Short Trade on RIVER 14 Dec 2025 at 19:05:27

Take profit at 5.7315 (3.45 %) and Stop Loss at 6.0382 (1.72 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 14 Dec 2025 at 19:05:27

With 78.2403 RIVER at 5.936$ per unit.

Position size of 464.4343 $

Take profit at 5.7315 (3.45 %) and Stop Loss at 6.0382 (1.72 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.7
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.135119

15m : -0.083131

1H : 0.141751

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.06816607781
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5.86387
  4. ema21 : 6.13527
  5. ema50 : 6.4866
  6. ema100 : 6.54417
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0123006
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0442361
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0541629
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0929343
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.531112
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.743405
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.463226
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.225908
  17. rsi : 0.431756
  18. adx : 0.209638
  19. kc_percentage : 0.364891
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.220739
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.62926
  22. volume_ema1 : 131637.93747995
  23. volume_ema2 : 355068.53319324
  24. chop : 68.5634
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 5.79101
  29. ema21 : 5.7782
  30. ema50 : 5.93499
  31. ema100 : 6.34252
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0250357
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00221708
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0264176
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0640951
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.100783
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0531389
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.160797
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.209317
  42. rsi : 0.585753
  43. adx : 0.140766
  44. kc_percentage : 0.824716
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0828304
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.260594
  47. volume_ema1 : 48721.73766449
  48. volume_ema2 : 65893.134399115
  49. chop : 57.8728
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 5.83187
  54. ema21 : 5.77513
  55. ema50 : 5.75243
  56. ema100 : 5.77571
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0178545
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00982482
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0039453
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0277507
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.212361
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.130181
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.047297
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00991609
  67. rsi : 0.678296
  68. adx : 0.174227
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05993
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0475138
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.246247
  72. volume_ema1 : 18342.51807072
  73. volume_ema2 : 14718.195277498
  74. chop : 42.0757
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88518
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00290707
  81. 5m_price:
    88260.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.135119
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89207.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0106141
  86. 15m_price:
    88260.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.083131
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90355.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0231889
  91. 1H_price:
    88260.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.141751
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 07:00:00
                        [1] => 7.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 16:00:00
                        [1] => 5.406
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-12 18:00:00
                        [1] => 7.118
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 10:00:00
                        [1] => 7.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 12:00:00
                        [1] => 6.905
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-13 19:00:00
                        [1] => 8.516
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5.331
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 12:00:00
                        [1] => 6.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 16:00:00
                        [1] => 5.522
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.948
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.63887020847344
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.0264396957624
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7145961608113
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 00:15:00
                        [1] => 7.467
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 01:45:00
                        [1] => 7.607
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 04:15:00
                        [1] => 5.534
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 07:15:00
                        [1] => 5.331
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 08:15:00
                        [1] => 6.298
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 10:45:00
                        [1] => 5.741
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 12:45:00
                        [1] => 6.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 14:15:00
                        [1] => 5.632
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 16:00:00
                        [1] => 5.522
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.948
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.63887020847344
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.0264396957624
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7145961608113
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 12:50:00
                        [1] => 6.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 14:20:00
                        [1] => 5.632
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 14:55:00
                        [1] => 5.834
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 15:50:00
                        [1] => 5.732
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 16:10:00
                        [1] => 5.522
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 17:10:00
                        [1] => 5.618
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 17:35:00
                        [1] => 5.778
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 17:50:00
                        [1] => 5.601
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 18:30:00
                        [1] => 5.662
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-14 19:05:00
                        [1] => 5.948
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.63887020847344
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3800777110562
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0512186506535
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.64%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.05%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2918
4.83%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2095
3.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 12:50:00 6.33 ↑ High
2025-12-14 14:20:00 5.632 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 14:55:00 5.834 ↑ High
2025-12-14 15:50:00 5.732 ↑ High
2025-12-14 16:10:00 5.522 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 17:10:00 5.618 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 17:35:00 5.778 ↑ High
2025-12-14 17:50:00 5.601 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 18:30:00 5.662 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 19:05:00 5.948 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.64%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.71%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.5688
25.98%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4005
6.99%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-14 00:15:00 7.467 ↑ High
2025-12-14 01:45:00 7.607 ↑ High
2025-12-14 04:15:00 5.534 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 07:15:00 5.331 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 08:15:00 6.298 ↑ High
2025-12-14 10:45:00 5.741 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 12:45:00 6.33 ↑ High
2025-12-14 14:15:00 5.632 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 16:00:00 5.522 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 19:00:00 5.948 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.64%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.71%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.4778
41.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4005
6.99%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-12 07:00:00 7.6 ↑ High
2025-12-12 16:00:00 5.406 ↓ Low
2025-12-12 18:00:00 7.118 ↑ High
2025-12-13 10:00:00 7.39 ↑ High
2025-12-13 12:00:00 6.905 ↓ Low
2025-12-13 19:00:00 8.516 ↑ High
2025-12-14 07:00:00 5.331 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 12:00:00 6.33 ↑ High
2025-12-14 16:00:00 5.522 ↓ Low
2025-12-14 19:00:00 5.948 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Dec 2025
19:05:27
14 Dec 2025
19:45:00
39 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.936 6.0382 5.7315 2 11.114
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.936
  • Stop Loss: 6.0382
  • Take Profit: 5.7315

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 6.0382 - 5.936 = 0.1022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.936 - 5.7315 = 0.2045

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2045 / 0.1022 = 2.001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
464.4343 100 78.2403 4.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1022

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1022 = 78.28

Taille de position USD = 78.28 x 5.936 = 464.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 78.28 avec un stoploss a 6.0382

Avec un position size USD de 464.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 78.28 x 0.1022 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 78.28 x 0.2045 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 78.28
  • Taille de position USD 464.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.45 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.72 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 3.45
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2358 % 13.7 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.7316
            [stop_loss] => 6.0382
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.6805
            [stop_loss] => 6.0382
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 19:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.6294
            [stop_loss] => 6.0382
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.5783
            [stop_loss] => 6.0382
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.5272
            [stop_loss] => 6.0382
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.4761
            [stop_loss] => 6.0382
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.425
            [stop_loss] => 6.0382
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-14 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.52
            [max_drawdown] => 0.014
            [rr_ratio] => 37.14
            [high] => 5.95000000
            [low] => 5.41600000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.76
            [mae_pct] => 0.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 37.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T19:05:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-14T21:05:27-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.77
            [max_drawdown] => 0.014
            [rr_ratio] => 55
            [high] => 5.95000000
            [low] => 5.16600000
            [mfe_pct] => 12.97
            [mae_pct] => 0.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 55
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-14T19:05:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-15T02:05:27-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.94800000
            [high_after] => 5.95000000
            [low_before] => 5.52200000
            [low_after] => 5.41600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)