1404 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 21:00:00 | 46.4173 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 23:43:26 |
14 Dec 2025 01:10:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.7 | 32.9875 | 41.1251 | 2 | 1.2394 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 32.9875 - 35.7 = -2.7125
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 35.7 - 41.1251 = -5.4251
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.4251 / -2.7125 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105.2886 | 100 | 2.9493 | 1.05 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.7125 = -2.95
Taille de position USD = -2.95 x 35.7 = -105.32
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.95 avec un stoploss a 32.9875
Avec un position size USD de -105.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.95 x -2.7125 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.95 x -5.4251 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 15.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -7.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -17.405 % | 229.07 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 41.1251
[entry_price] => 35.7
[stop_loss] => 32.71625
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 01:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 41.1251
[entry_price] => 35.7
[stop_loss] => 32.445
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 01:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 41.1251
[entry_price] => 35.7
[stop_loss] => 32.17375
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 01:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 41.1251
[entry_price] => 35.7
[stop_loss] => 31.63125
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 01:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.0349
[max_drawdown] => 15.4621
[rr_ratio] => 0.26
[high] => 39.73490000
[low] => 20.23790000
[mfe_pct] => 11.3
[mae_pct] => 43.31
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-13T23:43:26-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T01:43:26-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.0349
[max_drawdown] => 15.4621
[rr_ratio] => 0.26
[high] => 39.73490000
[low] => 20.23790000
[mfe_pct] => 11.3
[mae_pct] => 43.31
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-13T23:43:26-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T06:43:26-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 46.41730000
[high_after] => 39.73490000
[low_before] => 34.20670000
[low_after] => 20.23790000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)