Short Trade on BTC 14 Dec 2025 at 02:55:41
Take profit at 90100.9468 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 90284.6266 (0.068 %)
Short Trade on BTC 14 Dec 2025 at 02:55:41
Take profit at 90100.9468 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 90284.6266 (0.068 %)
Position size of 11788.7856 $
Take profit at 90100.9468 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 90284.6266 (0.068 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.81 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : 0.032878 1H : -0.06351 |
1 |
Indicators:
90186.1
0.000413
90223.4
1
90203.9
-0.000128616
90192.3
0.032878
90958.9
-0.00808621
90223.4
-0.06351
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 04:00:00
[1] => 90494.8
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 09:00:00
[1] => 89226.9
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-11 16:00:00
[1] => 93536.6
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 09:00:00
[1] => 92645.6
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-12 11:00:00
[1] => 89434.5
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 05:00:00
[1] => 90594.1
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 09:00:00
[1] => 89900
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:00:00
[1] => 89730.1
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
[1] => 90450
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:00:00
[1] => 90004.5
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25417357656163
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.23954357837664
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.49497525123744
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 13:00:00
[1] => 90156.8
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 14:30:00
[1] => 90200
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 16:30:00
[1] => 89730.1
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 17:00:00
[1] => 90236.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 19:45:00
[1] => 90450
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 23:30:00
[1] => 90305.9
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:15:00
[1] => 90004.5
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:15:00
[1] => 90220.7
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 02:30:00
[1] => 90040.8
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 02:45:00
[1] => 90239.2
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021165967783393
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.19913194907198
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.22034455491288
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:30:00
[1] => 90366
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 21:35:00
[1] => 90212.8
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 22:30:00
[1] => 90220.7
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 23:00:00
[1] => 90220.7
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-13 23:30:00
[1] => 90305.9
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 00:20:00
[1] => 90004.5
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:15:00
[1] => 90220.7
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 01:25:00
[1] => 90067.9
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 02:30:00
[1] => 90040.8
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-14 02:50:00
[1] => 90239.2
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021165967783393
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.19913194907198
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.22034455491288
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 21:30:00 | 90366 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 21:35:00 | 90212.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 22:30:00 | 90220.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 23:00:00 | 90220.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 23:30:00 | 90305.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 00:20:00 | 90004.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 01:15:00 | 90220.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 01:25:00 | 90067.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 02:30:00 | 90040.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 02:50:00 | 90239.2 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 13:00:00 | 90156.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 14:30:00 | 90200 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 16:30:00 | 89730.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 17:00:00 | 90236.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 19:45:00 | 90450 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 23:30:00 | 90305.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 00:15:00 | 90004.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 01:15:00 | 90220.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 02:30:00 | 90040.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-14 02:45:00 | 90239.2 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 04:00:00 | 90494.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-11 09:00:00 | 89226.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-11 16:00:00 | 93536.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 09:00:00 | 92645.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-12 11:00:00 | 89434.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 05:00:00 | 90594.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-13 09:00:00 | 89900 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 16:00:00 | 89730.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-13 19:00:00 | 90450 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-14 00:00:00 | 90004.5 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 02:55:41 |
14 Dec 2025 03:55:00 |
59 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90223.4 | 90284.6266 | 90100.9468 | 2 | 67361.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90284.6266 - 90223.4 = 61.226600000009
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90223.4 - 90100.9468 = 122.45319999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 122.45319999999 / 61.226600000009 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11788.7856 | 100 | 0.1307 | 117.89 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 61.226600000009 = 0.13
Taille de position USD = 0.13 x 90223.4 = 11729.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.13 avec un stoploss a 90284.6266
Avec un position size USD de 11729.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.13 x 61.226600000009 = 7.96
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.96$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.13 x 122.45319999999 = 15.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.068 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.048 % | 70.69 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90100.9468
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:55:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90070.3335
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90039.7202
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90009.1069
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89978.4936
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89947.8803
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89917.267
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89886.6537
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89856.0404
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89825.4271
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89794.8138
[stop_loss] => 90284.6266
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 255.09999999999
[max_drawdown] => 43.300000000003
[rr_ratio] => 5.89
[high] => 90266.70000000
[low] => 89968.30000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.28
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.89
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T02:55:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T04:55:41-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1626.8
[max_drawdown] => 43.300000000003
[rr_ratio] => 37.57
[high] => 90266.70000000
[low] => 88596.60000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.8
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 37.57
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-14T02:55:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-14T09:55:41-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 90305.90000000
[high_after] => 90266.70000000
[low_before] => 90004.50000000
[low_after] => 88596.60000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)