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Short Trade on AVAX

Short Trade on AVAX

The 14 Dec 2025 at 03:06:50

With 304.4646 AVAX at 13.264$ per unit.

Position size of 4038.4185 $

Take profit at 13.2114 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2903 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.562108

15m : 0.095027

1H : 0.111309

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.01751708846
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 13.2682
  4. ema21 - 13.2919
  5. ema50 - 13.3506
  6. ema100 - 13.5536
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.000322824
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00177853
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00439694
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0213721
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.0485268
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.0190404
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0250101
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0440336
  17. rsi - 0.465555
  18. adx - 0.132317
  19. kc_percentage - 0.40776
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0219916
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.61707
  22. volume_ema1 - 158223.99915357
  23. volume_ema2 - 413193.37177527
  24. chop - 66.9387
  25. regime - bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 13.2283
  28. ema21 - 13.2484
  29. ema50 - 13.2852
  30. ema100 - 13.3082
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00269352
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00151738
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00276722
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00332256
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.0362315
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0392855
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0261154
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0154737
  41. rsi - 0.512302
  42. adx - 0.324678
  43. kc_percentage - 0.636719
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.00959902
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.230031
  46. volume_ema1 - 42830.098164627
  47. volume_ema2 - 55625.769322347
  48. chop - 57.3116
  49. regime - range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 13.2343
  52. ema21 - 13.2233
  53. ema50 - 13.2394
  54. ema100 - 13.2735
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00223918
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000831526
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00121294
  58. price_ema100_diff - -0.000719788
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0193304
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.00570902
  63. ema_slope_50 - -0.00607071
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.0086954
  65. rsi - 0.633356
  66. adx - 0.281074
  67. kc_percentage - 1.06573
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.00539875
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.365971
  70. volume_ema1 - 11568.631542059
  71. volume_ema2 - 18246.240544096
  72. chop - 35.5692
  73. regime - range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90192.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000241497
  78. 5m_price: 90214
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.562108
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 90211.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 2.34863E-5
  83. 15m_price: 90214
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.095027
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 90942.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00801471
  88. 1H_price: 90214
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.111309
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Dec 2025
03:06:50		 14 Dec 2025
03:30:00		 23 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.264 13.2903 13.2114 2 12.252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.264
  • Stop Loss: 13.2903
  • Take Profit: 13.2114

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.2903 - 13.264 = 0.026300000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.264 - 13.2114 = 0.0526

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0526 / 0.026300000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4038.4185 100 304.4646 40.38
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.026300000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.026300000000001 = 304.18

Taille de position USD = 304.18 x 13.264 = 4034.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 304.18 avec un stoploss a 13.2903

Avec un position size USD de 4034.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 304.18 x 0.026300000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 304.18 x 0.0526 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 304.18
  • Taille de position USD 4034.64
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0226 % 11.4 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.2114
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.19825
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1851
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.17195
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 03:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1588
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.14565
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 04:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1325
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.11935
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.1062
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.09305
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.0799
            [stop_loss] => 13.2903
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 06:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.127
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 42.33
            [high] => 13.26700000
            [low] => 13.13700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.96
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 42.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:06:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T05:06:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.311
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 13.26700000
            [low] => 12.95300000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.34
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 103.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T03:06:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T10:06:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.30800000
            [high_after] => 13.26700000
            [low_before] => 13.17500000
            [low_after] => 12.95300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)